Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Not sure why anyone is paying attention to the NAM or the GFS unless they're bored at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Not sure why anyone is paying attention to the NAM or the GFS unless they're bored at work. Bored in class* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I think we will do better than that. NAM even upped the QPF... I just checked the Euro and it's all snow throughout I think based on the soundings. If that's the case then we'd probably see close to a foot. But we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 No... here's the QPF from hours 27-30. And here's the 850mb temperatures at 30 hours. Temperatures remain too warm for that to stay snow south of the Pike. Sleet or rain (or in the NW Hills of CT... freezing rain) will be the rule. Thanks. If the whole thing trended colder... possibly. But at least right now we're torched 775-850mb so when we get that second wave we're still not cold enough for snow. I could see us rip pingers though. Nothing more enjoyable than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Not sure why anyone is paying attention to the NAM or the GFS unless they're bored at work. Only because they are the 1st 2 out of the barn while waiting on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Haters gonna hate Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Kevin is a hoarder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 RPM is hitting on that tail pretty good in wrn CT so far on the 12z run. I think I would keep an eye on that. Just has one of those dynamic looks...and perhaps with thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I think hes a lot closer to 97 inches in reality than we want to beleive, it has just been an unbelievable run for eastern hills of ct and it seems like its almost every storm...in fact im jealous of everyone from manchester ct east and south down to west hartford and bristol etc.. well i am holding out hope for a miracle bc all i have is climo or slightly above right now(49.1) those numbers in the spfd republican weather section are slant sticked for sure...in case anyone was gonna mention that they recorded 11 inches with the last event(no one in the metro area had more than 6-8 inches) and over 3 inches in early november when no one here had more than an inch i have no respect for anyone who slant sticks but i really do think those guys are close to 100 already. i might have to consider bridge jumping if there is another ene or esne special this season lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Yeah I was. And you guys in ME will def get at least 10", if not 15" lol. I just think during that "lull" during the morning tomorrow will see non accumulating snows, even though the models are adding up that 0.1-0.25" qpf. Got it. I should have read more carefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol I was just thinking the same thing so much for squeaky clean cars Kevin is a hoarder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 that was a slant stick for sure.. maybe they measured a drift? I think hes a lot closer to 97 inches in reality than we want to beleive, it has just been an unbelievable run for eastern hills of ct and it seems like its almost every storm...in fact im jealous of everyone from manchester ct east and south down to west hartford and bristol etc.. well i am holding out hope for a miracle bc all i have is climo or slightly above right now(49.1) those numbers in the spfd republican weather section are slant sticked for sure...in case anyone was gonna mention that they recorded 11 inches with the last event(no one in the metro area had more than 6-8 inches) and over 3 inches in early november when no one here had more than an inch i have no respect for anyone who slant sticks but i really do think those guys are close to 100 already. i might have to consider bridge jumping if there is another ene or esne special this season lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 RPM is hitting on that tail pretty good in wrn CT so far on the 12z run. I think I would keep an eye on that. Just has one of those dynamic looks...and perhaps with thunder. Rain or snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Rain or snow? Depends where. I wouldn't rule out thunder somewhere with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Rain or snow? Rain for you but the RPM rips snow... and I mean rips snow... on that stinger just north of HVN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Depends where. I wouldn't rule out thunder somewhere with this. Crushes Ray too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Jen spent that blizzard cleaning out the basement and we loaded it all up there in the garage to bring to good will. My truck doesn't fit I the garage so that's where it went. It's now nice and clean there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Rain for you but the RPM rips snow... and I mean rips snow... on that stinger just north of HVN.No model shows snow on the stinger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Crushes Ray too. Yeah, right on the line here. It's the RPM..but even the globals hint at it. It just has that wicked dynamic look with rapid height falls and good moisture inflow into the area. I'm starting to think that more and more..but we'll see how the GFS and Euro look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 NOAA call seems good here for 1-3 or 2-4 before the flip. Did NCEP ever figure out why the NAM was 4c too warm the entire last event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Rain for you but the RPM rips snow... and I mean rips snow... on that stinger just north of HVN. You have my interest Sounds like a classic merritt parkway divider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 NAM has a solid front-end for SE MA. 4-6" verbatim for Bristol/Norfolk counties along the RI borer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 You'll be welll over your climo after this so your right to b*tch will have been repealed no matter how much CT has ytd. lol I think hes a lot closer to 97 inches in reality than we want to beleive, it has just been an unbelievable run for eastern hills of ct and it seems like its almost every storm...in fact im jealous of everyone from manchester ct east and south down to west hartford and bristol etc.. well i am holding out hope for a miracle bc all i have is climo or slightly above right now(49.1) those numbers in the spfd republican weather section are slant sticked for sure...in case anyone was gonna mention that they recorded 11 inches with the last event(no one in the metro area had more than 6-8 inches) and over 3 inches in early november when no one here had more than an inch i have no respect for anyone who slant sticks but i really do think those guys are close to 100 already. i might have to consider bridge jumping if there is another ene or esne special this season lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 09z Sref plume mean is 14.35" here, With decent clustering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 No model shows snow on the stinger. I said the NAM didn't and that I hadn't looked at the RPM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I said the NAM didn't and that I hadn't looked at the RPM lol Yeah. But which of the two gives you the better guidance? Not a trick question, I swear! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Kevin is a hoarder. LOL, He's probably got basement freezers full of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I think hes a lot closer to 97 inches in reality than we want to beleive, it has just been an unbelievable run for eastern hills of ct and it seems like its almost every storm...in fact im jealous of everyone from manchester ct east and south down to west hartford and bristol etc.. well i am holding out hope for a miracle bc all i have is climo or slightly above right now(49.1) those numbers in the spfd republican weather section are slant sticked for sure...in case anyone was gonna mention that they recorded 11 inches with the last event(no one in the metro area had more than 6-8 inches) and over 3 inches in early november when no one here had more than an inch i have no respect for anyone who slant sticks but i really do think those guys are close to 100 already. i might have to consider bridge jumping if there is another ene or esne special this season lol Ya it seems like a line from about Worcester down SW to about shelton CT has been on the jackpot on most big storms the last few years. He'll even BDR is over 60" this year on Long Island sound! I'm at 90" but my elevation probably adds 10-20" for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 09z Sref plume mean is 14.35" here, With decent clustering 14.10" here. +1 on the decent clustering. edit: I should add this is going by plumes for KIWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 SREF plumes seem like that are doing what the NAM has been doing. Warm tongue holds down totals. I think it may be aggressive with that..but they have been consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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