EasternUSWX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 lol at its finest near 84 hours... lol http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE084.gif I think it looks fine. Like Euro with track and like CMC, a good deal of GFS ens similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 totally OT, but I am working on a real estate deal and the property is in Cashtown. I was thinking to myself, where do I know that town from, and then I was like CashtownCoop! So, thanks for helping me with my Southern PA geography. Also, I'm going to put myself down right now for Thv- 4.5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 where did this snow come from? looks like i have an inch or so out there and still snowing. that NAM snow map looks similar to a few days ago... edit - i found my answer SHORT TERM FORECASTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA1230 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>027-033-034-037-041-042-045-220730-BEDFORD-BLAIR-CAMBRIA-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-ELK-HUNTINGDON-MCKEAN-MIFFLIN-NORTHERN CENTRE-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-POTTER-SOMERSET-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SULLIVAN-TIOGA-WARREN-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTOONA...JOHNSTOWN...STATE COLLEGE1230 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013.NOW...BANDS OF SNOW SHOWERS...SOME ON THE HEAVY SIDE...WILL BE ACROSSPORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THE ACTIVITYWILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF A WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISTOWN...BEDFORD LINE.THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE MAINLY FROM NEAR DU BOIS...SOUTHEAST TO NEAR SNOW SHOE NORTH OF STATE COLLEGE. WHILE MOST AREASWILL SEE LITTLE ACCUMULATION...AN INCH OR TWO COULD FALL IN A SHORTTIME IN THIS BAND. PERSONS TRAVELING OVERNIGHT SHOULD USE CAUTIONIN THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 went and measured .8" of very fluffy snow. i may pick up as much snow tonight as i did on monday with a WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Nice streamer parking right over State College. Moderate snow right now, looks like it should last another hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOL...we have NAM, SREFS and GGEM on our side, what could possibly go wrong??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Weird to wake up to 25 degrees and over a half inch of fluff on the ground on March 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Got another overnight covering, looks like a bit more than yesterday. NWS is leaning hard on the Euro in their AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Yeah, saw that. The way it's performed really no reason not too. GFS has a similar look but gets more precip. further north. A compromise of those two may be in order. Who would have thought I would cheer the thought of a cutter and a torch right about now? Cold, cloudy and windy suppression patter FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 totally OT, but I am working on a real estate deal and the property is in Cashtown. I was thinking to myself, where do I know that town from, and then I was like CashtownCoop! So, thanks for helping me with my Southern PA geography. Also, I'm going to put myself down right now for Thv- 4.5 inches. it's a small world ! where about is your deal ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I think it looks fine. Like Euro with track and like CMC, a good deal of GFS ens similar. I agree that the track looks fine... just precip output rather extreme outlier compared to the others for something moving through that quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 NAM goes crazy with precip gfs prbly closer to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Yeah, saw that. The way it's performed really no reason not too. GFS has a similar look but gets more precip. further north. A compromise of those two may be in order. Who would have thought I would cheer the thought of a cutter and a torch right about now? Cold, cloudy and windy suppression patter FTL Sometimes these patterns end with a big storm; I could see that happening. One final fling then warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Had just over an inch here last night. Snowing lightly again. Looks like Jamie's getting hit now, but that will likely pass just to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 Temporary restoration of the snowcover around the South Halls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Had just over an inch here last night. Snowing lightly again. Looks like Jamie's getting hit now, but that will likely pass just to my south. Yeah, and I wouldn't want to drive over Pine Grove Mountain right now as south of here is really getting it. Temporary restoration of the snowcover around the South Halls. 50% chance this is more than what we will get Sun night/Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Euro weeklies summary maps from Brett Anderson's AccuWeather column show: 4/1-4/7: Cold for everywhere east of the Rockies and a threat for more snow for the midwest/eastern us. 4/8-4/14: Block beginning to weaken but big trough in east, big ridge in west keeps cold air pouring in. 4/15-4/22: Seasonable as Pacific air takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Awesome radar looks good out your way, as for more than Sun. Mon. I tend to agree, these supression deals usually dont bode well unless you are in the southwest areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Euro weeklies summary maps from Brett Anderson's AccuWeather column show: 4/1-4/7: Cold for everywhere east of the Rockies and a threat for more snow for the midwest/eastern us. 4/8-4/14: Block beginning to weaken but big trough in east, big ridge in west keeps cold air pouring in. 4/15-4/22: Seasonable as Pacific air takes over. My goodness we will be going from winter right into summer. Spring is forgotten this year. Good chance for April snow the first 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 it's a small world ! where about is your deal ? Between 30 and Lincoln Highway, I think it's techinically Orrtana. I may end up driving out there today actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 we received 2.4" overnight...easily beating the monday storm school even had a 2 hr. delay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 My goodness we will be going from winter right into summer. Spring is forgotten this year. Good chance for April snow the first 2 weeks. I am going out on a limb....my call is 2-4 more accumulating snow events with UNV measuring 4-10 more...this starts with Sun night/Mon event. I always forget how we can get lake effect/upslope this time of year...it was the case when I lived in Pittsburgh and is the case now. This morning and last night's radar I present as exhibit A. So, that played into it, along with the look of the models. Why not play the trends. BTW I think MDT sees 1-2 more with 3-6 more snow and IPT sees 1-3 with about the same. *Shoves chips to center of table, holds breath* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I am going out on a limb....my call is 2-4 more accumulating snow events with UNV measuring 4-10 more...this starts with Sun night/Mon event. I always forget how we can get lake effect/upslope this time of year...it was the case when I lived in Pittsburgh and is the case now. This morning and last night's radar I present as exhibit A. So, that played into it, along with the look of the models. Why not play the trends. BTW I think MDT sees 1-2 more with 3-6 more snow and IPT sees 1-3 with about the same. *Shoves chips to center of table, holds breath* I like it. If the block weakens but holds on, that's when we could all cash in on a big one. That second week in April is of interest if the Euro weeklies are correct. Now, watch it weaken too much and then a cutter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Well, I won't be as recklessly bold as Jamie, but I'm calling the Sun/Mon event as .25 liquid falling mostly during the daylight hours on Monday, so about an inch of snow for UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Well, I won't be as recklessly bold as Jamie, but I'm calling the Sun/Mon event as .25 liquid falling mostly during the daylight hours on Monday, so about an inch of snow for UNV. Sounds about right for unv. Im going with .15 as snow equaling slushy coating up on these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I like it. If the block weakens but holds on, that's when we could all cash in on a big one. That second week in April is of interest if the Euro weeklies are correct. Now, watch it weaken too much and then a cutter! Well, I won't be as recklessly bold as Jamie, but I'm calling the Sun/Mon event as .25 liquid falling mostly during the daylight hours on Monday, so about an inch of snow for UNV. I don't think Sun night/Mon is the biggest of the upcoming events. I'm just impressed with the model agreement and persistence, and I know my local climate. I could see Sun night/Mon, another lake effect event like this that are fairly common during early spring cold snaps, and a storm as the pattern breaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 First Guess Sunday/Mon. IPT: trace to 1/2 Unv: 1" MDT: 1 to 3" AOO: 1 to 3" JST: 2 to 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I don't think Sun night/Mon is the biggest of the upcoming events. I'm just impressed with the model agreement and persistence, and I know my local climate. I could see Sun night/Mon, another lake effect event like this that are fairly common during early spring cold snaps, and a storm as the pattern breaks. You could be right about both. I seem to recall a 20" snowfall on Easter back in the late '60s at UNV. It was gone in 2 days. Although my recollection could be off on both amount and date. It was, after all, the 60's and I was attending PSU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 12z NAM continues the good trends for us. Nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 First call JST: 6-9" AOO: 5-8" UNV: 4-7" IPT: 3-6" MDT: 4-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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