mitchnick Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 thru 81 hrs, gfs doesn't look bad and has signs of really blowing up closed 5h low in a good spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 thru 81 hrs, gfs doesn't look bad and has signs of really blowing up closed 5h low in a good spot cold and amped..solid hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 would like to see tyhe coastal take over a hair sooner than what 81 hrs shows though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 We are about to get GFS'd. cold and amped..solid hit Damn im good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 cold and amped..solid hit good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 heh Is that real? Because I see another Uberbust coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Looks like .7 at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS looks great. Good transfer to keep the column in tact. Widespread .5+. Good run. And cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 2m temps are still a bit marginal, but better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS looks great. Good transfer to keep the column in tact. Widespread .5+. Good run. And cold. And dang near perfect timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS is same track as the nam, but it is quite a bit slower with less precip. Convection is going to make this a nightmare to forecast for everyone except those under the H5 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS shows 4-8 the hard way down my way-- two segments of 2-4 inches. And, I'd suspect that most of segment one is melted before #2 starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 This is DCA. Looks really good all things considered. MON 00Z 25-MAR 0.4 -2.4 0.10 MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.3 -5.0 0.21 MON 12Z 25-MAR 0.3 -5.0 0.33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS is same track as the nam, but it is quite a bit slower with less precip. Convection is going to make this a nightmare to forecast for everyone except those under the H5 low. Nam is great for convection.. Ride it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 This is DCA. Looks really good all things considered. MON 00Z 25-MAR 0.4 -2.4 0.10 MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.3 -5.0 0.21 MON 12Z 25-MAR 0.3 -5.0 0.33 And if half of that is snow that accumulates we are in business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Wow. IAD is killer. MON 00Z 25-MAR -0.4 -2.5 0.16 MON 06Z 25-MAR -0.5 -5.1 0.26 MON 12Z 25-MAR -0.1 -5.2 0.26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS shows 4-8 the hard way down my way-- two segments of 2-4 inches. And, I'd suspect that most of segment one is melted before #2 starts. Keep hope alive ... NAM, GFS, and EC all show snow accums.. Pretty impressive for March 24! I would take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Ji will be here soon. Close to the 8" he's looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Wow. IAD is killer. MON 00Z 25-MAR -0.4 -2.5 0.16 MON 06Z 25-MAR -0.5 -5.1 0.26 MON 12Z 25-MAR -0.1 -5.2 0.26 Do you have BWI?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Looks like an I95 and west type of event irt surface temps. Really close in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 850's good through event, surface looks is borderline in city and S&E. 00z Euro comes in with <.2 QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Do you have BWI?. Gotta keep your fingers crossed and hope surface can shed a degree. We're all asking for a lot here until you get 15-20 miles west of 95. Timing is starting to lock in as mostly an overnight deal. I hope the euro loses some of the long duration strung out stuff. MON 00Z 25-MAR 1.1 -3.5 0.06 544 540 MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.8 -5.9 0.16 538 538 MON 12Z 25-MAR 0.4 -5.2 0.28 535 535 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS is nice. If the precip doesn't come at night then it's not worth discussing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 00z Euro comes in with <.2 QPF. Conjecture, I hope? Unless I really don't know my GMT times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Conjecture, I hope? Unless I really don't know my GMT times. utc is easy. 0z Mon = 8pm Sun during EDT and 7pm EST. 6z mon is 2am and so forth. GFS has best precip rates between 2am and 8am. Best window possible. Maybe our luck has turned at the last minute....or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Keep hope alive ... NAM, GFS, and EC all show snow accums.. Pretty impressive for March 24! I would take it. You guys are a decent event away from a climo winter-- right? My manager lives in Fincastle-- 7 Jan event, 5, surprise event. 5 march 5-6 + all the table scraps has him over 20 inches on the winter. He's WAYY up past fincastle, so cashes in a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 utc is easy. 0z Mon = 8pm Sun during EDT and 7pm EST. 6z mon is 2am and so forth. GFS has best precip rates between 2am and 8am. Best window possible. Maybe our luck has turned at the last minute....or not Thanks a lot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 All we need to do is hold for 3 days. Should be less impossible than NK hitting CA with a nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 All we need to do is hold for 3 days. Should be less impossible than NK hitting CA with a nuke. Well if you think about it..this threat has been showing since last Sunday or so..and its changed from a bomb to crap..to now what seems to be trending back to a stronger storm..so all it may do is get better and grab more qpf..what say you..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 So are we ruling out the chance of a big Miller A HECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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