stormtracker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 2:41 AM, zwyts said: I haven't looked at any guidance this evening but I am pretty sure it isn't flurries. It's not flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 3:10 AM, stormtracker said: It's not flurries. No doubt. This looks like it could blow away clipperfest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I guess me not following weather helped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Looks like the 00z GFS is going to be coming in faster with the QPF compared to the 00z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 3:36 AM, yoda said: Looks like the 00z GFS is going to be coming in faster with the QPF compared to the 00z NAM Yeah and looks to be similar with its last run in terms of precip amounts and coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 3:44 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Yeah and looks to be similar with its last run in terms of precip amounts and coverage. MRB looks to be around 0.5... DCA around 0.3 IAD around 0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 3:45 AM, yoda said: MRB looks to be around 0.5... DCA around 0.3 IAD around 0.4 Starting to warm the 2m-temps compared to the 18Z run-- headed towards the Euro 12Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 3:55 AM, gymengineer said: Starting to warm the 2m-temps compared to the 18Z run-- headed towards the Euro 12Z run. Still around 30 though, and its a snow sounding through 39 at least... 42 is dry slot area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Y'all are cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 this is unbelievable even nws is forecasting an inch Sunday night/early Monday morning wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/c34_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Euro gives us Monday morning mood flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 2:41 AM, zwyts said: I haven't looked at any guidance this evening but I am pretty sure it isn't flurries. Crystal ball? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 2:41 AM, zwyts said: I haven't looked at any guidance this evening but I am pretty sure it isn't flurries. Oh sorry, a car topper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 A car topper is a big deal this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Oh look, winter storm warnings west of the BR for 4 to 8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 11:37 AM, yoda said: Oh look, winter storm warnings west of the BR for 4 to 8 inches Seems a bit overdone,.. nam has SLOWLY been backing away. GFS is wetter than the EURO Sterling and Blackburg are always worlds apart. Blacksburg has 1-3 for the adjacent counties to Sterling CWA but that was just issues and it was an after thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 6:49 AM, wxmeddler said: Euro gives us Monday morning mood flakes. How muich qpf does the euro give us. The lack of much upper level support makes me think that the u.s. models could be overdone though it is a pretty good looking front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 12:09 PM, usedtobe said: How muich qpf does the euro give us. The lack of much upper level support makes me think that the u.s. models could be overdone though it is a pretty good looking front. iad-dca between .2-.25 in a mostly or all snow column. Hair above freezing at the surface overnight. BWI is on the lighter side of precip and a bit warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I saw the WSW first and thought that's a good sign. Then I went through all the models and I can't find any where I think the latest trends look good. It sure looks like a good chance to see the forecast not verify for my area. Once again I find myself having to hope for precip. The best precip certainly looks to struggle to be this far north. Again. Looking at radar you think it's going to be close, hoping you end up in a good spot. I hate that worse than warm temps. Of course, my poor mouthing the storm probably just helped it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 12:22 PM, Bob Chill said: iad-dca between .2-.25 in a mostly or all snow column. Hair above freezing at the surface overnight. BWI is on the lighter side of precip and a bit warmer. I'd lean towards its amounts and would not trust the NAM surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 40 years ago today I was born and there was 10" on the ground. Now this was in Ohio, but maybe someone in the are will get lucky with a decent ground cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 12:47 PM, usedtobe said: I'd lean towards its amounts and would not trust the NAM surface temps. Euro has been very steady last 4 runs with precip. Zero reason to doubt it. At least we're not getting purpled by american guidance. I might pull off an inch. That's my bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 1:10 PM, Mrs.J said: 40 years ago today I was born and there was 10" on the ground. Now this was in Ohio, but maybe someone in the are will get lucky with a decent ground cover. Happy Birthday! Best wishes and I hope you get Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Light snow. 29 degrees. Just need 7.1" total for the rest of the season to hit 200" for third time in last four years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 2:09 PM, jonjon said: Light snow. 29 degrees. Just need 7.1" total for the rest of the season to hit 200" for third time in last four years. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Why no WWA for Loudoun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 On 3/17/2013 at 2:09 PM, jonjon said: Light snow. 29 degrees. Just need 7.1" total for the rest of the season to hit 200" for third time in last four years. with this pattern you'll likely see another few feet out there by mid April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Seeing an occasional snow flake reaching the ground here this a.m. Now at 34.6, my low for the day. Stiff breeze from the NE gusting to 22 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 12z NAM has decided to re up the QPF compared to its last few runs... back to .3 to .4 IAD and DCA. BWI around .2. MRB to CHO to EZF around .5. I-95 is 32 at 9z, 30 at 12z, 32 at 15z. Decent band comes through between 4 and 8 am it would appear and then we dry slot for a lil while before the rain comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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