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Central PA - second half of March 2013


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totally OT, but I am working on a real estate deal and the property is in Cashtown. I was thinking to myself, where do I know that town from, and then I was like CashtownCoop! So, thanks for helping me with my Southern PA geography.

 

Also, I'm going to put myself down right now for Thv- 4.5 inches.

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where did this snow come from?

looks like i have an inch or so out there and still snowing.

 

that NAM snow map looks similar to a few days ago...

 

 

 

 

edit - i found my answer

 

SHORT TERM FORECASTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA1230 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>027-033-034-037-041-042-045-220730-BEDFORD-BLAIR-CAMBRIA-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-ELK-HUNTINGDON-MCKEAN-MIFFLIN-NORTHERN CENTRE-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-POTTER-SOMERSET-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SULLIVAN-TIOGA-WARREN-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTOONA...JOHNSTOWN...STATE COLLEGE1230 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013.NOW...BANDS OF SNOW SHOWERS...SOME ON THE HEAVY SIDE...WILL BE ACROSSPORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THE ACTIVITYWILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF A WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISTOWN...BEDFORD LINE.THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE MAINLY FROM NEAR DU BOIS...SOUTHEAST TO NEAR SNOW SHOE NORTH OF STATE COLLEGE. WHILE MOST AREASWILL SEE LITTLE ACCUMULATION...AN INCH OR TWO COULD FALL IN A SHORTTIME IN THIS BAND. PERSONS TRAVELING OVERNIGHT SHOULD USE CAUTIONIN THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS.
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totally OT, but I am working on a real estate deal and the property is in Cashtown. I was thinking to myself, where do I know that town from, and then I was like CashtownCoop! So, thanks for helping me with my Southern PA geography.

 

Also, I'm going to put myself down right now for Thv- 4.5 inches.

it's a small world ! where about is your deal ?

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Yeah, saw that. The way it's performed really no reason not too. GFS has a similar look but gets more precip. further north. A compromise of those two may be in order. Who would have thought I would cheer the thought of a cutter and a torch right about now? Cold, cloudy and windy suppression patter FTL

Sometimes these patterns end with a big storm; I could see that happening. One final fling then warm. 

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Had just over an inch here last night. Snowing lightly again. Looks like Jamie's getting hit now, but that will likely pass just to my south.

Yeah, and I wouldn't want to drive over Pine Grove Mountain right now as south of here is really getting it. 

 

Temporary restoration of the snowcover around the South Halls.

50% chance this is more than what we will get Sun night/Mon

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Euro weeklies summary maps from Brett Anderson's AccuWeather column show:

 

4/1-4/7: Cold for everywhere east of the Rockies and a threat for more snow for the midwest/eastern us.

 

4/8-4/14: Block beginning to weaken but big trough in east, big ridge in west keeps cold air pouring in.

 

4/15-4/22: Seasonable as Pacific air takes over. 

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Euro weeklies summary maps from Brett Anderson's AccuWeather column show:

 

4/1-4/7: Cold for everywhere east of the Rockies and a threat for more snow for the midwest/eastern us.

 

4/8-4/14: Block beginning to weaken but big trough in east, big ridge in west keeps cold air pouring in.

 

4/15-4/22: Seasonable as Pacific air takes over. 

My goodness we will be going from winter right into summer. Spring is forgotten this year. Good chance for April snow the first 2 weeks.

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My goodness we will be going from winter right into summer. Spring is forgotten this year. Good chance for April snow the first 2 weeks.

I am going out on a limb....my call is 2-4 more accumulating snow events with UNV measuring 4-10 more...this starts with Sun night/Mon event. 

 

I always forget how we can get lake effect/upslope this time of year...it was the case when I lived in Pittsburgh and is the case now. This morning and last night's radar I present as exhibit A. So, that played into it, along with the look of the models. 

 

Why not play the trends. BTW I think MDT sees 1-2 more with 3-6 more snow and IPT sees 1-3 with about the same. 

 

*Shoves chips to center of table, holds breath*

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I am going out on a limb....my call is 2-4 more accumulating snow events with UNV measuring 4-10 more...this starts with Sun night/Mon event. 

 

I always forget how we can get lake effect/upslope this time of year...it was the case when I lived in Pittsburgh and is the case now. This morning and last night's radar I present as exhibit A. So, that played into it, along with the look of the models. 

 

Why not play the trends. BTW I think MDT sees 1-2 more with 3-6 more snow and IPT sees 1-3 with about the same. 

 

*Shoves chips to center of table, holds breath*

I like it. If the block weakens but holds on, that's when we could all cash in on a big one. That second week in April is of interest if the Euro weeklies are correct. Now, watch it weaken too much and then a cutter! :rolleyes:

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I like it. If the block weakens but holds on, that's when we could all cash in on a big one. That second week in April is of interest if the Euro weeklies are correct. Now, watch it weaken too much and then a cutter! :rolleyes:

 

 

Well, I won't be as recklessly bold as Jamie, but I'm calling the Sun/Mon event as .25 liquid falling mostly during the daylight hours on Monday, so about an inch of snow for UNV.

I don't think Sun night/Mon is the biggest of the upcoming events. I'm just impressed with the model agreement and persistence, and I know my local climate. I could see Sun night/Mon, another lake effect event like this that are fairly common during early spring cold snaps, and a storm as the pattern breaks. 

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I don't think Sun night/Mon is the biggest of the upcoming events. I'm just impressed with the model agreement and persistence, and I know my local climate. I could see Sun night/Mon, another lake effect event like this that are fairly common during early spring cold snaps, and a storm as the pattern breaks. 

You could be right about both. 

 

I seem to recall a 20" snowfall on Easter back in the late '60s at UNV. It was gone in 2 days. Although my recollection could be off on both amount and date. It was, after all, the 60's and I was attending PSU.

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