Ian Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 If this was about 10 days from now I'd be all in. Trees might be leafing by then... a lot more ready to pop around here tho it could be slow with the cold. If we get an anomalous snow event I want it to be crippling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I don't remember if we got anything during Passover, but I think it snowed 3 days later on Good Friday with temps staying in the 30's most of the day. I was only 9 then so I'm not positive about the way that week played out. I remember a 4-5 inch snowstorm in South Jersey in 1997 in last week of March on Good Friday. But down here got nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I'm starting some self-discipline to subdue my out-of-control emotions over the latest GFS run. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I just want to see DCA report an inch. Too bad its too late for that this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I'm starting some self-discipline to subdue my out-of-control emotions over the latest GFS run. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. It's still 5 days out and it's only the 18z. Your 3rd post and you're already posting that. At least wait 5 posts before you start acting like one of us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casualbrain Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Glad I live in Roanoke. Just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Your 3rd post and you're already posting that. At least wait 5 posts before you start acting like one of us! Please ban anyone with less then 50 posts before its to late! I can already see the disease beginning to spread myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 If we got get 6"...do they make kosher for Passover bourbon? I'd be all in for that! I wish they did but alas that is impossible. I would drink an entire bottle of shlivovitz though if we got 6", and that tastes like bull urine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Please ban anyone with less then 50 posts before its to late! I can already see the disease beginning to spread myself. Didn't know it was contagious. I should probably shut up for all of your sakes. But the disease has already progressed too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 NAM shows decent precip rates in the Carolinas at 84hrs though. The last 15 storms imby have been T-2". Thats every event starting with October 2011! I am a little slow, but I think I finally caught on and I am forecasting T"-2" given the fact that snow is in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GFS definitely south and east...let's see wht it does with the coastal redevelopment..if any Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Better...still not what i wanna see..but each successive run has gotten better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 That run was worse. 18z was way better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Big snow mtns west and crap for us. I'm doubly all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 That run was worse. 18z was way better GFS sucks who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Plus there's like days and days of flurries or sprinkles after. Go winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Heard ggem is a monster and why trust it? Number 2 model right now. Jma also destroying Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Nice rain on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Euro gives iad/dca .22 ish with good temps. Dicey on bookends with light rates. Pretty consistent with location of transfer. 6z gfs is a nice improvement over 0z. I'm glad gfs is tossing the pit primary idea. We all know how these systems go. Super tough to nail down timing and placement. There will precip busts in both directions for some even at really short range. We're due. DEATHBAND! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 BWI is the wettest out of the 3 majors this run. Euro shows .24 from 6-12z Monday. Surface 33-34. Knock a degree or 2 off and its congrats Mitch. Ji should be happy. Jyo jackpot right now and it will stick to his driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Euro gives iad/dca .22 ish with good temps. Dicey on bookends with light rates. Pretty consistent with location of transfer. 6z gfs is a nice improvement over 0z. I'm glad gfs is tossing the pit primary idea. We all know how these systems go. Super tough to nail down timing and placement. There will precip busts in both directions for some even at really short range. We're due. DEATHBAND! Looks like the Euro timing is better, later. Is that correct? If we could slow the GFS timing down by about 6-9 hours we'd have the best precip at night and a better chance I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Looks like the Euro timing is better, later. Is that correct? If we could slow the GFS timing down by about 6-9 hours we'd have the best precip at night and a better chance I would think. Euro has the best rates between 6-12z so that should be 2-8am. Light stuff before and after won't do much. Euro has best case timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I'm not seeing anything more than a car topper. Sorry. A 1004 off the coast isn't going to drag enough cold in or dynamically cool the column at all. We need a big dynamic beast for anything over 1 inch. Not going to be significant with the march sun anyway. You weenies need to stop dreaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I'm not seeing anything more than a car topper. Sorry. A 1004 off the coast isn't going to drag enough cold in or dynamically cool the column at all. We need a big dynamic beast for anything over 1 inch. Not going to be significant with the march sun anyway. You weenies need to stop dreaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I'm not seeing anything more than a car topper. Sorry. A 1004 off the coast isn't going to drag enough cold in or dynamically cool the column at all. We need a big dynamic beast for anything over 1 inch. Not going to be significant with the march sun anyway. You weenies need to stop dreaming. I didn't realize the sun makes a difference In the dead of night. I also didn't realize that -5 850s with a freezing surface needed dynamic cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 it's carp, but the 6z NAM looks the nicst of all the models to these weenie eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 .24? Cut that in half and we are good. At least the models have us in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 My expectations are fine. 1-3 just n-w of the cities is looking ok. If I get 1.5" with a 32 surface it will be my best overall event of the year. You're GD right I'm trackin this beeyotch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Euro has the best rates between 6-12z so that should be 2-8am. Light stuff before and after won't do much. Euro has best case timing. SO what does the Euro have in terms of QPF and temps for DCA and IAD? I can't tell much from the crappy temporal resolution of the model on the free sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Meh. Anything less than 8 is a severe bust for the storm I was hoping for. Terrible storm...terrible winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.