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March 21-26 winter storm threats: best SE opportunities of season?


GaWx

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..sleet is the initial precip before the main event of cold rain starts.

Yeah on 2/12/10 here we started as sleet for about 30 minutes then changed over to rain for 10 hours then to snow for 4 hours but 2/12 is nothing like whatever this is. Just saying this about the sleet and cold rain thing.
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 Lol. No, burns. Never once in my life have I ever considered 2 minutes of rain followed by 12 hours of snow a jxdama. It is most certainly a snowstorm. I've never wavered. Don't you know what jxdama means for goodness sakes?

 Yes I do know who/what jxdama is.  I was congratulating you about admitting you were wrong in thinking I knew better.

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 Yes I do know who/what jxdama is.  I was congratulating you about admitting you were wrong in thinking I knew better.

 

Lolz. My bad. You're right. I was, indeed, very wrong in thinking you knew better. :( I hope you accept my apologies for this horrible misunderstanding. :) I'll do my best to avoid this kind of mistake in the future, but there are no guarantees.

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Winter Storm Watch for NC High Country...5 to 7 inches snow expected.

RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC

408 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SIGNIFICANT SPRING SNOW EVENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE TENNESSEE

BORDER COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIAN AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW DEPARTS...A STRONG COLD

FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. COLD AND MOIST

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF COLD FRONT. A MID

LEVEL LOW WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS MONDAY

NIGHT...MOVING EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY MORNING. THE

COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...UPSLOPE WINDS...AND LARGE SCALE

FORCING WILL RESULT IN THE GREATEST SNOWFALL RATES MONDAY NIGHT

AND TUESDAY MORNING.

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-240630-

/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0005.130325T0600Z-130326T2200Z/

AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-

NORTHERN JACKSON-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...

WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA

408 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH

TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED

A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT

THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...THE TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM

AVERY SOUTHWEST TO GRAHAM...INCLUDING NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL

PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN...WILL

DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS ARE

EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL

RATES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE MID DAY TUESDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...HIGHER

AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE RIDGES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL RESULT IN SNOW COVERED

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP

MONDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. HIGH

ELEVATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE LINE MAY SEE DEEP SNOW DRIFTS

ACROSS ROADS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO BETWEEN ONE QUARTER

AND ONE HALF MILE IN SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. HIGH ELEVATIONS MAY

REMAIN IN THE LOW 20S.

* WINDS...WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40

MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT

SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

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Winter Storm Watch for NC High Country...5 to 7 inches snow expected.

RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC

408 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SIGNIFICANT SPRING SNOW EVENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE TENNESSEE

BORDER COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIAN AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW DEPARTS...A STRONG COLD

FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. COLD AND MOIST

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF COLD FRONT. A MID

LEVEL LOW WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS MONDAY

NIGHT...MOVING EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY MORNING. THE

COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...UPSLOPE WINDS...AND LARGE SCALE

FORCING WILL RESULT IN THE GREATEST SNOWFALL RATES MONDAY NIGHT

AND TUESDAY MORNING.

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-240630-

/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0005.130325T0600Z-130326T2200Z/

AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-

NORTHERN JACKSON-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...

WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA

408 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH

TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED

A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT

THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...THE TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM

AVERY SOUTHWEST TO GRAHAM...INCLUDING NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL

PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN...WILL

DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS ARE

EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL

RATES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE MID DAY TUESDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...HIGHER

AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE RIDGES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL RESULT IN SNOW COVERED

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP

MONDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. HIGH

ELEVATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE LINE MAY SEE DEEP SNOW DRIFTS

ACROSS ROADS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO BETWEEN ONE QUARTER

AND ONE HALF MILE IN SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. HIGH ELEVATIONS MAY

REMAIN IN THE LOW 20S.

* WINDS...WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40

MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT

SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

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Wait, did the Euro really show that much for the Triad?  WTF?

 

The NAM clown maps showed us on the cusp of something great, too, but it's probably just NAMing us.

 

I think everyone might have given up on this one a little too early...... If the current south trends continue tonight, we might be in business.

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No winter storm threats down here, but really unusual cool on tap for a few more days (NWS):

 

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 67. Windy, with a northwest wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 64. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 35.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 65.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.

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Well have to see about this southward trend.  But I think we are too late for any big shift. 

i think you may be right. Ensemble's are pretty set where the low pressure will be 48 hours from now....hopefully things will change though. 

 

12z ensembles for 48 hours from now

 

12znaefs850mbTSLPUS048.gif

12zecmwfens850mbTSLPUS048.gif

12zggemensemble850mbTSLPUS048.gif

12zgfsensemble850mbTSLPUS048.gif

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0z GFS joining all the other models with snow for the north-west Triad vicinity. WXII12 now has a Mix in the forecast.

 

GFS_3_2013032400_F18_SNOWIN_SURFACE.png

 

SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-1035 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY DAWN SUNDAY. NOACCUMULATION OF SNOW OR SLEET IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH LIGHTACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND SNOW POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSSNORTHERN PATRICK AND NORTHERN HENRY COUNTIES. A WINTER WEATHERADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED IN SOME AREAS. A NEW WEATHER SYSTEM MAYBRING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE AREA TUESDAY.

:snowwindow:

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