OSUmetstud Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 the ec ensembles did look slighty warmer than the op... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 GFS looked like it kicked the vortmax east and the confluence northeast of Maine was better, but still drives the low into SNE. Moyer said it's right for Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 You guys are getting crushed. I'll be home just in time Tuesday night to shovel my driveway lol. 9Z Sref's are pretty warm but look cooler with a pretty large spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 It is for you guys down there and i am on the edge of disaster here but looked to get saved verbatim, Ride the Euro GFS is pretty huge for up here, lol. Can't be right because we don't get synoptic snow in northern VT this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 GFS is pretty huge for up here, lol. Can't be right because we don't get synoptic snow in northern VT this season.This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Well it's in the zone where you have to consider it, but if the 12z euro comes in similar to 00z..I think we can ride that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Man it sucks that its the GFS because that 12z run is such a weenie run for up here. 1.0-1.25" QPF as snow from the synoptic storm, then upslope for days after that. There's actually precipitation in every 6 hour panel from like Monday night through Sunday the 24th. A real CT_Blizz style days and days of snow as that upper level low and surface low get caught in northern ME and the Maritimes. Just rotating energy and maritime moisture back into the upslope region for like 5 days. Heck out on Sunday 3/24 it is still snowing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 GFS is pretty huge for up here, lol. Can't be right because we don't get synoptic snow in northern VT this season. lol, We know its wrong then, The 12z GGEM is similar to the GFS ........fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 lol, We know its wrong then, The 12z GGEM is similar to the GFS ........fwiw GGEM smokes SNE and takes the low thru the canal from what I see, it dumps and then is a huge ice storm, much different than GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 GGEM smokes SNE and takes the low thru the canal from what I see, it dumps and then is a huge ice storm, much different than GFS Looked like a front end dump to ice then flip to rain on the backend, Unless i am looking at something totally different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Looked like a front end dump to ice then flip to rain on the backend, Unless i am looking at something totally different No you are correct, seems to go to drizzle after all the damage, knowig it runs warm on that simulation site it really hammers an ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 No you are correct, seems to go to drizzle after all the damage, knowig it runs warm on that simulation site it really hammers an ice storm Yeah, Still a real good hit for most, Looked to stay all snow here as the low slides ENE along the coast thru the bay of fundy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Yeah, Still a real good hit for most, Looked to stay all snow here as the low slides ENE along the coast thru the bay of fundy Stalls in the GOM and intensifies while the ULL drops heights like no tomorrow, get the sled ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Stalls in the GOM and intensifies while the ULL drops heights like no tomorrow, get the sled ready Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 def not in the good range for it, but the latest RPM looks cold; probably all snow north of the CT/MA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 RPM probably had 50" up here.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Slowly mustering a modicum of give a sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 WSW go up for all if us tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 all I need is 13.5" to crack the century mark for MBY accum. If this pattern sticks around, i'm feeling confident I can hit that number easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 GGEM is winter storm warning for everyone from Lake Erie all the way across NY state and all of New England and southern Canada. Huge storm on that model, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Well the 12z GFS snowmap looks much better than I expected, it's a solid 4" front end down here. GGEM and RGEM look good, the accumulation maps arent out yet on meteocentre, but the precip type looked like a decent front end down here. With the EURO also having a front end dump, perhaps a consensus on a 2-4" lollies to 5" down here is emerging? That would be nice from a system which I was expecting nothing from, and the seasonal trend this winter of colder in the short range cannot be overlooked. I'm getting intrested in a couple of inches monday night... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 12z GGEM for posterity because its such a solid hit for everyone, lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 In the other thread, I stated 12/16/07 but the better analog appears to be march of 2007...something like 3/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 GGEM is winter storm warning for everyone from Lake Erie all the way across NY state and all of New England and southern Canada. Huge storm on that model, lol. Lock it! Ski country is due for a big one, although Whiteface is close to (above?) average for this time of year, there's only been two big storms over 10", everything else has been nickel and dime events. I'm really rooting for SLK to get a big one here, anything down here is a bonus. (Although it's looking like atleast a small bonus is likely...) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Wow, assuming the 0c line is the freezing line on the GGEM I'm looking at close to a warning event on it. I'm guessing that the freezing line is probably a decent amount north of the 0c line at 850, so probably a couple of inches and then nice cold rain. Meteocentre accumulations should be out soon though and they give a better picture... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 You guys would get a kick out of the 12z NOGAPS... Dumps about 1.4" of liq equiv in less than 6 hours. Then, day 7 it has a ferocious blizzard just raging over eastern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Euro is cold. Warning snows for most of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Crap..euro looks like all snow to the coast pike northward! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Guessing the fact that EURO trended colder means the front end here gets better? It was already 3" on the 0z run. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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