yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 2-4" seems too high over loudoun etc mostly.. never really understood that one. not sure any model has enough liquid to get 4" of snow. 1-3" might be better... tho even 3 might be pushing it in a lot of spots. Agree... 1-3 in the adv zone is what i expect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Agree... 1-3 in the adv zone is what i expect Honestly just curious-- do you only report on model runs when they are favorable? Like the 23Z RAP report but nothing on the 0Z NAM that now matches pretty well precip-wise with the numerous Euro runs leading up to this event for the "snow hours".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Honestly just curious-- do you only report on model runs when they are favorable? Like the 23Z RAP report but nothing on the 0Z NAM that now matches pretty well precip-wise with the numerous Euro runs leading up to this event for the "snow hours".... I was busy during that time actually... but yes it shows what the 12z EURO showed... around .2 to .25 QPF for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Agree... 1-3 in the adv zone is what i expect no reason to be bullish on this event. it's going to be quite lame for everyone most likely. i wouldn't be surprised if 2" reports are rare outside elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 DP just dropped out... 29 to 23 in 45 min. Dry air workin' it self out slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I was busy during that time actually... but yes it shows what the 12z EURO showed... around .2 to .25 QPF for DCA. I'm not sure through what hours your total runs, but through this time tomorrow it looks to be double that. Don't take this as me being confident on this though. I'm not feeling it on this one. It just doesn't look to good right now. Lots of times that means little as well, so, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 no reason to be bullish on this event. it's going to be quite lame for everyone most likely. i wouldn't be surprised if 2" reports are rare outside elevation. I won't be surprised if they're rare everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Pretty much all snow now. Deck turning white. 34 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Too bad everything turns to rain tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I'm not sure through what hours your total runs, but through this time tomorrow it looks to be double that. Don't take this as me being confident on this though. I'm not feeling it on this one. It just doesn't look to good right now. Lots of times that means little as well, so, who knows. pretty much only thru 12z matters.. probably for most spots. it's like .1" for DC .. not much better west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Moderate snow now. Deck and grass are white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I won't be surprised if they're rare everywhere. could be. these small events are tricky on the margins. radar is kinda meh but most of the action isn't for a few hours yet based on the models.. temps, well we have a cold high but it's almost late march. most places prob want rates no matter what. pretty sure lwx will bust high west of here.. hopefully that sends the FB trolls to their page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Congrats north of Richmond on that green and yellow band - you guys usually get screwed over - that should give you at least a couple of inches of fresh snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Slowly moving north now, higher level precip coming in from the west should help saturation for western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 ocassional flurries here. 36F. Lame. Cartopper is in jeopardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Still moderate snow. Close to 1/4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Congrats weathervswife - you are probably in the sweet spot. Enjoy a well deserved surprise late season snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Lgt rain/snow mix currently. Expect it to go over to sn when heavier precipitation comes in in a short while. noticeably colder and dryer than earlier this evening. Someone may get 3 inches. who knows. 1.5 will get me over 10 for the year. woohoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 in the last snowstorm there was a model who's output we did not like because it gave us much less snow. someone mentioned a model earlier this evening that placed MUCH of the precip well south of N VA. I suggest we take that ultra seriously. Radar trends thus far this evening have been illustrating this stark point. Central virginia has received much of the precip and will continue to do so overnight. did we learn anything at all from March 6th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Closing in on an inch now, but headed to bed as work comes early. That's the sucky part about night snow. However if this were during the day nothing would be accumulating. 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Heavy snow in the Northern Neck? Currently 37/31 on the peninsula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Like the look of the push north right now. Should start snowing soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 On the one hand - OUCH for mby. Massive push NORTH of the snow. On the other hand - CONGRATULATIONS are in the offing for much of Maryland and likely communities on and near the Mason Dixon Line for steady accumulating snows well into Monday afternoon. Get the plows ready, Balto. This stream of snow has been like a LES streamer all effin night. Its blowin all over the place. First Richmond got snow. Now its Baltimore, most of Maryland probably clear to the Bay and even Pennsylvania. DCA might catch a glancing blow from the extreme southern edge of the snow slug. Once this stuff goes over to plain rainfall later on today, we won't have any trouble getting in on the precip. Look on the bright side tho.......I get to enjoy a cartop coating of RAIN by tonight (Monday night). I'm so excited about that that I want to throw a massive keg party!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 What a f<ckin' SHOCK! I can't believe it. Nearly 3 am in the morning. I FINALLY see snow. I'm gonna have a damn heart attack! Looks like the extreme south edge of the area of snow won't just clip DC. It will clip Woodbridge too. Hmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Light snow. The car top has a very thin coating of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Went to sleep at 11pm with bit of light snow starting, 28.7 with 2.3 inches at 3:30 am. Dry fluffy powder, swept off deck with a broom, maybe hit the 40" mark for the season today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 First flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 radar is starting to look a bit raggedy still snowing, top of car is getting white, top of fence and bushes beginning to whiten up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 radar shows a decrease, not increase, of snow in the region as of 453am Car top, tops of bushes, tops of fences, and the grass all show at least a quarter of an inch of snow, which is still falling. Paved surfaces in my part of Dale City still only wet my heart is broken into a billion pieces over the fact that IF we do manage to eke out some heavier snow rates - that will only happen AFTER sunrise, when the strong March sun will melt what snow has fallen in a very short time indeed. where was this in January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Steady snow in Gainesville and 32 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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