free_man Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 If 6" is amount to verify for WSW I'll take the under Agree, I think 3-6" is a good range for BOS. The wsw is more for the wintry mix after the snow, though I haven't been following too closely until now. IIRC the NWS mentioned that yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 There's always some jumpers. So maybe the front end produces an inch or two less than some hoped. Life will go on. Reports of thundersnow in Harrisburg and 1/2" per hour snowfall rates in Lockport per Accuweather folks with the front end snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Yeah, 4-7 was what I gave my coworkers. I feel pretty good about that range. If somehow the RPM is right and it goes nuts here in the aftn then it might be higher, but confidence in the RPM additional snowfall in our backyard isn't high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 sticking with 7" here.. enjoy.. R. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 going with 7.5 here we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I feel pretty good about that range. If somehow the RPM is right and it goes nuts here in the aftn then it might be higher, but confidence in the RPM additional snowfall in our backyard isn't high. I think we see a grazing from the afternoon backlash. Regardless of whether or not things cool down enough to make it worthwhile, I just think the meatier precip will be focused a bit further north with that portion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I think radar is going to look pretty nice near and after midnight. Just give it a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I think we see a grazing from the afternoon backlash. Regardless of whether or not things cool down enough to make it worthwhile, I just think the meatier precip will be focused a bit further north with that portion. It probably will be. Should be fun to watch develop..I wouldn't be shocked if it did clip us with a good burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 already looking better in my opinion I think radar is going to look pretty nice near and after midnight. Just give it a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It appears the 18z NAM is colder by a considerable margin, but it cut 1/3 of the QPF off the top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I think radar is going to look pretty nice near and after midnight. Just give it a chance.All we are saaaaayyying .. Is give radar a chance... All we are saaaayyying ... Is give radar a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 BOX doubling down on the 10-14. O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0006.130319T0100Z-130320T0000Z/WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...AYER429 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENINGTO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 14 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It appears the 18z NAM is colder by a considerable margin, but it cut 1/3 of the QPF off the top The qpf on it is a real hoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 All we are saaaaayyying .. Is give radar a chance... All we are saaaayyying ... Is give radar a chance It's a late season event...what more do you want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 BOX doubling down on the 10-14. O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0006.130319T0100Z-130320T0000Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...AYER 429 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 14 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE. They're still going 12-16'' here. I don't see it, but I'd like to believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It's a late season event...what more do you want? lol. It's a play on John Lennon lyrics. John Lennon was a guy in a popular British music group from before your time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 9.0" for my call here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol. It's a play on John Lennon lyrics. John Lennon was a guy in a popular British music group from before your time. Give weenies a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Forecast for my area is in the 3-7 inch range (depending on how aroused it gets out there). I'm good with that. Mid to almost the final 3rd portion of the month of March with a significant winter storm is good no matter how you slice it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol. It's a play on John Lennon lyrics. John Lennon was a guy in a popular British music group from before your time. Oh I know..lol, that comment was for the weenies who only want 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 wow, my point/click shows 12-18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 methinks there's a lot of folks hitting 'refresh' awaiting an update on the BOX map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Highly detailed maps from Springfield's finest: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Snow into NYC and Sw ct now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The Euro cut back QPF from 12z yesterday to 12z today. Of course no one really discussed that on here lol. It's a bit more disjointed, the storm's front-thump doesn't look as dynamic, and the secondary takes a bit longer to really wind up. It's not really an issue for ME and parts of N NH around Conway but I don't think we'll see many 12"+ numbers south of the Lakes Region. actually, several did. see below. definite trend for colder/drier WAA + later secondary development on 12z Euro / 18z NAM, we'll see if it holds fwiw, SREF plumes for KBos have ticked up 03z-->09z-->15z: 4.21 -->4.5-->5.3" Just going through Euro now.... Somewhat underwhelmed by qpf on front-end dump Also best commahead stinger limited to NEMA and points north... actually looked better on NAM/GFS In terms of column, 12z clearly ticked colder than 0z so Boston does better in that regard: warmest 850s for Boston 12z: 12zeuro850mb33.png 0z: 00zeuro850mb45.png All in all, 4-6 is a safe forecast for Boston, was hoping Euro would give reason for higher but not there yet. Also see some daytime melting during dryslot Tuesday until secondary deepens, and still not clear how much commahead impact we actually see ala NAM/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 actually, several did. see below. definite trend for colder/drier WAA + later secondary development on 12z Euro / 18z NAM, we'll see if it holds fwiw, SREF plumes for KBos have ticked up 03z-->09z-->15z: 4.21 -->4.5-->5.3" Nice... sorry.. .I didn't see your post. You were in the minority though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Nice... sorry.. .I didn't see your post. You were in the minority though lol. actually if you bring it up your labeled a downer or a bridge jumper, unless as wxniss did, he posted it at 2am, but then nobody sees it lol avoiding discussion of potential trends or labeling them weenie talk makes AWT's easier to confirm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I do think numbers like that are just too high in this setup outside of ME. Agreed... I've been going 8-12" for here locally all along, and even that I bet may take some upslope enhancement help as I think we are good for about 0.75" QPF. BTV was 14-18" this morning and now are 10-14" here... I still am not sure about the widespread foot plus snowfall amounts being tossed around outside of Maine. Obviously the summits and ski area upper elevations tend to surprise bigger, but that's what happens at 3,000 or 4,000ft up in the atmosphere. This will likely end up like a widespread 6-12" long-is duration event... I think outside Maine it may be tough to get anything more than spot amounts 12"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 actually if you bring it up your labeled a downer or a bridge jumper, unless as wxniss did, he posted it at 2am, but then nobody sees it lol avoiding discussion of potential trends or labeling them weenie talk makes AWT's easier to confirm Its a minor wobble though...not really a "Trend". Its still well within the snowfall forecast for BOS. If it had sliced QPF in half or something, that would have been something to note...but a difference of like 0.10" from run to run really doesn't constitute anything major or high impact to worry about or get excited over. Its going to snow pretty good overnight for most people. Everyone is going to get advisory snows and most along and north of the pike will get warning snows I think. There are certain to be the usual screw zones where someone gets 4-5" and expected 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Here's what we're thinking for the region... that banner should read "through Wednesday" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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