CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 So with this storm digging for oil, this may be something where area just NW of BOS stay mostly snow. I could see a track hugging the south coast and then almost due north to a point just east of BOS before bombing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Fishing failNope. Was a beautiful day on the ice in Mt. Vernon (Flying Pond), and forecasts suggest I might get to drill some holes next Sat - late March is often iffy for safe ice on the lower elev ponds, but not this year.GYX's morning AFD is bullish, though no accum # or watches yet. They had the foothills lined up for the bullseye; however, I read the same thing prior to both 12/27 and 2/27 - got nice snowfalls but no jackpot - maybe 3rd time's the charm. Edit: So while I'm typing the above, Eric makes me a liar by posting GYX first draft. All good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Well if you wanted to be uber picky, you could argue the euro ensembles were a pube cooler than the op...but that could easily be noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 LOL..nice sig. How long have you had that one in there? Jeez...months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Statewide MCAS tests are being given on Tuesday in Mass...this will be a problem if some districts administer it and some don't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Probably a pelt fest for a while. I do think you may go above 32 for a little bit, but it's not really much of a factor. Ironically, the 06z GFS looks best right now. After a few ticks SE, the confluence due to the wobbling ULL to our northeast is modeled further away which allows the low to tuck a bit closer. I don't think it matters too much for SNE anyways..maybe some more taint, but areas near you and especially north to Will are locked below 32. Even I think I can grab 2-4 or so here. You think I'll tickle over 100 inches for the season with this one? I don't mind an inch or 2 of sleet and then zr on top. Just lock it up all week for the next 2 storms coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 You think I'll tickle over 100 inches for the season with this one? I don't mind an inch or 2 of sleet and then zr on top. Just lock it up all week for the next 2 storms coming Yeah you'll break 100. I probably shouldn't sound too confident..but I am..lol. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Well that was not what I wanted to see on the 0z EURO, not what I was expecting either... A blip on the radar, or a turn back the other way? That is the question..... Upton's first guess, they usually way overestimate the coastal gradient, and this looks to be no exception. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 Nope. Was a beautiful day on the ice in Mt. Vernon (Flying Pond), and forecasts suggest I might get to drill some holes next Sat - late March is often iffy for safe ice on the lower elev ponds, but not this year. GYX's morning AFD is bullish, though no accum # or watches yet. They had the foothills lined up for the bullseye; however, I read the same thing prior to both 12/27 and 2/27 - got nice snowfalls but no jackpot - maybe 3rd time's the charm. Edit: So while I'm typing the above, Eric makes me a liar by posting GYX first draft. All good... Lol, Well he said waders and fly rod, can always ice fish until the end of the month providing there is still ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 GYX first draft 734265_496662610393633_1301845638_n.png Reasonable, I had 10-12" prelim numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Yeah you'll break 100. I probably shouldn't sound too confident..but I am..lol. Enjoy.Double digits still possible here?I am thinking 5-7" after the latest Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I'm not sure what to expect here. My guess is all frozen, but PL contamination has to be a threat for awhile until the coastal turns us back to all snow. Actually it's not the worst thing because it would make it a lot more durable in the face on the nasty sun angle. I'm going down to Ocean County, NJ early tomorrow for work and hope to be home by around 8 or 9 PM before it gets too intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 NAM and GFS seem to keep the extent of the pingers to MHT/ASH-south now despite the warm 800mb nose. EC ens have a 1.50" bullseye in the mean for IZG now...they will get pounded as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Reasonable, I had 10-12" prelim numbers I love snow but I'd just assume take a pass on this storm. Should be good riding up north next wknd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 NAM and GFS seem to keep the extent of the pingers to MHT/ASH-south now despite the warm 800mb nose.EC ens have a 1.50" bullseye in the mean for IZG now...they will get pounded as usual. Nice. Classic swfe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 RPM is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Double digits still possible here? I am thinking 5-7" after the latest Euro... Yeah it's possible...there may be a good gradient between the MA/CT border and the MA/NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 RPM is interesting.Fire it up and post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Fire it up and post Well, you may not like it. It gives you 4", myself 6" anf Ray almost a foot...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 euro ens look identical to op to me, with 850c temp profile over central/e mass 0z wed. low over/hair east of bos. torch'd to 495 per models. i hope the nova scotia h5 low can hang in a tad bit more on the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Well, you may not like it. It gives you 4", myself 6" anf Ray almost a foot...lol. That still gives the blizz his century though sovi think he'll take it. Is it giving any love to the hinterlands (sorry--on phone)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Well, you may not like it. It gives you 4", myself 6" anf Ray almost a foot...lol.Tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 I love snow but I'd just assume take a pass on this storm. Should be good riding up north next wknd Yes, Thats where its needed, Let the boys play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Well, you may not like it. It gives you 4", myself 6" anf Ray almost a foot...lol. Lock please thank you. Cue Midlo making photoshops of angry Pope Kev while Ray snickers in background wearing his altar boy outfit !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 Lock please thank you. Cue Midlo Eric making photoshops of angry Pope Kev while Ray snickers in background wearing his altar boy outfit !! fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Lock please thank you. Cue Midlo making photoshops of angry Pope Kev while Ray snickers in background wearing his altar boy outfit !! Ha! I have one ready pretty close to that but have to wait til Monday to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 And there is always the major Noreaster around 3/25 on the 0Z GFS. That still gives the blizz his century though sovi think he'll take it. Is it giving any love to the hinterlands (sorry--on phone)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 And there is always the major Noreaster around 3/25 on the 0Z GFS. It would be funny if after griping all season I were to still wind up with a decent seasonal total. It all counts in the end, but I'd much rather have had it spread throughout the season. But, let me nit get ahead if myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Let's think logically. How often does a low pressure center track across SE MA and we get a decent snow storm for SNE? If this was the middle of January we would be worried about a flip to rain. It is the middle of March. A flip to rain is likely for almost everyone. Northern NE should cash in very nicely though. And in my opinion they can have it. We have had our fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 Let's think logically. How often does a low pressure center track across SE MA and we get a decent snow storm for SNE? If this was the middle of January we would be worried about a flip to rain. It is the middle of March. A flip to rain is likely for almost everyone. Northern NE should cash in very nicely though. And in my opinion they can have it. We have had our fun. That's mighty generous of you, Where were you handing these out in Jan...............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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