CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I don't disagree, but at a 3-4 day lead time, you're going to lean more towards climo. Unless you recognize the situation. I just don't see a reason for climo with a low going underneath and at the very least..overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 And they all look great for CT and Mass congrats and i hope records are broken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 12z GFS says, meh. Kevin is left in a depression from suppression. System is basically non-existent on the GFS. Best forcing is over the GL and the system weakens as it move E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 12z GFS says, meh. Kevin is left in a depression from suppression. System is basically non-existent on the GFS. Best forcing is over the GL and the system weakens as it move E. Did you forget this already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Did you forget this already? LOL at thinking the 2 setups are remotely alike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Regardless of the model, a flat solution is certainly possible given the pattern. Even the euro op solution is fairly flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 LOL at thinking the 2 setups are remotely alike. The s/w gets put through the shredder as it comes out of the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Regardless of the model, a flat solution is certainly possible given the pattern. Even the euro op solution is fairly flat. That's how I am leaning. Sheared out mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 LOL at thinking the 2 setups are remotely alike. Lol at believing ANYTHING the GFS puts out, you might want to read Ecks comments in the GFS thread, regardless it could happen but I will bet you the Euro whatever it prints out will be much closer to the final solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 That's how I am leaning. Sheared out mess. you said that before, but i also remember you Debbing the storm last week based on the GFS until you finally capitulated. When are folks going to learn, The GFS is a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I think KTAN will jackpot next week though, get the SREFS ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 Who cares what the GFS has. Euro wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Who cares what the GFS has. Euro wins Give it until 2pm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Who cares what the GFS has. Euro wins Bob does, it fits his initial sheared out thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 Give it until 2pm though.gfs is where it always is with clippers . South and wrong . I like the euro ens being on board too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Disaster next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 gfs is where it always is with clippers . South and wrong . I like the euro ens being on board too That's great, but give it until 2pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Euro ensembles were pretty meager with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I wonder if next week is a rare icing event for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 Disaster next week.Well again. Does anyone really care what the GFS shows on any system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Ukie looks pretty nice at 72h for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Well again. Does anyone really care what the GFS shows on any system? You can say that to any op model. With your logic, than we shouldn't have cared the GFS showed a storm 6 days out next week. Makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Bob does, it fits his initial sheared out thoughts. I just don't like the setup. Not conducive to much more than meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Suppression then cutter.......like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 gfs is where it always is with clippers . South and wrong . I like the euro ens being on board too Euro ensembles were pretty meager with precip. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 You can say that to any op model. With your logic, than we shouldn't have cared the GFS showed a storm 6 days out next week. Makes no sense.No I can't. There is one model and one model only we can say it about. The others all hold merit. The GFS holds male jocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 Ukie looks pretty nice at 72h for Saturday.Seems like one GFS rider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 No I can't. There is one model and one model only we can say it about. The others all hold merit. The GFS holds male jocks LOL...hopefully the euro holds onto the clipper. Next week is anyone's guess to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 You can say that to any op model. With your logic, than we shouldn't have cared the GFS showed a storm 6 days out next week. Makes no sense. Its useless and you or anyone else cannot convince me otherwise. When NWS can not trust it inside 36 hours, cmon dude. its run to run variability is off the hook. Look how far out of touch it was with ALL guidance inside 36 hrs last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Next week isn't even worth worrying about right now...the ensemble spread on it is enormous...more than usual for D5-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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