Yeoman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 were we supposed to get more than a cartopper?...I never paid attention to LWX....I never do....cause I figured out years ago that they aren't very good with snow events while you have been all over their nuts 24/7 The only thing topping cars in dc is dust.. ..and I don't have anywhere close to the hard on you have for LWX.. My only point over the years has been that I doubt professional meteorologists are in the business to be wrong with their forecasts, and as a government operation, I'm sure they are under some sort of mandate to be more safe than sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 euro was always the driest model in the storm. GFS had .80 as of Saturday while the Euro had .20 Usually it's the NAM that throws out some ridiculously wet solution 36-48 hours out, but this time it was the GFS, which is why I believe many of us saw hope/got fooled again (until the Euro failed to budge at 12z Saturday). Surface temps on the GFS were really cold too...like .5-.8" falling overnight with surface temps of 28-29. Should have known it was too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I havent gotten an inch this late since 1990....and then it was maybe 2" and melted quickly of course Not following this event was the best thing....I got up early, watched the snow, went out for 10 minutes...made a few snowballs....nice pretty morning.....if we get snow again, my final call is T-1" I dropped out of this event around Saturday AM and haven't cared since. T-1" is safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 yeah...I'm not as familiar with the NAM outside of winter, but I know you have said it was decent I use the NAM more for timing of onset, temps (part of a blend), etc.. I think people still try to use the models outside their best areas just because they are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 same...bushes, flowers, cars deck table a 0.1 or 0.2..........were we supposed to do better than that?...I assumed that is what we would get Pretty much tho given how things have gone I expected mostly rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 it was just too wet a while back. Understatement of the year.. DCA probably recorded 1/10 of the QPF forecasted thru 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I never bought the wetter gfs stuff. It was a blip. Euro was steadfast. It was still a complete bust in my area by all guidance. I was hoping for an inch and I got about 1/100th of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Post storm pictures before the warmer air and rain arrive. Dry snow even blowing around with some wind gusts a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 It's never good to be on the northern edge in this area. It never works out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Where was LWX getting 4" over Loudoun coubnty? We're they expecting 20:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I am going to guess somewhere between .5 and 1 inch... i see a report of 3SE Chantilly of 1.4" and 1.0" 1 SSW of Woodbridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I ended up with about .6" of snow, a little less than I expected, but still it was nice driving to school in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Where was LWX getting 4" over Loudoun coubnty? We're they expecting 20:1 ratios? Apparently... but there are still a good amount of 2"+ reports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 1.2" in Manassas, Va. This system in general was a big surprise for me. It's been so long since I have seen snow on the ground this late in the year. This has been a very strange winter!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Apparently... but there are still a good amount of 2"+ reports Not really. Not around here. I don't care about the culpeper area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 this is what I said on facebook saturday when i was thinking of upping the totals based on the gfs run. As zwyts said...just ignore the american models...use the euro 100% of the time. You will bust but for the most part you will be right Well the American model Gfs is very snowy and the European model has less snow due to lack of precip. I think I'll stick to 1-3 inches. The American model has 6-8 for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Where was LWX getting 4" over Loudoun coubnty? We're they expecting 20:1 ratios? western loudoun has elevation. I have seen 4-6 there when ive gotten 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 western loudoun has elevation. I have seen 4-6 there when ive gotten 1-2 I think the western LC line near FEMA Mount Weather runs from 1500-1850' so it definitely makes a difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 PW County schools closed the day after the Great March Storm of 2013, and they closed again today. What an absolute farce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 western loudoun has elevation. I have seen 4-6 there when ive gotten 1-2 I know that but LWX had almost the whole county under 2-4 and there were abundant precip issues even west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Official tally ImageUploadedByTapatalk1363610176.030653.jpg About time you got a new ruler . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 33 out had some light "dandruff" flying around while out and about this morning. Did see a couple of cars with a dusting of snow driving around. Must have come down from the Catoctins. Just put down some early spring fertilizer to take advantage of the rain and my fingers are numb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Radar in eastern OH and WV looks pretty healthy. Few lightning strikes even. Parkersburg, WV reporting a thunderstorm with a temp of 40F. Some 4-ball rain reports too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 PW County schools closed the day after the Great March Storm of 2013, and they closed again today. What an absolute farce. When Fauquier doesn't close you know you've overreacted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 I am convinced that Linden is the best place to chase in Northern Virginia. They have a different climate up there. I have friend who lives there who got 23 inches on March 6 and 8 or so inches yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 I know that but LWX had almost the whole county under 2-4 and there were abundant precip issues even west. LWS needs to delete the link to the GFS/NAM off their computer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I am convinced that Linden is the best place to chase in Northern Virginia. They have a different climate up there. I have friend who lives there who got 23 inches on March 6 and 8 or so inches yesterday Totally agree - for some reason, Linden often seems to do better than areas both east and west of there. After the Mar 6 storm, they had way more snow on the ground than Front Royal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 western loudoun has elevation. I have seen 4-6 there when ive gotten 1-2 I normally get more with my elevation. This morning was 1.5. LWX still busted high on this one. But I don't want to beat them up on this. It is a March meh event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol at snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Totally agree - for some reason, Linden often seems to do better than areas both east and west of there. After the Mar 6 storm, they had way more snow on the ground than Front Royal. Linden has elevation over Front Royal, especially if you go off the beaten paths. It's always a few degrees colder and usually wetter. If you ever want to see how drastically weather can change in a short time/distance then go up to the top of High Knob some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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