superjames1992 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Saw this posted in the Mid-Atlantic forum... Surprise coating? One can hope. Too bad it's only colors on a clown map and probably wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Going to be a strong wedge tomorrow. Hello winter. really dont think there will be that strong of a wedge tomorrow. might see a slight inversion, but nothing strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 really dont think there will be that strong of a wedge tomorrow. might see a slight inversion, but nothing strong. I think there will be fog, precip, and 30 degree temps. Strong classic wedge for late March IMO. Going w/ NWS Blacksburg on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I think there will be fog, precip, and 30 degree temps. Strong classic wedge for late March IMO. Going w/ NWS Blacksburg on this one. yea...for VA. The majority of the people here care about NC LOL Here is the wetbulb temps sfc temps I see no strong high pressure to the north to sustain the barrier jet. Note the low forming off of SC's coast. Sfs maps indicate the low already having effects in NC. The inversion will erode as the low moves north. I was hoping for winter precip for non-mtn locations in NC, but after looking at critical thickness, wetbulb temp, and current temp my confidence is dropping. here is the thickness's. if it were to start to precipitate right now...the majority of VA would be rain. this is probably why offices were so hesitant on issuing warnings... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I disagree about the lack of wedging tomorrow. NE winds from 6 to 9 mph is definite wedging. And, frankly, to keep us in the mid to upper 30s in the daytime in late March, I'd say it's decent wedging. RAH talks about it in their latest AFD: TEMPERATURES:CHALLENGING TEMPERATURE FCST. ANTICIPATE A HYBRID OR IN-SITU COLDAIR DAMMING WEDGE TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...WITH HIGHSRANGING FROM THE MID/UPPER 30S IN THE NW PIEDMONT TO THE LOWER/MID40S IN THE SE COASTAL PLAIN. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT MAY VARY ONLY SEVERALDEGREES FROM DAYTIME HIGHS ON SUNDAY GIVEN THAT THE COLD AIR DAMMINGWEDGE IS LIKELY TO REMAIN IN PLACE ALL NIGHT...WITH THE WEDGE NOTLIKELY TO MIX OUT UNTIL THE ONSET OF STRONG COLD ADVECTION ONMONDAY. WILL INDICATE LOWS RANGING FROM THE LOWER/MID 30S N/NW TOUPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S FAR S/SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 look at my above post. there is a inversion...but it's nothing that will bring winter weather tomorrow. it's not strong at all. I disagree about the lack of wedging tomorrow. NE winds from 6 to 9 mph is definite wedging. And, frankly, to keep us in the mid to upper 30s in the daytime in late March, I'd say it's decent wedging. RAH talks about it in their latest AFD: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 look at my above post. there is a inversion...but it's nothing that will bring winter weather tomorrow. it's not strong at all. I'm not saying it's going to bring wintry weather. We get wedging all the time in winter (especially in-situ). It's what brings us our wondrous 34-degree rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'm not saying it's going to bring wintry weather. We get wedging all the time in winter (especially in-situ). It's what brings us our wondrous 34-degree rains. I do hope im wrong though...this would be one the the few times that i would be happy if i was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I do hope im wrong though...this would be one the the few times that i would be happy if i was So do I and I'm going to hope so until I'm wrong. I am curious about the good Dr. and his prognosis tonight, although we are kind of at a nowcasting time frame now. I'd love to at least see some mangled flakes descend from the heavens tomorrow evening. I don't think it's going to happen, but I'll keep on hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Well INT and points NW look like a R/S mix on the euro mid-morning, lets see how good it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Latest HRRr is wetter on the backside. has .1 of snow down to Raleigh and almost into Pitt county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I never did really buy into this system. Tuesday for me has always been the day to watch. Maybe we can get lucky and it will be more than just scattered snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Light to moderate snow here temp dropping like a rock and wet bulbing snow starting to stick on the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Still in the 40s and raining - warmer than yesterday (41 and rain), but still... a CROC. Hammer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Heavy Snow/Sleet here at Crewe, VA (50 miles SW of Richmond VA ELEVATION 532'). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Crewe, VA Wintry Mix 37F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z Euro map from DT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 look at my above post. there is a inversion...but it's nothing that will bring winter weather tomorrow. it's not strong at all. Moderate/Heavy Snow hit this morning in the NC mountains with accumulations. Here in the foothills its 36 degrees fog w/ precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Moderate/Heavy Snow hit this morning in the NC mountains with accumulations. Here in the foothills its 36 degrees fog w/ precip. If you read the post before, instead of taking my post out of context i said. " I was hoping for winter precip for non-mtn locations in NC, but after looking at critical thickness, wetbulb temp, and current temp my confidence is dropping. ". And CAD does not effect mountaintops. Dunno if you know that or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z Euro map from DT... Wow. No clue if it's right, but please be. I tend to doubt it, though. 37/35 here with light rain at the moment. No wintry precipitation in the forecast per the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 If you read the post before, instead of taking my post out of context i said. " I was hoping for winter precip for non-mtn locations in NC, but after looking at critical thickness, wetbulb temp, and current temp my confidence is dropping. ". And CAD does not effect mountaintops. Dunno if you know that or not. Why would you think such a thing? This has been a mountain event from the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Why would you think such a thing? This has been a mountain event from the start. Your quotes "Shift the 540 line 1-2 counties south on the GFS and boom for northern foothills / north-west Triad." "Birds are going crazy here. Therefore, I am calling for accumulating snow IMBY." "Feeling a good snow is on the way for the mountains/foothills." "I think foothills will be in the game. Maybe north-west Piedmont too." "I think this is our best opportunity. Never seen snow on the ground for my birthday so it would be fairly historic. " So you deff knew this was going to be a mountain event from that start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 SW VA appears to be crushed. Wytheville looks like a nice place to be. Roanoke, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Guess I am wrong...SLEETING here!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Guess I am wrong...SLEETING here!!! proof? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Crewe, VA Rain. 39F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 proof? ummm...I heard rocks hitting the roof. Guess you can check the local Wilkes County forum for reports. I only see 1 other report from Millers Creek. http://www.gowilkes.com/voice/winter-weather-watch-fromweather-channel/126551/?start=0&h=20130324124424 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Guess I am wrong...SLEETING here!!! Just a bit of slop. Instead of reading models it's time to read the calendar. It trumps -NAO in the SE this time of the year outside the mountains and possible spill over slop in the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Geesh....debating over the presence of sleet pellets...its been that kind of winter this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 SLP firing up off Myrtle Beach/ILM buoys clocking winds of 50+ knts...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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