WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 It's similar to the first signs of redevelopment on the gfs. primary into ky and redevelopment off the seva/nc coast. Keeps the column cool. The notable thing is it looks like the gfs in some important respects. If a transfer scenario really does become locked in then expectations should be reduced to a notable event at best but still nothing exciting. Well, we'll just have to be in different camps on that one. If that low can get into central Ky, and we can get CAD that's strong enough, a redevelopment south of us could be decent. It didn't work well for everyone at Christmas, but that doesn't mean it can't work now. I'd say the ocean is probably colder right now than it was in December. It may even be colder (air mass) leading up to this than it was in December. Just a conversation piece right now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I think the problem here is that the euro shows the best case for us in a redevelopment scenario. It can only get worse unless the block flexes and keeps the primary from driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 iow, same ole' pattern the question we need to ask is "what is different" this time? those Euro numbers indicate to me little or nothing to make a difference in the end I guess one can hope if one chooses, but.... What's different is that we'll be past the equinox and it's about time for f'ing spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 "snowlessfesturd". What a gem. Kinda describes what most feel MA winter has been like. If anything, this forum has set the bar for high quality banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 What's different is that we'll be past the equinox and it's about time for f'ing spring. I'm witcha' on dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I'm witcha' on dat I call BS, you do not cruise the forums in the spring like this. You really want a nice snowstorm, that is the only reason you are here. The truth will set you free Mitch . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I'm with Ian on this one. You weenies are out of control. This thing has rainstorm written all over it, regardless of 6 day models. Climo wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I call BS, you do not cruise the forums in the spring like this. You really want a nice snowstorm, that is the only reason you are here. The truth will set you free Mitch . I'm here like I've been saying for years every March...habit this has been the winter of disappointment enough already but like almost every evil NINA, we get a cold March like this one, too cold for outside stuff and too warm for snow it is what it is, and tomorrow it is spring, so let's have it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Blocking looking better on the GFS compared to 6z so far. But we're only at 87hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Chicago cut again. CAD signal is strong....but no precip to go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 GFS hates us. Again. Hopefully it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Don't worry, Euro will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 [DT]Meteorologically impossible[/DT] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 actually on second look this is pretty legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Forget the HECS and go all-in on the Wednesday night SECF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 actually on second look this is pretty legit gfs_namer_141_precip_ptot.gif This map makes me want to pack it up and head back to Louisiana. At least there I know there is no hope, and thus no chance to get snow-holed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 [DT]Meteorologically impossible[/DT] What happened to the block from God? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Terrible track. Convection will rob everyone in th cold sector. H5 low was over Virginia 12z yesterday when it didn't suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 actually on second look this is pretty legit gfs_namer_141_precip_ptot.gif GFS is now locked in. Everything else will trend towards it. Utter failure. No chance at all for any snow.... MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 This has been a miller B winter-- Persistence. Bet against it, Do not. Congrats to Harrisonburg and Winchester again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 What happened to the block from God? G-d has forsaken us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 G-d has forsaken us. Bring on severe, anything is better than this crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 just ignore the american models. Pretend that they dont exist. Use the european exclusively for better or worse. The 00z euro control has a HECS btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 look! more snow for BOS more negative snow for us yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 G-d has forsaken us. Some DT douche sycophant replied to my mostly serious post on DT's wall. But Dave's response to the 12z GFS. CORRECT as I said in the VIDEO... did u see it? AGAIN.. this has NOTHING nothing to do with ANY Model. 1 The AO is at Historically SEVERE negative levels of -5... 2 the NAO is also negative 4.5 3 There is huge 50/50 Low 4 MJO phase 8 to 1... this Low is NOT going to chicago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Some DT douche sycophant replied to my mostly serious post on DT's wall. But Dave's response to the 12z GFS. CORRECT as I said in the VIDEO... did u see it? AGAIN.. this has NOTHING nothing to do with ANY Model. 1 The AO is at Historically SEVERE negative levels of -5... 2 the NAO is also negative 4.5 3 There is huge 50/50 Low 4 MJO phase 8 to 1... this Low is NOT going to chicago... Mathologicaly impassible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Some DT douche sycophant replied to my mostly serious post on DT's wall. But Dave's response to the 12z GFS. CORRECT as I said in the VIDEO... did u see it? AGAIN.. this has NOTHING nothing to do with ANY Model. 1 The AO is at Historically SEVERE negative levels of -5... 2 the NAO is also negative 4.5 3 There is huge 50/50 Low 4 MJO phase 8 to 1... this Low is NOT going to chicago... lol, i saw. we have lots of people who read the board nonstop then whine elsewhere. and i called it. i do tend to think the gfs is too far west.. not sure it matters that much for us in the heat island of the low lands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 just ignore the american models. Pretend that they dont exist. Use the european exclusively for better or worse. The 00z euro control has a HECS btw Euro better hold the line. But the way this winter has been, I wouldn't be suprised to see it move towards the GFS with a delayed re-development scenario---congrats, SNE. On the other hand, all patterns have to coome to an end at some point. Remember in late Feb 2010 our epic run ended with a storm that screwed us and hit further. Maybe this storm will be the pattern changer and end our misery. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 GFS ensemble mean has lows in the OV and off the Carolinas at 6z Mon. Kind of a mess thereafter but chillyish.Verbatim it's still fairly sucky around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 lol, i saw. we have lots of people who read the board nonstop then whine elsewhere. and i called it. i do tend to think the gfs is too far west.. not sure it matters that much for us in the heat island of the low lands. Exactly. Ahole tried to call me out by my screenname when DT already knows who I am, lol. The dude acted like he was doing something. At any rate...I actually agree with DT for the most part...although I think it can cut just west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.