CT Rain Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 1-3 then ice here in ct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Open house membership sign up tomorrow FTL. At this rate maybe my shift won't be putting up watches, maybe it happens before tomorrow night. Yeah I don't think you have to wait to long overnight afd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 All the way to the coast? NAM/EURO say no problem.. even the GFS probably would be enuf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 your wx fits in more with northeast NY, but i know darn few people from that side of the state post on the Upstate sub-forum. How about VT there buddy? We are part of New England though I know you Mass guys associate more with ME/NH... Wunderground should be out soon anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 1-3 then ice here in ct?Euro all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 All the way to the coast? I don't think the coast is going to be much of a problem. I don't have all the tools at my disposal that I have in the office, but I would have to think ageostrophic flow will be off the land as the secondary redevelops. Water temps aren't the issue this time of year. Of course the heaviest will probably be inland where you get some deformation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 BOS is right on the edge this run, probably good thump to some rain but just a mini-tickle further southeast and it looks great. Euro wunderweeniemaps show like 6-10" around BOS but I think some of that might actually be rain verbatim since the BL might get a little warm with some onshore flow. Damn close to all snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 How about VT there buddy? We are part of New England though I know you Mass guys associate more with ME/NH... Wunderground should be out soon anyway. 1.25" over towards you and Ed, precip field is huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Not sure if this is the right thread, but NYC metro getting a suprise this afternoon, SN- here with reports of SN/SN+ heading east, accumulating in NYC and NJ, southern CT folks on this board have a decent chance at a coating to an inch this afternoon. Nice to look out the window and see snow falling, and even nicer that the EURO tries to make it a signficiant event down here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I don't think the coast is going to be much of a problem. I don't have all the tools at my disposal that I have in the office, but I would have to think ageostrophic flow will be off the land as the secondary redevelops. Water temps aren't the issue this time of year. Of course the heaviest will probably be inland where you get some deformation. Whats your take on the strength of the cross barrier SE flow with this as the secondary develops? I figure it wouldn't be bad until after the initial WAA thump when the secondary takes over, but the 12z Euro yesterday was pretty bad WRT downsloping in these parts with 100-150 flow from 1000-750mb for a lot of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Open house membership sign up tomorrow FTL. At this rate maybe my shift won't be putting up watches, maybe it happens before tomorrow night. I will beep on my way up 26 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 I don't think the coast is going to be much of a problem. I don't have all the tools at my disposal that I have in the office, but I would have to think ageostrophic flow will be off the land as the secondary redevelops. Water temps aren't the issue this time of year. Of course the heaviest will probably be inland where you get some deformation. Going to be some serious rates in those bands as the low wraps up in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Not sure if this is the right thread, but NYC metro getting a suprise this afternoon, SN- here with reports of SN/SN+ heading east, accumulating in NYC and NJ, southern CT folks on this board have a decent chance at a coating to an inch this afternoon. Nice to look out the window and see snow falling, and even nicer that the EURO tries to make it a signficiant event down here. -skisheep Not sure if it is a surprise.... they were tooting that this morning on the morning coffee programs... Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Not sure if this is the right thread, but NYC metro getting a super prise this afternoon, SN- here with reports of SN/SN+ heading east, accumulating in NYC and NJ, southern CT folks on this board have a decent chance at a coating to an inch this afternoon. Nice to look out the window and see snow falling, and even nicer that the EURO tries to make it a signficiant event down here. -skisheep nice 1/4 Vis ob from Central Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 1.25" over towards you and Ed, precip field is huge I'm a fan. And fairly interested now. Temps in the mid 20s Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 1.25" over towards you and Ed, precip field is huge What is the timing on Euro? I may be in Fryeburg Monday night and traveling to work in Portland Tuesday morning. Also, 1.75"QPF for IZG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The NAM called that. But I wouldn't have believed the NAM eiher. LoL Not sure if this is the right thread, but NYC metro getting a suprise this afternoon, SN- here with reports of SN/SN+ heading east, accumulating in NYC and NJ, southern CT folks on this board have a decent chance at a coating to an inch this afternoon. Nice to look out the window and see snow falling, and even nicer that the EURO tries to make it a signficiant event down here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 1.25" over towards you and Ed, precip field is huge Sweet thanks dude... always tough to get the QPF numbers for VT... hate asking but we are like the black sheep of New England when it comes to that stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I don't think the coast is going to be much of a problem. I don't have all the tools at my disposal that I have in the office, but I would have to think ageostrophic flow will be off the land as the secondary redevelops. Water temps aren't the issue this time of year. Of course the heaviest will probably be inland where you get some deformation. Thanks -- good answer! I'm ready for one more.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Whats your take on the strength of the cross barrier SE flow with this as the secondary develops? I figure it wouldn't be bad until after the initial WAA thump when the secondary takes over, but the 12z Euro yesterday was pretty bad WRT downsloping in these parts with 100-150 flow from 1000-750mb for a lot of this. I would think it's a serious concern as initial frontogenetical processes are dominating. Most of the guidance progs a pretty stiff SE LLJ during the onset of precip. The faster that secondary develops the sooner deformation will develop and that should overwhelm the negative terrain influences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 What is the timing on Euro? I may be in Fryeburg Monday night and traveling to work in Portland Tuesday morning. Also, 1.75"QPF for IZG? Yes snowing by 12z tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The NAM called that. But I wouldn't have believed the NAM eiher. LoL Yup I kept tossing it, usually in these light events it's permentantly out to lunch, but it gets kudos here, although even it didn't have the heavy stuff for another 2-3 hours or so. Up to a moderate snow here, no accumulation yet but ground is wet, and flakes are surviving for a few seconds before melting away, should accumulate shortly. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Smoked Congrats, Jeff/Dendrite/Eric. Aside from this week's disaster, you guys have managed to eek out a reasonable winter after such a meh start. GC on the other hand........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 1-3 then ice here in ct? Based on the 12z Euro? Looks like 850 0z line has a hard time getting north of here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Yes Conway crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I would think it's a serious concern as initial frontogenetical processes are dominating. Most of the guidance progs a pretty stiff SE LLJ during the onset of precip. The faster that secondary develops the sooner deformation will develop and that should overwhelm the negative terrain influences. Gotcha. Thanks. Yeah, going to LSC really helped (forced) me to learn about these effects the hard way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Pete says he has 100 inches.. LOL That looks pretty good next to my 57. Congrats, Jeff/Dendrite/Eric. Aside from this week's disaster, you guys have managed to eek out a reasonable winter after such a meh start. GC on the other hand........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 BOS is right on the edge this run, probably good thump to some rain but just a mini-tickle further southeast and it looks great. Euro wunderweeniemaps show like 6-10" around BOS but I think some of that might actually be rain verbatim since the BL might get a little warm with some onshore flow. Damn close to all snow though. Verbatim the bl warms mid day Tuesday to the 30s but mid levels stay cold. But the key point is it stays cold during the heaviest part per euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Conway crusher. I was close to dusting off the clubs now I guess I will take the sled back out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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