CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 OT, but related to the blocking, Tim Kelly was just showing water vapor loop featuring the March 6-8 event pounding the Azores... Neat stuff Europe has been getting smashed. Before I went on vacation, I was writing TAFs for France...a March freaking snowstorm for Paris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Tickling south on almost all guidance last night. Could be a pretty fun system...very very cold for the time of the year. Temps wouldn't get out of the 20s in the interior if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Europe has been getting smashed. Before I went on vacation, I was writing TAFs for France...a March freaking snowstorm for Paris.one of the national shows this morning (Today?) Was showing crush job there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I can't believe how chilly it is even here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 one of the national shows this morning (Today?) Was showing crush jibs there Yeah moved into Hungary and the interior of Europe. Usually, Europe gets hit hard when there is a -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Still like 90-96 hrs out, but might have to toss. Yeah it's been pretty much the warmest solution, Even the Nam in clown range was not bad here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I can't believe how chilly it is even here.March is not a winter month anymoreSo many people are pissed...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 March is not a winter month anymore So many people are pissed...lol Hopefully we can get 1-2 more storms in. Still signs of stuff in the long range, but could be offshore too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 March is not a winter month anymore So many people are pissed...lol Euro would probably not get ORH above 40F for the entire run through next Monday. Even snowman21 and LL might be as impressed with that as a high of 53F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Euro would probably not get ORH above 40F for the entire run through next Monday. Even snowman21 and LL might be as impressed with that as a high of 53F. You betcha!! Going to be shucking some oysters down on the flats and then a festivus fire with a good Scotch!. Go Go Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 15 days till lent is over, and can have some libations. Get out and enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 You betcha!! Going to be shucking some oysters down on the flats and then a festivus fire with a good Scotch!. Go Go Go! The SE US is running about -7 or -8 this month....the departures there are going to be ungodly next week once the storm moves through. Don't think they can break the obscenity that was March 1960...but they probably have a top 5 coldest March locked. I mean, below 0C 850s hanging out in Florida? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 GYX still seems confident about a changeover along the coast, with the significant snow confined to the foothills and mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 GYX still seems confident about a changeover along the coast, with the significant snow confined to the foothills and mountains. That will change as we get closer, thes subtle tics keep moving the colder air SE towards the coast, Euro is cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The SE US is running about -7 or -8 this month....the departures there are going to be ungodly next week once the storm moves through. Don't think they can break the obscenity that was March 1960...but they probably have a top 5 coldest March locked. I mean, below 0C 850s hanging out in Florida? That's incredible...even the euro ensembles have the 0C 850 isotherm kissing TLH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 That will change as we get closer, thes subtle tics keep moving the colder air SE towards the coast, Euro is cold It might be one of those things where winds are east, but then sharply turn NNW as the low bombs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Wondering, if like last weeks storm, we continue the shift SE as we get closer? Thinking snow to sleet/ice then maybe rain for me with current models, hoping the tickle continues! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The SE US is running about -7 or -8 this month....the departures there are going to be ungodly next week once the storm moves through. Don't think they can break the obscenity that was March 1960...but they probably have a top 5 coldest March locked. I mean, below 0C 850s hanging out in Florida? Do you really think that's going to happen ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The SE US is running about -7 or -8 this month....the departures there are going to be ungodly next week once the storm moves through. Don't think they can break the obscenity that was March 1960...but they probably have a top 5 coldest March locked. I mean, below 0C 850s hanging out in Florida? I was looking at that this morning--I didn't have the historical context but was thinking how cold that must be for them at this time of year. Wondering, if like last weeks every freakin' storm this winter, we continue the shift SE as we get closer? Thinking snow to sleet/ice then maybe rain for me with current models, hoping the tickle continues! Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Nice to see the snowier trend continue..This looks like an all snow deal for just about all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Nice to see the snowier trend continue..This looks like an all snow deal for just about all of us If 12z (EURO) cools us again by ticking SE, then I think it's time to really get excited. I'd probably use a 70/30 split (EURO v everything else) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 This actually seems realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Nice to see the snowier trend continue..This looks like an all snow deal for just about all of us I wouldn't be spiking anything yet, Kevin. This could still have a lot of ip/zr in the mix for the interior. BTW--does anyone else seem to think that whoever wrote the BOX AFD wrt to the storm might be confusing what "upstream" vs. "downstream" means? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 This actually seems realistic Nudity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 BOX talked about the 925 0C line making it further NW, but I see the opposite as compared to 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 BOX talked about the 925 0C line making it further NW, but I see the opposite as compared to 12z yesterday. Yeah I think he may have been looking at the Euro upside down. Euro is def colder at mid levels than 12z was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I wouldn't be spiking anything yet, Kevin. This could still have a lot of ip/zr in the mix for the interior. BTW--does anyone else seem to think that whoever wrote the BOX AFD wrt to the storm might be confusing what "upstream" vs. "downstream" means? Considering he couldn't even interpret what the Euro was showing correctly..I'd imagine that's a distinct possibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Even a little reach around for Kevin since the low bombs a bit further south. Very very dynamic system. Reach around me and tickle me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Yeah I think he may have been looking at the Euro upside down. Euro is def colder at mid levels than 12z was Yeah. 00z was solidly colder than 12z/15 Mar. Likely even a few inches from Scoot to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The SE US is running about -7 or -8 this month....the departures there are going to be ungodly next week once the storm moves through. Don't think they can break the obscenity that was March 1960...but they probably have a top 5 coldest March locked. I mean, below 0C 850s hanging out in Florida? Cold here in FLA. I will be returning Sunday. Per the normal schedule expect a snowstorm Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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