Ji Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 6z Gfs gives me 7 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Roles are switched this time. It's the GFS throwing out the big snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Euro is much drier so unfortunately its the model we have to choose for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Soundings are cold for this storm. Much better than the last one. If we can get some precip ....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Euro seems wetter than its let run. I don't have any precip totals for it. I only have the Wunderground maps to base it off of and that a tedious task. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Generally...00Z euro precip is a trace to 0.1 extreme NE MD/DE, 0.1 to 0.25 central MD/NoVA, 0.25+ Shenandoah into WVA 00Z-12Z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I think this little number is gonna pull off a shocker and break the streak. It only makes sense that the the uncelebrated one does it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 6z Gfs gives me 7 inches Your favorite met already has a first guess map out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 DCA .18 IAD .21 BWI .12 There's a bit more before and after these totals but it won't matter with the temps and light rates. Iad has a 6 hour period at night with .15 and a hair above freezing. Verbatim, iad could potentially record an inch but thats pushing it. Bwi and dca would be t at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 DCA .18 IAD .21 BWI .12 There's a bit more before and after these totals but it won't matter with the temps and light rates. Iad has a 6 hour period at night with .15 and a hair above freezing. Verbatim, iad could potentially record an inch but thats pushing it. Bwi and dca would be t at best. I assume those are Euro temps. The NAM and GFS are flat out cold, especially back here. Still 48 to go. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Think I will stay over in WV tomorrow night as odds for another accumulating snow are increasing out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Euro text. IAD: MON 06Z 18-MAR 1.3 -2.7 1025 90 100 0.07 560 540 MON 12Z 18-MAR 0.3 -3.3 1027 90 92 0.15 562 541 MON 18Z 18-MAR 2.4 -2.2 1024 85 49 0.03 563 544DCA isn't that much warmer: MON 06Z 18-MAR 2.0 -2.5 1025 78 100 0.04 560 540 MON 12Z 18-MAR 0.4 -2.7 1027 84 94 0.12 562 541 MON 18Z 18-MAR 2.8 -1.6 1024 84 54 0.07 564 544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 There is no way I'm hedging with the nam. Maybe a little with the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Holy Cow, the srefs just got much wetter for Mon morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I woke up and looked at the GFS and thought I had selected the nam at first. That thing is cold, top to bottom. Even in DCa it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Your favorite met already has a first guess map out 8-12" for BOS. That's a flurry for them this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 If the Euro gives us NADA on the 12z dump the storm and wait till next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 They need to rename the GFS to the POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 If the Euro gives us NADA on the 12z dump the storm and wait till next year. Go ahead and dump it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 They need to rename the GFS to the POS. This post makes for fascinating reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 This post makes for fascinating reading. So does this one. Soundings are cold for this storm. Much better than the last one. If we can get some precip ....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 12z NAM = .5 QPF just south and southwest of DCA and IAD down towards EZF and Stauton. IAD and MRB and DCA prob .25 to .30, BWI .05 if its lucky. 850s certainly cold enough below 0 through 51ish... precip starts at 33. IAD is below freezing from hr 35ish on... DCA hr 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Geez... 12z GFS is ridiculous... temps def cold enough for I-95 corridor and west after hr 36 2m-wise and 850 wise through at least 48... and GFS is wetter than the NAM. 2m temps actually go below freezing around hr 37 (01z) and dont go back above till hr 49/50 or so (13z/14z MON) for the DCA area. QPF .5+ for FDK and DCA/IAD .75+/BWI .25+ with MRB pushing an 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Is this really happening? The GFS is wetter than the NAM. And temps are ideal. Something isn't right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Is this really happening? The GFS is wetter than the NAM. And temps are ideal. Something isn't right. Looks like about .5 all snow falling at night. All in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 too bad the euro still sucks into the city. don't be fooled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 too bad the euro still sucks into the city. don't be fooled. 12z euro is gonna smoke us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 In GFS we trust? You think this is legit? If the EURO would comes on board later, this place will be happenin again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 IT's a party! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 too bad the euro still sucks into the city. don't be fooled. 12z EURO will go all in... mark my words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.