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Spring


Guest Tek1972

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Guest Tek1972
The March sun angle argument hasn't worked out too well this March. Long Island had accumulating snow during the mid afternoon hours yesterday with intensity rates barely approaching moderate. This airmass means business.

True :)

But in 10 days thats April sun angle equal to mid September so even with incredible snow rates it won't be around long! Spring FTW

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The March sun angle argument hasn't worked out too well this March. Long Island had accumulating snow during the mid afternoon hours yesterday with intensity rates barely approaching moderate. This airmass means business.

 

What? Rates here were definitely moderate even heavy at times. Even KISP had moderate snow. We were lucky highs that day were only in the mid 30's. With the March 7-8th event, I barely saw any accumulating snow. This airmass is trash.

 

True :) But in 10 days thats April sun angle equal to mid September so even with incredible snow rates it won't be around long! Spring FTW

 

March 21st sun = September 21st sun so April sun is more so early September/late August like.

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Guest Tek1972

spring is out in full force:

Looks like the storm for Monday will be no big deal per Euro and GFS.

No big snow events after that= nothing that sticks.

The fat lady is singing for snow lovers!

No more snow shoveling at work and warmer temps within 30 days makes me a happy guy :)

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More like storm cancel. Disappointed weenies. Spring is around the corner popping up on the long range. Aww tooooo bad

 

 

where is the warmth?  maybe you can help me find it on these maps!!!!!

 

610tempnew_zps3c2af0af.gif

 

814tempnew_zpsd65fa44c.gif

 

Those are really toasty and they show how HOT it is gonna be in the long range!!!!!

 

LOL

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kinda sad when you people have to go to the very end of the GFS just to find somewhat above normal temps.

hour 360 on the GFS? really?

LOL

It's gonna be getting into the second week of April at that point dude, plus the long term gfs has a cold bias. Spring is coming soon. Deal.

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kinda sad when you people have to go to the very end of the GFS just to find somewhat above normal temps.  

 

hour 360 on the GFS?  really?

 

LOL

 

Duh!!!

 

What'd you think it would be? hr 24???? LMAO. Obviously it's staying cold for at least the next week and half. Everyone knows that. It's not sad because it shows that spring is coming. What's sad is that all you people will by crying when winter's over and all the spring lovers will be rejoicing in 60's.

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Wow awesome !!! The 300 hour GFS shows temps of 60 and clouds and rain. SICK DUDE!

 

Only 70% cloud cover if you looked (obviously no legend, my mistake). Not too shabby though. 

 

It's better than 30's and snow that's not even accumulating. Boy have I been down that road too many times before.

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Guest Tek1972

How bout this? Love it. Goodbye cold!

Wow awesome !!! The 300 hour GFS shows temps of 60 and clouds and rain. SICK DUDE!

No more snow!!!!!!!!

This is all that matters, warmth is inevitable

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Bring on the warmer temps!!

Slighty above avg snowfall with snowpack on March 23rd is good enough for me :)

The highest hills that face north still have snow cover here in westchester. I was driving on the Saw Mill and noticed some significant areas of snow cover on the slopes with good aspect. Very impressive for 3/23 and we look to get a great storm Monday.
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Guest Tek1972

Mid 80s and sunny in south beach! Won't be too long now fellas...

No it will. Funny you had to go there for warmth. Looks like 2-4 tomorrow

Next snow threat in 10 days as we approach August sun angle

I'm not worried at all

Sun angle FTW

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Spring looks to be a ways off with a major cold shot 3/26-3/27 as -10C 850s once again move into the Northeast. There might be one or two days near average afterwards but the ECM and GFS are pretty chilly with a storm signal around April 2nd as a huge trough remains carved out. I'm not seeing any sustained warmth for a while.

The TV mets and Upton are forecasting upper 40s for highs on 3/26-27. How is that a major cold shot? I'm a huge cold fan, but "cold" to some in NYC means highs in the upper 30s and lows in the upper 20s.

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Both the gfs and euro show some warmer temps on/around 4/3, whether it materializes or gets pushed back will be interesting to see.  Heights rise along the east coast wth trough retrograting into the rockies.  Perhaps a brief warmup, but none the less if trends continue on guidance we may see our first shot at 60 or better then.

 

 

GZ_PN_240_0000.gif

 

 

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Guest Tek1972

More like storm cancel. Disappointed weenies. Spring is around the corner popping up on the long range. Aww tooooo bad

where is the warmth? maybe you can help me find it on these maps!!!!!

Those are really toasty and they show how HOT it is gonna be in the long range!!!!!

LOL

This storm was a bust

Winters over!

Maybe cool but no snow :)

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk HD

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Both the gfs and euro show some warmer temps on/around 4/3, whether it materializes or gets pushed back will be interesting to see.  Heights rise along the east coast wth trough retrograting into the rockies.  Perhaps a brief warmup, but none the less if trends continue on guidance we may see our first shot at 60 or better then.

 

 

GZ_PN_240_0000.gif

 

The GFS now shows this for April 4th:

 

gfs_namer_216_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif

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It effectively looks like the atmosphere is still stuck in a combination of March- April MJO phase 1

after it entered the COD from there a few days ago. The Euro ensembles linger this pattern

into the start of April.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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I think we begin to see a back and forth over the next 2 weeks with some brief shots of warmer followed byu trough amplification cool/wet then more warmth etc....  With that as we look into April we should see the month start off much cooler 4/1 - 4/3 then the first warmer weather by the 5/6th then some cooler. 

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