ravensrule Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 funny how you guys who rip the nam all day are the first to post about it. Nothing else to do until midnight when the Goofus comes out. Even ugly people get looked at . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Shifting on up to New England. I was close Matt. It will show a full blown blizzard here by the 06z run while the Euro is 300 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Colder than the Canadian though. Only by a bit, I see a clear CAD sig at the surface, 850mb get close for I95. Not sure what to make of it, CTBLIZZ may steal our storm again with that track, secondary nails central NJ NE to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Nothing else to do until midnight when the Goofus comes out. Even ugly people get looked at . We shouldn't talk about a weather model on a weather board as a topic of conversation about weather. I'm going to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 It will show a full blown blizzard here by the 06z run while the Euro is 300 miles south. Prep for 10-15 at a minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Only by a bit, I see a clear CAD sig at the surface, 850mb get close for I95. Not sure what to make of it, CTBLIZZ may steal our storm again with that track, secondary nails central NJ NE to NYC. The clown maps look pretty crazy up there. Even though its the NAM we all know it will end up like that. But if it gives me my 5" like promised on the clown map I could care less if they get 3'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 It will show a full blown blizzard here by the 06z run while the Euro is 300 miles south. give it another run or 2 and the Euro will be showing more snow than the NAM congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 the start of the inevitable snow hole, no doubt http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 NAM is probably wrong anyway.. but it's too cold given what it shows imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 the start of the inevitable snow hole, no doubt http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE084.gif Even thought WinterWxLuvr loves snow I bet he knows what's going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 the start of the inevitable snow hole, no doubt http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE084.gif Good thing your still in the purple , I know you love the NAM as much as Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Dammit, I'm down to 7" on this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Nam looks fine through 48. What's all the commotion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Good thing your still in the purple , I know you love the NAM as much as Matt. WinterWxLuvr knows how these stories go. He'll play it all snow weenie but he knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 yoda must be sleeping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 WinterWxLuvr knows how these stories go. He'll play it all snow weenie but he knows. Oh if any model but the NAM shows this, we all know its going to be like the titanic here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 yoda must be sleeping. Lol the Nam is like the Euro compared to the Sref's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Trending toward another SNE bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Lol the Nam is like the Euro compared to the Sref's. eh.. at this range they both are kinda meh tho if the nam looks a bit like an outlier kinda worth seeing the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 eh.. at this range they both are kinda meh tho if the nam looks a bit like an outlier kinda worth seeing the mean. I am getting the bad feeling we get some mangled flakes while Philly to Boston gets destroyed . I saw somewhere that the shortwave entered Canada so maybe that is the reason for the huge shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 tho really the nam is kinda euroish with the transfer. ee rule. book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I am getting the bad feeling we get some mangled flakes while Philly to Boston gets destroyed . I saw somewhere that the shortwave entered Canada so maybe that is the reason for the huge shift. we suck at these kind of storms in general.. i mean, im pretty sure if you had a dog watch the models all winter and rang a bell at a certain time it would know how to forecast this better than people who really like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 WinterWxLuvr knows how these stories go. He'll play it all snow weenie but he knows. LOL. You trolling me young man? I'll admit when I looked at it, I didn't like it. I only look at precip. I know you guys all look at temps, and I guess that's valid especially down low, but without the precip, none of it matters. I've learned enough to not feel really excited until the Euro gets wetter. One thing though. You mentioned the 500L. It's closer this time. Maybe get in on a little of the action Richmond saw Mar 6? Also, don't we want the 850 closed low south of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOL. You trolling me young man? I'll admit when I looked at it, I didn't like it. I only look at precip. I know you guys all look at temps, and I guess that's valid especially down low, but without the precip, none of it matters. I've learned enough to not feel really excited until the Euro gets wetter. One thing though. You mentioned the 500L. It's closer this time. Maybe get in on a little of the action Richmond saw Mar 6? Also, don't we want the 850 closed low south of us? I don't remember RIC setup exactly other than they were in a great spot just nw of the 850 low. This run is pretty crap for us at 500/850... better hope it's wrong. I mean, you'll probably get snow because you are the Mt Tolland of 12/13 since precip never makes it to Mt VortMax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 It will show a full blown blizzard here by the 06z run while the Euro is 300 miles south. And then the Euro will come around and you will get a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOL. You trolling me young man? I'll admit when I looked at it, I didn't like it. I only look at precip. I know you guys all look at temps, and I guess that's valid especially down low, but without the precip, none of it matters. I've learned enough to not feel really excited until the Euro gets wetter. One thing though. You mentioned the 500L. It's closer this time. Maybe get in on a little of the action Richmond saw Mar 6? Also, don't we want the 850 closed low south of us? And no wasn't trolling. I think you were one of the first to hit it on the head about precip and continue at it. I mean, the Euro was sorta juiced but half of it came from mythical backlash so I dunno. I wouldn't be surprised if we start losing precip every run here out just about tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 And then the Euro will come around and you will get a blizzard. I think it is pretty natural to assume that SNE will get hit....there are a number of ways it can happen and screwing us over in teh process is a part of most of those ways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 eh.. at this range they both are kinda meh tho if the nam looks a bit like an outlier kinda worth seeing the mean. The mean is cold and fairly wet. I don't trust those things though. They really haven't done well, IMO. I was watching taped WC coverage of Mar 6, and they were using a model that started with an R? I can't remember exactly but it nailed what happened on Mar 6 from the early demise of the heavy bands to what happened in Richmond. RPM model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 And no wasn't trolling. I think you were one of the first to hit it on the head about precip and continue at it. I mean, the Euro was sorta juiced but half of it came from mythical backlash so I dunno. I wouldn't be surprised if we start losing precip every run here out just about tho. it is too bad too, because the blocking pattern is so anomalous....in a better winter we might actually get a decent NW event.....we still could but i think no reason to ditch the euro...T-2" seems like a good ballpark for DC metro with 1-3" for others out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Well, it's off to bed. It's going to be what it's going to be. No need in being sleepy tomorrow worrying about it on Thurs night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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