CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Euro ensembles were a bit north of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Is the blocking easing a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Euro ensembles were a bit north of the op.Great day of trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 HEAVY RAINS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST, WITH SNOW ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC REGION. THE CHANCES FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL NEAR THE BIG CITIES OF WASHINGTON AND PHILADELPHIA ARE SMALL--BUT NOT DIMINISHINGLY SO. ONE IN TEN OF THE SKILLFUL EUROPEAN CENTRE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SPIN UP AN ATLANTIC LOW EARLY MONDAY (DAY 4) DEEP ENOUGH TO WRAP HEAVY SNOW BACK TO THE I-95 CORRIDOR. THE COMPLEXITY OF THAT PARTICULAR SCENARIO IS ONE THAT WILL PROBABLY ONLY BE RESOLVED IN THE DAY 1-2 RANGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 HEAVYRAINS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST, WITH SNOW ON THENORTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE CENTRALAPPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC REGION. THE CHANCES FOR ASIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL NEAR THE BIG CITIES OF WASHINGTON ANDPHILADELPHIA ARE SMALL--BUT NOT DIMINISHINGLY SO. ONE IN TEN OFTHE SKILLFUL EUROPEAN CENTRE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SPIN UP AN ATLANTICLOW EARLY MONDAY (DAY 4) DEEP ENOUGH TO WRAP HEAVY SNOW BACK TOTHE I-95 CORRIDOR. THE COMPLEXITY OF THAT PARTICULAR SCENARIO ISONE THAT WILL PROBABLY ONLY BE RESOLVED IN THE DAY 1-2 RANGE. 24-48 hour lead time seems about right. That's been the general rule this winter, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Is the blocking easing a bit? It's retrograding and slowly weakening with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 It's retrograding and slowly weakening with time. Good. we can start the torch and temp talk by 4/5 or so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Good. we can start the torch and temp talk by 4/5 or so.... Ha, no. PNA will have a say in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Oh look, the euro ensembles trended higher with heights across the NAO region and EPO region. Shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Ensembles def a lot better than 00z...they get decent precip into SNE. Still have a couple runs to bump this north before the OP model really starts to hone in...we need to see another improvement at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Is snow disussion for early next week off the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Watch 3/31-4/1 and 4/3...could be somethign to track in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Is snow disussion for early next week off the table? Not quite, but needs some work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Ensembles def a lot better than 00z...they get decent precip into SNE. Still have a couple runs to bump this north before the OP model really starts to hone in...we need to see another improvement at 00z. which storm is this? 3/25? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Deep deep winter continues unabated thru April 15th. No leaves on trees till June 1? Think of all the backdoors to look forward to with colder than normal SST's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 which storm is this? 3/25? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Good. we can start the torch and temp talk by 4/5 or so.... The pattern is le miz until mid april, however it s not going to be a gradual warmup, it goes right to summer. Its hysterical all the calls about canceling spring, this is New England after all, and this is March. A couple ridiculously warm Marches have completely skewed the way people think about this month of weather. This is not even close to a record cold March, not even sniffing it, but after the roastathon that has been the past 24 months it feels miserable out there. Sun and 46 this weekend for us is going to feel like heaven, the sun is getting way on up there in the sky. Imagine that, a March that acted like a March.........hard to believe. The mega death torch is coming, I remain patient..........the drum beats louder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Deep deep winter continues unabated thru April 15th. No leaves on trees till June 1? Think of all the backdoors to look forward to with colder than normal SST's How many people will die this summer in sne in your sig this year? I can't wait for the switch, we are almost there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 The pattern is le miz until mid april, however it s not going to be a gradual warmup, it goes right to summer. Its hysterical all the calls about canceling spring, this is New England after all, and this is March. A couple ridiculously warm Marches have completely skewed the way people think about this month of weather. This is not even close to a record cold March, not even sniffing it, but after the roastathon that has been the past 24 months it feels miserable out there. Sun and 46 this weekend for us is going to feel like heaven, the sun is getting way on up there in the sky. Imagine that, a March that acted like a March.........hard to believe. The mega death torch is coming, I remain patient..........the drum beats louder Eh, I'm pushing 30" right now for the month. Maybe acting like a normal March on roids or something though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Eh, I'm pushing 30" right now for the month. Maybe acting like a normal March on roids or something though. Talking about cold:) Its nice to have a March that actually acted like winter so we could put down that ridiculous notion that it was not a winter month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GINXY lovin' up in Maine, epic conditions, just epic! Hope you are having fun Steve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 The pattern is le miz until mid april, however it s not going to be a gradual warmup, it goes right to summer. Its hysterical all the calls about canceling spring, this is New England after all, and this is March. A couple ridiculously warm Marches have completely skewed the way people think about this month of weather. This is not even close to a record cold March, not even sniffing it, but after the roastathon that has been the past 24 months it feels miserable out there. Sun and 46 this weekend for us is going to feel like heaven, the sun is getting way on up there in the sky. Imagine that, a March that acted like a March.........hard to believe. The mega death torch is coming, I remain patient..........the drum beats louder The 2nd half of this month will be a top 10 coldest at some sites. First half saved the departures from getting too out of hand...but we'll see some -2s and -3s for the monthly departure when this is over despite places like ORH being +3 two weeks into the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 GINXY lovin' up in Maine, epic conditions, just epic! Hope you are having fun Steve!its unreal, low dews perfect snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 For Will,beers are ice cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 The 2nd half of this month will be a top 10 coldest at some sites. First half saved the departures from getting too out of hand...but we'll see some -2s and -3s for the monthly departure when this is over despite places like ORH being +3 two weeks into the month. Yep great second half of month, March acting like winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Man Ginxy that is sunburn city weather right there! Glad you are having fun, enjoy and party hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 pros: strong vortmax, good baroclinicity, Deep deep winter continues unabated thru April 15th. No leaves on trees till June 1? Think of all the backdoors to look forward to with colder than normal SST's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Yes people forget that December and January, the second half of February and the first half of March were all above to well above normal, not sure where Kevin gets below normal SST's from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Yes people forget that December and January, the second half of February and the first half of March were all above to well above normal, not sure where Kevin gets below normal SST's from.the pattern dictates the temps anyway, not the sst's immediately to the east. a 3c difference in sst's isn't going to stop a warm front from stalling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 the pattern dictates the temps anyway, not the sst's immediately to the east. a 3c difference in sst's isn't going to stop a warm front from stalling I understand that, he was just saying that thinking nobody would check or remember how warm this winter actually was despite the snowy finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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