It's Always Sunny Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Hyannis has 1" already. Nantucket has 1.44", MVY has 0.83". Where are you seeing ACK has 1.44"? I'm not seeing that on the METARS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 This is an epic nam run for sne SREFs hit that same max qpf zone as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 This is an epic nam run for sne have to wonder if it's overdone though-that is a ton of QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Where are you seeing ACK has 1.44"? I'm not seeing that on the METARS. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KACK/2013/3/7/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 This is an epic nam run for sne Ya wow looks great. Probably would still cut the QPF down 1/3-1/2 though for a realistic solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NAM backed off a great deal in CNE. NAM backed off a lot region wide. Probably not unreasonable lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Where are you seeing ACK has 1.44"? I'm not seeing that on the METARS. If you're riding the GFS you'll need to significantly increase your QPF in the band. It's been woeful this morning and afternoon in the max areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 hr 27 nam has 1.5 qpf for coastal ct lol WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The NAM is a terrible model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KACK/2013/3/7/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Holy sh*t. I retract my previous comments. This wunderground site is convenient, thanks. So Scott are there any more tickets for the Euro QPF train? Apparently I bought the wrong one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The NAM is a terrible model. LOL, especially off hour. It may be focusing too much on this one band. Although it is an epic band on radar. If that gets over interior SE MA we will have SW CT like snows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The NAM is a terrible model. Very true:) fun to look at, euro gives bdr 1.02 total qpf so its only off by half an inch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If you're riding the GFS you'll need to significantly increase your QPF in the band. It's been woeful this morning and afternoon in the max areas. Yeah totally just realized that. Sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Holy sh*t. I retract my previous comments. This wunderground site is convenient, thanks. So Scott are there any more tickets for the Euro QPF train? Apparently I bought the wrong one. Between yesterday and today, TAN is at 0.81" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 NAM backed off a lot region wide. Probably not unreasonable lol. a lot? it was a couple a tenths at most. The main thing was shifting the max south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Holy sh*t. I retract my previous comments. This wunderground site is convenient, thanks. So Scott are there any more tickets for the Euro QPF train? Apparently I bought the wrong one. All models will likely be underdone in the best band. GFS was predictable though had done this all day yesterday too. Just doesn't seem to have the resolution to handle it. Long as it keeps the band near us and pointed at us I figured we were GTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radius Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I think since 12z some spots have had half inch or more...I bet close to 2" anyways in spots. All snow in Norwell, MA (Plymouth County) since 1:00 PM, about an inch on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 from the looks of it, things should start to improve a great deal over the next couple hours. The lift is increasing over the area and the temps wil drop obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 lol NAM, a foot of snow sounds nice! Don't think it verifies, but then again EURO is over 1" at BDR, so not that crazy... Cut it by 1/3rd or so for here and you start to have a realistic forecast, still on the high end, but somewhat EUROish. Suprised it didn't cave to the GFS, when it caves, it's usually the GFS which it goes to. GFS should be intresting to see if it ups the ante down here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 ASOS is terrible in precip measurement for snow anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Between yesterday and today, TAN is at 0.81" Nice. I'm using this site from now on. Trying to add METAR amounts for the past 24 hours just made me look like an ass, especially since ASOS sites are spitting out obs left and right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yeah totally just realized that. Sh*t. It's high stakes, we need that band to pivot up which it's doing. Yesterday even the NAM was too low. In that thin band on the Delmarva the GFS was about 1/4 of what fell. IF IF IF it can come ashore and setup, someone could see astronomical totals. I'm still not sold it makes it with the most intense portion. As much as it wants to come west it rotates sw. This is the game, I think it's oming but want to see the next 30 minutes on radar. My guess is that's 2-3" per hour of heavy wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Seems like the nam initialization phases sooner than most previous guidance. Radar shows the northern stream precip converging over the Berks and NW CT with temps dropping. They should start getting hammered by dusk especially. I've clung to the March 01 analog this whole event, and although the block is further southeast in this case, the late stream interaction is similar. Raises the bust potential big time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Wow, the I395 corridor becoming the new snow hole, does this fill in?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 First guess map for upton's CWA, I think it's conservative out west(NJ), they could do much better. I'm bullish for the city, I think eastern CT is going to be nice, here is the wildcard. I'm not confident in 4-6" at all, I think it could bust either way. My first time making a map, my apoligies for the horrible design. Didn't do one for BOX because I don't know the area up there very well, but I'd go with the BOX map but up totals in CT to 4-6" minimum and maybe add some more on the cape. If this is in the wrong thread I apoligize mods feel free to move it, not sure if it should be in the banter thread or here. -skisheep EDIT: red <1"(not there), green 1-2", Blue is 2-3", yellow 3-5"+, purple 4-6"+, dark purple 5-8"+, . Think all the others are readable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Nice. I'm using this site from now on. Trying to add METAR amounts for the past 24 hours just made me look like an ass, especially since ASOS sites are spitting out obs left and right. LOL, cut yourself some slack...you got a long career ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 ASOS is terrible in precip measurement for snow anyway. Yeah it really is. The Cocorahs totals are usually good to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 It's high stakes, we need that band to pivot up which it's doing. Yesterday even the NAM was too low. In that thin band on the Delmarva the GFS was about 1/4 of what fell. IF IF IF it can come ashore and setup, someone could see astronomical totals. I'm still not sold it makes it with the most intense portion. As much as it wants to come west it rotates sw. This is the game, I think it's oming but want to see the next 30 minutes on radar. My guess is that's 2-3" per hour of heavy wet snow. I don't think the band over Nantucket itself is going to make it in...lift and moisture expands north of that. You'll see the radar fill in and get stronger reflectivity and that band east of Boston making it inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yeah it really is. The Cocorahs totals are usually good to look at. Funny you mention that. I had 0.05" from a core this morning of (0.5" of snow) with 0.03" in the gauge and only 0.01" from the tipping bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 LOL, cut yourself some slack...you got a long career ahead! Haha clearly since Bob just showed me that Wunderground decodes METARS. I'm young but am so behind the times. I don't even have a smart phone. I should be in Shaker Village with Eric. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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