CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Euro looks pretty good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Firehouse terminology is used alot on the west coast particularly the pacific NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 What the f is a firehose? My question keeps getting trampled on. Is it the inverted trough with all the precip? This slang gets to be too much at times. Tons of moisture from the ocean compliments of this double upper level low combo we have going on here (some Japanese sounding name that begins with "F" that has been noted here). Hopefully most in the form of snow. That's the way I understand it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Firehouse terminology is used alot on the west coast particularly the pacific NW. We prefer Atlantikkake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 To build on what Will stated, here's the qpf for narrower periods: HPN: 3/7 18z through 3/8 18z: 0.57" 3/8 0z through 3/8 12z: 0.31" BDR: 3/7 18z through 3/8 18z: 0.66" 3/8 0z through 3/8 12z: 0.36" So we have .35" that's going to accumulate, and we probably get some stuff after 12z tomorrow(upton has us shutting down early afternoon and all snow until then), I'd say total accumulating QPF here is probably about .45" or so? Very happy with this run, should verify upton's 4-6" nicely and my 3-5" should be good, probably on the higher end. According to NYC forum Stamford is the .75 line for storm total, but I'm tossing them and going with what's here, the analysis over there is shaky sometimes... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Love the look of the euro Its up on wunderground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Well I hope it works out. I had a good vibe about this one for a couple days now for ORH hills...these quirky setups that involve upslope and other nuances tend to work out well for that area. Models are usually not the greatest at handling it. You have been consistent and steadfast with your call for ORH... hope it works out for you (cuz I usually get in on it, too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Temp dropping, 35 even now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 will has been most bullish on this storm .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhj Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 snow hole in eastern ct??? will it fill in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I would describe "firehose" as any moisture conveyor belt which stabilizes over a given region, rung out and "hoses". Not sure if that is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 will has been most bullish on this storm .. Yeah... I really was questioning whether the other guidance would keep central areas out of the goods. Temps have been excellent here though. High so far of 30.0F. Once the sun sets and the inflow sets up it should go to town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I'm liking the setup for my area with this event as the low level winds back to a more N direction, which should help to mitigate shadowing issues for the west slope. The 4 km NAM actually had the 10 m winds going NNW here after midnight, possibly implying some weak upslope enhancement. I will do a lot better if the low level winds are not ripping out of the E or NE. Snow growth looks good for this event as well, helping with ratios some after dark. Accumulations will be hard to pin down for any one location as I think there is definitely banding potential with this event, but I'm going with a general 6-10" for much of the area (W MA and E NY) with areas over a foot likely where the weenie bands set up shop. I think the QPF jackpots will likely be determined more by where the best banding sets up this go around as opposed to orography since the low level winds are more parallel to the mountain ranges, although elevation will help with snow ratios with whatever falls during the day today and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Euro looks considerably better for Boston than it did last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Love the look of the euro Its up on wunderground Bob, is it still rain there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 For the valley and shoreline in CT...gotta keep in mind that some of that QPF on the Euro falls after 8-9 am tomorrow. Unless we're really ripping, I imagine some of that will have a hard time adding up. Think it's still worth being conservative for the valley/shore. Hills in really good shape though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Euro looks considerably better for Boston than it did last night. Just throwing this out there in searching for a model I thought fit this morning well and the current radar it was the NMM. Shoots the band here up and over and then back down. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/list_files_area.php?model=hrw-nmm-eus&cycle=12&area=eus¶m=precip_p03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 For the valley and shoreline in CT...gotta keep in mind that some of that QPF on the Euro falls after 8-9 am tomorrow. Unless we're really ripping, I imagine some of that will have a hard time adding up. Think it's still worth being conservative for the valley/shore. Hills in really good shape though. It will probably be a situation where those hills along or north of the Merritt get some 5-6" totals while south along the shore struggle to get 2 or 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Bob, is it still rain there? No rain here according to the asos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 In case anyone cares about the euro text output. It has 1.61" of precip left for Boston with surface temps holding at 31-33 degrees the entire time. 850s are -5 to -7 the entire time also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 No rain here according to the asos oh but it's not sticking i'd imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 snow hole in eastern ct??? will it fill in? No ... the models think Kevin lives there, so - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 oh but it's not sticking i'd imagine. It's actually snow here too right on the water. It's just not going to really flip and accumulate if at all until dark is my guess. Guys also note that the pattern continued, 12z Euro was more robust. Weird, that's I think 6 cycles now up/down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 In case anyone cares about the euro text output. It has 1.61" of precip left for Boston with surface temps holding at 31-33 degrees the entire time. 850s are -5 to -7 the entire time also. Wow Boston could end up with a big total if most of that comes in after sundown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 oh but it's not sticking i'd imagine. Not presently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Highest temp so far since precip began which is what we are currently at 31.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Wow Boston could end up with a big total if most of that comes in after sundown I think a lot of people will do very well...not only does a lot of it come after sundown...but the rates themselves are heaviest during the overnight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I think a lot of people will do very well...not only does a lot of it come after sundown...but the rates themselves are heaviest during the overnight hours. Will check out the water vapor. It's just coming onto the screen now but you can see the high/mid level moisture getting tossed back hardcore. Coming to a snow ruler near you in about 7 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The RAP looks amazing for tonight after about 03z-04z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 For the valley and shoreline in CT...gotta keep in mind that some of that QPF on the Euro falls after 8-9 am tomorrow. Unless we're really ripping, I imagine some of that will have a hard time adding up. Think it's still worth being conservative for the valley/shore. Hills in really good shape though. I'm not too concerned about tomorrow morning. Model soundings look pretty cold in the boundary layer and as long as rates are decent with a strong northerly wind we shouldn't have a problem even down to the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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