Zelocita Weather Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 not at all buddy! Be barely had any QPF and temps were around 38! Precip was also light 0:1 my friend, your describing reasons WHY the ratio was 0:1, but it was. We had about 0.1-0.2 QPF with no accumulation (That is 0:1). 2-3:1 is normal sleet accum ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Clipper from last Saturday, snowed most of the day...0 accumulation. Thats 0:1 snow, 2:1 is normal sleetvery wet snow ratio. I've never heard of non accumulating snow being referred to 0:1 snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Btw next week we may be looking at 1:1 ratio rain. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Srefs are wet and amp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Sref are insane. Really tucked in and over 1 inch of qpf for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Yes, the SREF's have gotten more impressive with each run for the past 4 runs. Has all of NJ down now for more than 1 inch precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Sref are insane. Really tucked in and over 1 inch of qpf for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Well.....upton has us all really in the 2-3" range on the new map....wil prob up it of course if the euro shifts N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Sref are insane. Really tucked in and over 1 inch of qpf for NYC. The secondary gets going over Eastern NC instead of just offshore on the 3z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 SREF for LGA doesn't waste much of that QPF, it gives 9" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 I always take the SREFs a bit lightly here. They tend to be weenie-ish a lot of the time for us slowly inching up the solution and the QPF, then backing off within a day of the event. I think they've done that every storm outside of the big one back in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 The NAM at 36 hrs looks a mb or two deeper with the secondary near KHAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 ULL is stronger this run! Could hurt us this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 At hr 42, H5 low is about 40 miles south of the 06z run. Heights slightly lower around the northeast. Don't think the outcome will change much though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 At HR 45 you can tell a big run is incoming! Hold tight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 ULL is stronger this run! Could hurt us this run Plus, through 42, that suppressive low in eastern canada has that vorticity lobe rotating around, effectively elongating it toward our incoming ULL as the globals had been showing.. Works to suppress heights and would tend not to allow it as far north.. Lets see how it unravels in future frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Plus, through 42, that suppressive low in eastern canada has that vorticity lobe rotating around, effectively elongating it toward our incoming ULL as the globals had been showing.. Works to suppress heights and would tend not to allow it as far north.. Lets see how it unravels in future frames.. Yeh at HR 45 looks much better lets see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 VVs are insane! This is going to be a big hit incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Hr 54 nam has us in Ccb. Area getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 12z monday is in the same spot just a few mb deeper. Yea.. Weird! Upper levels show it should have trended east, and yet at the surface, low is just as tucked in, and a tad more wrapped up, even... Go figure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Vorticity slightly stronger at hr 51 compared to hr 57 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Can anyone just answer if Sullivan County in the western Catskills is in the game or in the periphery? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Hr 57 ownage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Well.....upton has us all really in the 2-3" range on the new map....wil prob up it of course if the euro shifts N these big blocking events tend to start out this way....ur right, over the next 48hrs i can see the totals going up but the gradient will be really really tight. you might have 8-12 in northern mt holly coverage area and 3-6 in the southern upton coverage area. there could be alot of radar watching where weenies stare at their computer screen with delusional outbursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 At 54, its pounding Phili.. Question is, does it come as far north. It is a tad further east, so lets see if it is able to push into NYC as on earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Hr 57 going too be a big hit! Look at those vvs and the coastal is 988 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Hr 57 we are getting ponded. It's not further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 wow. the big difference between the nam and gfs is that the nam keeps the countours closed at 500mb while it traverses across the ohio valley. while the gfs opens it up before it closes off the secondary just E of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 At 54, its pounding Phili.. Question is, does it come as far north. It is a tad further east, so lets see if it is able to push into NYC as on earlier runs. Look at sims. NYC gets crushed by the CCB as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Hr 60 mother of god. .5+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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