WE GOT HIM Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 If this run would have had a full phase, this would have been a heck of a storm for the coast. Yea chances are looking better, I just want to see it there for a few runs, and hopefully the euro can show something similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Any word on the 0z Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Thru 192 it is further SW then the GFS Judging by 216 Looks like it goes ENE from there OTS Any word on the 0z Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Thru 192 it is further SW then the GFS 00zeuro850mbTSLPUS192.gif Judging by 216 Looks like it goes ENE from there OTS Much better than 12z though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Much better than 12z though! 12 Z had it as a day 10 threat because it was focusing on another piece of energy .. This has moved up in time cause it is focusing on a different piece of energy .. End result is still the same either way which is suppression ..so I do not see how it is really better... If the AO goes extremely negative as it is progged to do suppression is much more likely then an East Coast Snowstorm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 6z gfs buries us...brings the low all they up the coast, although verbatim temp issues.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 6z gfs buries us...brings the low all they up the coast, although verbatim temp issues..... Miller B transfer too a coastal! Major QPF bomb! Surface too warm though but wow this pattern is locked and loaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Area wide 1-2" qpf region wide....and a borderline storm turns to pure snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 6z GEFS mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Pretty friggin impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It's unlikely to be as far n&w as the 06z gfs due to the massive blocking and right after a very negative ao. The fact that we are still tracking snow events right now instead of monitoring the growing season and the possibility of 70s is quite remarkable. I know people would be extremely angry is we saw another snowstorm once astronomical spring begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 With a high of 38 yesterday and clouds with snow and cold on Saturday it truly feels like midwinter. Morch ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Good ole DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 trifecta by the "Don't Get Your Hopes Up" triumvirate - JMA, GFS and DGEX all on board. I want some of what they all drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Gfs is going to be another big costal storm for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Gfs is going to be another big costal storm for the area A lot of moisture at hour 141 down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 With the ULL/Block weaker than previosuly progged, looking more and more like either a coastal or a cutter so some combination thereof. I think chances of a miss south/east are decreasing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Gfs is going to be a weenie run here for late march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Hr 156 transfer to a low over obx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 988 just east of Norfolk temps look great. Big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Light to mod snow at hr 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Light to mod snow at hr 168 Same thing at 171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Snow breaking out at hour 168. The surface is borderline for the city but we're below freezing at all other levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The low stalls out near Hatteras thanks to the confluence. Precip just gets up to coastal CT. Great looking H5. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_168_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I wouldn't call this a big hit for us. It's light to moderate snow with borderline surface temps. The surface freezing line hangs around DC for interests down that way. Pretty epic run for the hills of western MD and VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I wouldn't call this a big hit for us. It's light to moderate snow with borderline surface temps. The surface freezing line hangs around DC for interests down that way. Pretty epic run for the hills of western MD and VA. If the confluence wasn't strong, this would have came further up the coast. It's a good run in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I wouldn't call this a big hit for us. It's light to moderate snow with borderline surface temps. The surface freezing line hangs around DC for interests down that way. Pretty epic run for the hills of western MD and VA. Yeah, agree. This is still a moderate hit for the general area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It looks great at h5 and ends Occluding a little to early. That's fine right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 If the confluence wasn't strong, this would have came further up the coast. It's a good run in my opinion. It's still going to be a good run, especially for late March standards. Just not the KU event most people are looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It's still going to be a good run, especially for late March standards. Just not the KU event most people are looking for. Agree although things are going to change either for the better or for the worse. I like this time period for a big storm. With the AO rising, the blocking shouldn't really be a factor for this storm to stay way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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