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The March 25-March 32 HECS potential


Ji

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they are being overly cautious based on the march 6th bust and the backlash......

 

not sure there are any new reasons today to raise it. in this situation no real reason to go big yet. there may be a greater than 2 in 10 shot of .1"+ .. but most people don't take the digit as defined. not sure it's really totally useful with that current definition anyway.

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not sure there are any new reasons today to raise it. in this situation no real reason to go big yet. there may be a greater than 2 in 10 shot of .1"+ .. but most people don't take the digit as defined. not sure it's really totally useful with that current definition anyway.

Is that what 2 means?

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not sure there are any new reasons today to raise it. in this situation no real reason to go big yet. there may be a greater than 2 in 10 shot of .1"+ .. but most people don't take the digit as defined. not sure it's really totally useful with that current definition anyway.

 

i'm not sure why they use it...I'd say IAD has a 50-50 chance of measurable at this point....maybe even 60-40...

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Is that what 2 means?

 

Jason has been spooked by march 6th a bit I think....it's too bad since the detractors are some of the stupidest people on earth....

 

If they are going to use the SPI as defined it should be a 4 at a minimum and probably a 5 or 6.....if they think the SPI is going to be misconstrued then just dont use it

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lol...no

 

it wont be in range until 2:15-2:30.....go to bed...you can see the 0.35" and warm BL when you wake up

Lol it's a sickness even though I have to be up at 6:30 in the morning, I am dying to see if it goes the way of the other globals tonight. Hopefully either Ian or Bob will be up then.

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Jason has been spooked by march 6th a bit I think....it's too bad since the detractors are some of the stupidest people on earth....

 

If they are going to use the SPI as defined it should be a 4 at a minimum and probably a 5 or 6.....if they think the SPI is going to be misconstrued then just dont use it

even earlier in the year i gave a 9 on a day where every airport got accum and people were all freaking out it was a 9. so.. im not sure it's the greatest scale ever.

 

but camden went with a two.. he asked about it. based on jason's post earlier with wes' comments.. didn't see a need to up it based on anything new (which is all arguably worse than earlier runs despite QPF or snowmaps) so i left it.

 

but if you were just giving probability straight up, your odds are seemingly fine.

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even earlier in the year i gave a 9 on a day where every airport got accum and people were all freaking out it was a 9. so.. im not sure it's the greatest scale ever.

 

but camden went with a two.. he asked about it. based on jason's post earlier with wes' comments.. didn't see a need to up it based on anything new (which is all arguably worse than earlier runs despite QPF or snowmaps) so i left it.

 

but if you were just giving probability straight up, your odds are seemingly fine.

 

yeah...you cant start messing with it at this point...just tweak it for next year..probably by changing the definition...

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