dmc76 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Glad the snow chances are back into effect this week and beyond. The last 7 days or so has been so boring with nothing to do but fixing my equipment for the spring. Funny how a pin hole in a cab corner can turn into a full restoration of a truck. Removed all the outdated lettering and getting ready for a nice fresh spring paint job on the tanker truck. Thinking commercial white with a touch of blue metalic flake in the paint for a company colour cheme for the fleet. Havent been keeping up with the trends as of late, but three in the near future sound like more p$tential pading to me!! I hope Detroit doesn't fall into the catagory again. OT: You might have to salt tonight $$$ Will see if that disturbance in WMI holds up. Could drop a quick inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 NAM about the same with the 850mb line at least. So far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 OT: You might have to salt tonight $$$ Will see if that disturbance in WMI holds up. Could drop a quick inch That would be nice. Asphalt temps are marginal but the potential for ice in the AM is a strong posibility with a low of 28. Thanks for the heads up. Almost went to bed with out checking the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 That would be nice. Asphalt temps are marginal but the potential for ice in the AM is a strong posibility with a low of 28. Thanks for the heads up. Almost went to bed with out checking the forecast. It is 29 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 0z GFS not that exciting, but still early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 All snow counts, doesn't matter what time of year or what amount... "Stat-padding" has very quickly joined the likes of "torch" and "meltdown" on amwx as being completely irrelevant in that theyve lost their original meaning. I mean, stat-padding has always been ridiculous, snow is snow. But the shear fact that every single kind, amount, and ratio of snow anymore is stat-padding is bs. Also agree...but we see it every year. The "I dont want snow anymore Im ready for spring" bandwagon always fills to capacity by the beginning of March every single year, and immediately empties out when there is any sort of snow threat on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 "Stat-padding" has very quickly joined the likes of "torch" and "meltdown" on amwx as being completely irrelevant in that theyve lost their original meaning. I mean, stat-padding has always been ridiculous, snow is snow. But the shear fact that every single kind, amount, and ratio of snow anymore is stat-padding is bs. Also agree...but we see it every year. The "I dont want snow anymore Im ready for spring" bandwagon always fills to capacity by the beginning of March every single year, and immediately empties out when there is any sort of snow threat on the models So true. Watch the forum really light up as the weekend approaches and we have the clipper remaining on the radar. I never used to hear the word torch in the wx forums up until a few years ago. How did that get started, you know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 "Stat-padding" has very quickly joined the likes of "torch" and "meltdown" on amwx as being completely irrelevant in that theyve lost their original meaning. I mean, stat-padding has always been ridiculous, snow is snow. But the shear fact that every single kind, amount, and ratio of snow anymore is stat-padding is bs. Also agree...but we see it every year. The "I dont want snow anymore Im ready for spring" bandwagon always fills to capacity by the beginning of March every single year, and immediately empties out when there is any sort of snow threat on the models Well I would like it to move into spring but I am not going to deny any snow that would be coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 American models continue to be scrapers here. EURO continues to be a nice hit. I like the fact that the King is in my corner but just from a pattern recognition standpoint, tight baroclinic zones with a strong, shallow arctic airmass to the north would tend to shunt little nothing s/ws like this to the south. Going to need more amplification of the H5 wave to counteract that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 DTX going with a general 2 to 4" across SEMI with more North of M-59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 DTX going with a general 2 to 4" across SEMI with more North of M-59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 DTX going with a general 2 to 4" across SEMI with more North of M-59 I hope the cooling to the south trend holds. I will take any plowable accumulations this late in March. Been a long time since March was a blockbuster, perhaps it might be backloaded like our winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 How about some reasoning why you disagree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 DTX going with a general 2 to 4" across SEMI with more North of M-59 Personally I'd go 1-3" but we aren't far apart on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 How about some reasoning why you disagree? I don't disagree. I was just referring to the 2-4". DMC knows what i'm talking about LOL...We are the magnet for the 2-4 inch amnts ;D...That's all..! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Personally I'd go 1-3" but we aren't far apart on this one. How about some reasoning why you disagree with the 2-4" that DTX is going with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 hoh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I don't disagree. I was just referring to the 2-4". DMC knows what i'm talking about LOL...We are the magnet for the 2-4" inch amnts ;D...That's all..! LOL. You know it I actually think if we can get little more cold air into the system. Which is possible. Dont Be surprised to see little higher amounts north of 59 especially around 69. I am a huge fan of nighttime snows in March if it was during the day I would agree with 1 to 3" and even less... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 LOL. You know it I actually think if we can get little more cold air into the system. Which is possible. Dont Be surprised to see little higher amounts north of 59 especially around 69. I am a huge fan of nighttime snows in March if it was during the day I would agree with 1 to 3" and even less... LOL.. Yup, nighttime will help a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I never used to hear the word torch in the wx forums up until a few years ago. How did that get started, you know? I'm not completely sure on this but I think the term blowtorch was started by Joe Bastardi to describe much above normal temps many years ago when it used to be free to read his thoughts. The word blowtorch then started becoming popular on the boards which eventually got shortened to just torch. Now, .00000001 degree above normal is apparently a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2013 Author Share Posted March 13, 2013 I'm not completely sure on this but I think the term blowtorch was started by Joe Bastardi to describe much above normal temps many years ago when it used to be free to read his thoughts. The word blowtorch then started becoming popular on the boards which eventually got shortened to just torch. Now, .00000001 degree above normal is apparently a torch. Haha, I see. So I guess my 2 degree above normal weekend would classify as a torch! --- NAM snowfall map, including tomorrow morning's DLL to Cycloneville snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 How about some reasoning why you disagree with the 2-4" that DTX is going with? Clippers tend to over represent QPF before arriving so I would expect a small adjust downward. Not to mention most models aren't showing 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 You guys took DTX a little out of context. This is what they wrote... GENERAL THINKING AT THIS POINT IS A GENERAL 0.5"-2"...LOWER SOUTH/HIGHER NORTH...WITH 2-4" POTENTIAL EITHER ALONG OR NORTHOF THE M59 CORRIDOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Clippers tend to over represent QPF before arriving so I would expect a small adjust downward. Not to mention most models aren't showing 4". Ive actually noticed quite the opposite...clippers being UNDERDONE by the models. Of course thats more in mid-winter, been a while since weve had a March clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Latest for me is calling for 4" from the Det Wx office point and click graphic. I'll take it. Looks like the same storm path (that gave Chicago area 10") as last weeks storm only couple hundred miles to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 14, 2013 Author Share Posted March 14, 2013 GFS snowfall - 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 American models continue to be scrapers here. EURO continues to be a nice hit. I like the fact that the King is in my corner but just from a pattern recognition standpoint, tight baroclinic zones with a strong, shallow arctic airmass to the north would tend to shunt little nothing s/ws like this to the south. Going to need more amplification of the H5 wave to counteract that. Sadly, this clipper looks set to miss us for the most part. Still, by the look of the pattern, we'll have a few more opportunities to reach our seasonal snowfall mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 GFS shows 1-2" of snow here tomorrow morning, and the NAM shows nothing. Gonna go with a heavy dusting for here. EDIT: Woops, wrong thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 The baroclinc zone setting up over the Midwest is pretty impressive, someone has the chance to pick up a decent snowfall as these shortwaves drop out of Canada over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 The baroclinc zone setting up over the Midwest is pretty impressive, someone has the chance to pick up a decent snowfall as these shortwaves drop out of Canada over the next few days. What do you think about the 0z GFS? It shows the thicknesses just south of here, so would be mostly snow based upon that, but the timing is not ideal (mostly from 18-0z, so during the daylight hours). The NAM, on the other hand, shifted south to more closely match the GFS, but is moisture starved, and delays the timing nearly 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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