Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Euro was south. Did the biggest loop of all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 OT but this winter seems to have been particularly hard on the weather models that we use. I wonder what the reason is? or are we just too critical? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Croaking eastern areas. Sorry had to join in on the pity party Looks much like el euroaroosky And it's cold as a witches t$t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NECP should be ashamed of the NAM, it just shifted literally 200 miles at zero hours before the storm. What a catastrophic failure on that model... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Nam misses western ct completely tonight wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Well if this ends up whiffing then every model sucked. Let the models play out. My god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 hang on tight folks, the NAM is arriving safely at it's destination Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NAM looks a lot like the Euro in how it handles the band...starts it east and south and then starts to rotate it NW by 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Croaking eastern areas. Sorry had to join in on the pity party Looks much like el euroaroosky And it's cold as a witches t$t About time.. it doesn't look so bad for us after 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NAM looks a lot like the Euro in how it handles the band...starts it east and south and then starts to rotate it NW by 12z. Yeah you were right on tossing nam temps. Was sweating that one for the guys just to my west. It's rocking Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 wow at the NAM, it goes from 6" here to ZERO! Brian, you were right, c-1" tonight. Our fun starts tomorrow. assuming the models don't screw up on the trough, which I'm sure they are. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Nam misses western ct completely tonight wow didn't need the NAM to tell me that-Radar was clearly showing a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yeah you were right on tossing nam temps. Was sweating that one for the guys just to my west. It's rocking Thursday NAM has been garbage with thermal profiles this year going all the way back to the November event. I don't know what happened to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 It is colder more like the euro. Better hit for Boston they 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NAM has been garbage with thermal profiles this year going all the way back to the November event. I don't know what happened to it. No SWFEs this winter to save its behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 It is colder more like the euro. Better hit for Boston they 18 The issue was never temps. NAM is on crack...like Rick James type crack on the thermals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Have a hard time believing much will accumulate during the day tomorrow outside of areas that get the best dynamics. -SN to SN isn't gonna get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Upton just tossed everything except the HRR and the RUC. EXPECT 994 HPA LOW OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA TO SLOWLY MOVE ENETONIGHT...AND STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY...AS IT MOVES WITH CUTOFF LOWABOVE IT. OPERATIONAL SYNOPTIC SCALE MODELS SEEM TO BE UNDERESTIMATING STRENGTH OF RIDGING TO THE N/NE OF THE LOW AND HENCEARE TOO FAST IN MOVING PRECIPITATION INTO THE TRI-STATE.ONLY MODELS WHICH SEEM TO HAVE ANY GRASP ON CURRENT SITUATION ARETHE HRRR AND RUC - AND THIS UPDATE REFLECTS THIS. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 BIG hit for eastern areas. Sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 American models should be scrapped, what a waste of money when their guidance is truly necessary. I think the old avn and eta were better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The issue was never temps. NAM is on crack...like Rick James type crack on the thermals. Its still too warm at hr18. Eastern ma getting pummeled though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 BIG hit for eastern areas. Sweet! You sounding excited suggests it looks good for us too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 American models should be scrapped, what a waste of money when they're guidance is truly necessary. I think the old avn and eta were better. lol...not quite. But it's a shame we can't compete with the ECMWF better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NAM looks pretty good to me. Periods of -SN tonight and tomorrow and then the heavier stuff tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 lol...not quite. But it's a shame we can't compete with the ECMWF better. With the NAM gone completely haywire on its thermal profiles this winter, its almost like it has no use anymore in the winter...it only use is in convection season. Inside of 48 hours, you would probably save yourself a ton of headaches if you just looked at the ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 That cutoff line is creeping closer and closer to me. Stay back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 A little more north with the inv trough like the EC. Not a bad run for NE NY/VT/S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 lol...not quite. But it's a shame we can't compete with the ECMWF better. Relative to the Euro's vast improvements since the mid-90's (and before that, which I wasn't around for), I would rather have the old avn since they both pretty much blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If this were a month ago, I would lock in 10-12+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 With the NAM gone completely haywire on its thermal profiles this winter, its almost like it has no use anymore in the winter...it only use is in convection season. Inside of 48 hours, you would probably save yourself a ton of headaches if you just looked at the ECMWF. Agreed there is TMI these days. NAM HRRR RAP RPM SREF means have turned a lot of people into awful forecasters and allowed people to cherry pick the forecast they want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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