Ji Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I can't say I like the idea of the SWFE. It was nice when we had a +PNA and a block a few days ago...now we have flatter flow with a Pacific shortwave being trapped underneath the block. Gfs wins again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Actually both Stamford and Lake Placid do very well on this run. SLK in particular looks to see a nice long duration moderate event, should be nice for spring skiing. 850s for NYC don't go above 0 between hours 24 and 192(except 96 and 102), they probably go up after 192 though, although isn't round 3 a nonevent compared to round 2 on this run? Haven't looked at text for SLK yet, but KNYC is 1.2 at the surface for the overrunning event, which is probably below 32 here(we run around 3-4 degrees cooler than NYC on average.) We also get close to 1" QPF, with .52 in 6 hours. But, the last part of your post is the most important, since we all know this is going to change 5 more times before we get a solution. I'm highly confident on an accumulating snow for Lake Placid, and moderatley confident that 40.0" will not be my seasonal total here, but too early to know what it will be. -skisheep -skisheep Sheepy signed twice here... feeling extra confident about this post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Man, that 12z Euro looks terrible. Can hear the footsteps of backtracking endless-winter weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 The day 10 map on 12z EURO looks funtastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Man, that 12z Euro looks terrible. Can hear the footsteps of backtracking endless-winter weenies. Not sure which EURO you're looking at but the Day 10 EURO is cold and shows a snow potential probably Day 11-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Man, that 12z Euro looks terrible. Can hear the footsteps of backtracking endless-winter weenies. It's really cold after the cutter http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF0.5_12z/ecmwfloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Not sure which EURO you're looking at but the Day 10 EURO is cold and shows a snow potential probably Day 11-13. Yeah I believe D10+ looks terrific, however I don't trust the Euro beyond D5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Yeah I believe D10+ looks terrific, however I don't trust the Euro beyond D5. What do you trust for D6-10? Goofus? DGEX? NOGAPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 Sheepy signed twice here... feeling extra confident about this post? If by you mean confident that I screwed up editing, than extra confident indeed! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 What do you trust for D6-10? Goofus? DGEX? NOGAPS? Well you know the answer to that, and post was more speaking to D10-D14 or at least 8-10. It'll get cold, there will be snow chances, but we're already wasting a few opportunities through middle next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I'll be surprised if the interior can't get several inches into early April. This is ripe for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Well you know the answer to that, and post was more speaking to D10-D14 or at least 8-10. It'll get cold, there will be snow chances, but we're already wasting a few opportunities through middle next week. Still, didn't understand why you said the EURO looked "terrible" when it looks completely the opposite, irregardless of whether you trust it or not. Not that it matters though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 The rain actually changed over to freezing rain for a while before turning to snow. The temperature in NYC's Central Park on the 13th held at 6F from 2am - 9am, and did not reach 10F until 1pm, incredible for mid-March. In SNE New Haven turned to snow at 2:30am, on monday, March 12th,1888. That's right - I skipped the ZR in haste. Then the snow stuck and froze to the wet wires (some old pics show NYC phone wires looking about 2" thick), greatly adding to the system damage in the city, and playing a large part in their deciding to put the lines underground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 For Ginx and others interested in Sandy cleanup in Westerly... it's unbelievable the amount of damage done in South County. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/video/#!/on-air/as-seen-on/Misquamicut-Clean-Up/197891051 It's hard to believe that Sandy managed to be worse than a near-direct hit from Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 For Ginx and others interested in Sandy cleanup in Westerly... it's unbelievable the amount of damage done in South County. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/video/#!/on-air/as-seen-on/Misquamicut-Clean-Up/197891051 It's hard to believe that Sandy managed to be worse than a near-direct hit from Bob. Yeah, that tickle east to spare South County a longer duration of onshore flow in Bob really prevented something similar from happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Yeah, that tickle east to spare South County a longer duration of onshore flow in Bob really prevented something similar from happening. Throw in long period swells, near-record heights, and 2 high tide cycles... barrier beaches were toast once those dunes were breached in Sandy. There are just miles now with no dunes or totally recreated dunes. And yeah for a place like Westerly that tickle brought them the eyewall but mainly offshore winds in Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 14, 2013 Author Share Posted March 14, 2013 I am going to have to wait, it will not load on my droid or Ipad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 14, 2013 Author Share Posted March 14, 2013 Bob was so quick moving too, Would have been bad but just like the Cape and Newport more of a surge than destructive waves for hours on end. The strength of the tides during Sandy were timed perfectly for max damage. I still believe that there was a rogue wave element that added to the destruction. I witnessed those first hand in Westerly in the perfect storm. The combination of such incredibly strong waves and surge moved rocks that have not moved since they were put in place in the 40's. To me the barrier beach damage was what I expected would happen some day but the tons of huge rocks moved in Weekapaug and Watch Hill was surreal, never expected to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 talk to me when the primary isn't over the UP of Michigan...ugh what a waste of a block. +PNA went totally bootleg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 We agree, there should be more snow chances, but none within any time range of looking at seriously. The 12z Euro basically had little to none. "Irregardless" Still, didn't understand why you said the EURO looked "terrible" when it looks completely the opposite, irregardless of whether you trust it or not. Not that it matters though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 birving, did the euro have decent snow for New Boston on the front end there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 birving, did the euro have decent snow for New Boston on the front end there? verbatim? not sure but it looked like at least some of the qpf would fall as snow or mix. I rarely speak for this area since it's not very interesting or populated w/ people on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 0z euro looks a lot better than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 0z euro looks a lot better than previous runs. Yeah, nice thump for interior areas... Euro forms quite the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 PNA / location of Plains trough is still spoiling this for us, but with -NAO block still think we can continue this trend towards sooner secondary transfer good run for NNE regardless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Nice hit Monday night. Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Goes to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Nice Tuesday crush job here on the Euro. 1-2ft...lol. H5 goes to town right over my head. I'll go out on a limb and say nothing close to this will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 you guys are a storm magnet! congrats next week, again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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