WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 GGEM goes all meteolegically imporkable on us and goes to Chicago as well. If the Euro does the same, remember, it's NOT the Euro caving to the GFS. GFS shows the storm in Chicago. Euro having the storm in Springfield, IL, will be totally different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdmorrow Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 GFS ensemble mean has lows in the OV and off the Carolinas at 6z Mon. Kind of a mess thereafter but chillyish.Verbatim it's still fairly sucky around here.I'm back in, in all seriousness until the Euro shows this cutting like the goofus I wouldn't worry too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The 12z euro will be interesting to say the least. If it holds and develops the secondary around South Carolina again, I think the game is on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Exactly. Ahole tried to call me out by my screenname when DT already knows who I am, lol. The dude acted like he was doing something. At any rate...I actually agree with DT for the most part...although I think it can cut just west of us. It'll cut because the block will be less otherwordly than it's expected to be. Damn the physics of the models...the GFS knows what will happen at 5H in future runs, so its current surface output is a reflection of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 GEfs are ugly. Stung out secondary..... not what you wanna see. NIce title too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Euro doesn't do big jumps very often like the gfs does. It made a move last night with an ohv transfer. Anything further west then that is a red flag the size of russia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 GGEM is what i think the storm will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Isn't this basically a similar version of what happened with the Feb storm that hammered Kansas? Low runs up to the Iowa, Chicago area and just wilts? For whoever it was that said congrats Harrisonburg and Winchester ..... you can forget that. We aren't going to get good things from a low 1000+ miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 GGEM is what i think the storm will do I'm not sure the GGEM solution is that great for us? Regardless, I'm riding the Euro 100%. No blending. Euro or nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Isn't this basically a similar version of what happened with the Feb storm that hammered Kansas? Low runs up to the Iowa, Chicago area and just wilts? For whoever it was that said congrats Harrisonburg and Winchester ..... you can forget that. We aren't going to get good things from a low 1000+ miles away. it does look a bit similar on the gfs.. so that is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 euro is such a better model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 euro is such a better model What's going on with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 wide right/OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 wide right/OTS OK. Well, I'm hugging that for now. HECS cancel. I'm guessing block/suppression issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 OK. Well, I'm hugging that for now. HECS cancel. I'm guessing block/suppression issues? I like the April 3rd threat better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I like the April 3rd threat better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 wide right/OTS IWMs blew up. Where does the 500 low track after 120 (SE Kansas)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I like the April 3rd threat better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 So the EURO and the GFS are still on different planets? Shock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 So the EURO and the GFS are still on different planets? Shock! 0z Euro and 6z GFS were fairly similar. Both went in the (physical) opposite directions at 12z. GFS went back west, Euro went east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 sure looked promising on Day 5 eyeballing the Plymouth maps Day 6 has a 996 slp right off HAT, so it's close I bet the ensembles will show more of a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Well, at least the euro shows .32 total @ iad w/ .17 falling with surface below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 sure looked promising on Day 5 eyeballing the Plymouth maps Day 6 has a 996 slp right off HAT, so it's close I bet the ensembles will show more of a hit You are probably right. If I am not mistaken the last 3 runs of the ensembles have been NW of the Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Congrats CHO again and I'm sure DT is honking about the .43 w/ 33 degree temps in RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I'm still in. I've been skeptical with the big cut scenario. GFS is just more agressive closing off h5 earlier and further N. Take that away and we're still in the game at least in some form or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 crap. except for more precip in kansas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 looks like accu is going west http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-heads-up-from-accuweather.html?spref=tw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 So this we all agree this supressed cutter is going wide leftright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 So funny reading the notes from you all on here abou the Euro and then seeing DT's feed on facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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