ineedsnow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 waiting to see what the rest of the 12z models do im guessing it really could still go either way Why is BOX not extending WSW into CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 TORCH! Kiss it is all goodbye...sun angle will enhance the meltingBy midweek next week after the cutter yes most of it will be gone but not until then. And if its 48-50 is that really a torch in March? Your normals are like 46-47 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 TORCH! Kiss it is all goodbye...sun angle will enhance the melting It's going to be a great next few days, we get our snow tonight, than it all quickly goes away and we get a beautiful weekend! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ryan, I am surprised you are going with 3-6 in the valley and 6+ in the hills E & W. Is that from BL temps or shadowing? Seems to me that neither one should be much of an issue once we start to rip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 EURO had .5"+ to NYC, 4-6", expecting it to cut back to 3-5", loosing around 25% of the QPF. Glad that Ryan is holding at 3-6", he dosen't usually bite unless it's legit, so the fact that he's on board is comforting. JB is riding the GFS and has 3-6" back to NYC... -skisheep Euro 24hr precip 00z FRI-00z SAT is 0.25" at NYC to 0.4" at HVN..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 TORCH! Kiss it is all goodbye...sun angle will enhance the melting Its March, good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 TORCH! Kiss it is all goodbye...sun angle will enhance the melting We won't lose all the snowcover over this weekend, no way, no how, there is still alot of old snow still to melt and high's here in the upper 40's won't cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Uncle's finally beefed qpf up and appears reasonably on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 RPM is a snow bomb for SNH and has been since 00Z runs or there about. 4KM out to 15Z tomorrow has MHT south at 12-16" and its still snowing at that point !! I think the amounts are overdone, but 12" should be possible. . Not sure where you get this accuweather and local mets here sat less then 2 inches in Amherrst, NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Euro 24hr precip 00z FRI-00z SAT is 0.25" at NYC to 0.4" at HVN..... ? Was told by multiple people it was .5"+, to NYC and .75"+ at HVN. Are you 100% sure it's the right run? That sounds like wednesday night's run. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Uncle's finally beefed qpf up and appears reasonably on board. Where does the trough set up? Guessing not down here? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 By midweek next week after the cutter yes most of it will be gone but not until then. And if its 48-50 is that really a torch in March? Your normals are like 46-47 now it's a relative torch. We've been chilly for the last month for sure. 50 would feel like an inferno in full sun and no wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 On Sunday at 12:37 I posted this - Posted 4 March 2013 - 12:37 PM 360 posts Joined December 10, 2010 0 warning points Location:North Cumberland, RI KCNM - CN Mountain MAJOR PREDICTION - I now Know that this storm will be no better than "OK" for us. This methodology has worked like a charm this season. My Friend, Hallie, from Texas, who isn't really a fan of our region, come up to do a 1 year Masters at BU. In the time she has been in Boston, she has seen about 10" of snow: All the time she has been here, the models show something, and it doesn't really pan out. But - She went on a 2 week vacation in late December and Missed - The Dec. 29th Bombogenisis Storm! She had to go to a funeral out of Nowhere and had to leave February 7th, and came back on February 11th RIGHT as the Snow changed to rain on that Monday morning!! Literally - Missed the Biblical Blizzard of 2013! She is leaving Thursday for Spring Break - Perfect Right!?!? Except - The storm is supposed to be in Full Swing by then - Hence: No Good Storm. She got an earlier flight and is Leaving..................................................................... RIGHT NOW! On Plane waiting to Take Off!! STORM ON T Minus 30 Minutes!!!! I wouldn't even be surprised if the radar just Blossoms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ggem is still robust. Likes Dorchester MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ryan, I am surprised you are going with 3-6 in the valley and 6+ in the hills E & W. Is that from BL temps or shadowing? Seems to me that neither one should be much of an issue once we start to rip? Sort of a legacy from last night. I do think the Litchfield Hills will do best with tonight's snow (if I had to guess) and the NE Hills already had 1-2 inches this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 We won't lose all the snowcover over this weekend, no way, no how, there is still alot of old snow still to melt and high's here in the upper 40's won't cut it. Exactly..but the 40's and rain Tuesday will sadly melt most of it. It's been a great winter for sonwcover. i think we had 3 days where i saw the grass since Dec 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Sort of a legacy from last night. I do think the Litchfield Hills will do best with tonight's snow (if I had to guess) and the NE Hills already had 1-2 inches this morning. Are you still thinking 3-6" down here, or is it just consistency from last night? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Does Mt. Tolland qualify as NE hills? Yes, that 1000' behemoth, while an outlier, is still firmly associated with Connecticut's northeast hills. Not unlike the Matterhorn is to the Alps. Legend holds it even gets more snow, and that there is a coterie of ascetic monks up there that make a wicked brew. But, of course, no one has ever found that band of beer brothers, let alone the elusive prominence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 ryan u linked kev's fav model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 4-5" already in the norton Easton Randolph stripe. Some minor power outages occurring too. Heavy almost snow here. Every drop is 10% snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yes, that 1000' behemoth, while an outlier, is still firmly associated with Connecticut's northeast hills. Not unlike the Matterhorn is to the Alps. Legend holds it even gets more snow, and that there is a coterie of ascetic monks up there that make a wicked brew. But, of course, no one has ever found that band of beer brothers, let alone the elusive prominence. Aren't they also still searching for the much trumpeted Tolland Glacier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Aren't they also still searching for the much trumpeted Tolland Glacier? We've traced fingers of till to about 500' but it's impossible to go any higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Euro 24hr precip 00z FRI-00z SAT is 0.25" at NYC to 0.4" at HVN..... It's easy to add in the precip that was modeled to fall between this morning and afternoon...that's my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 It's easy to add in the precip that was modeled to fall between this morning and afternoon...that's my guess. That's quite possible. So take 70% of the split between BDR and NYC(on other models, QPF is much closer to BDR level than NYC level), that gives us .36, 2.5-5." Not great, but still reasonable... Should be intresting to see what happens at 1 if it ticks east. How did it do with the other troughs, did it often waffle around, or was it usually locked in like it often is on other systems? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 That's quite possible. So take 70% of the split between BDR and NYC(on other models, QPF is much closer to BDR level than NYC level), that gives us .36, 2.5-5." Not great, but still reasonable... Should be intresting to see what happens at 1 if it ticks east. How did it do with the other troughs, did it often waffle around, or was it usually locked in like it often is on other systems? -skisheep I'm going for an inch on the grass, will be happy with that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 That's quite possible. So take 70% of the split between BDR and NYC(on other models, QPF is much closer to BDR level than NYC level), that gives us .36, 2.5-5." Not great, but still reasonable... Should be intresting to see what happens at 1 if it ticks east. How did it do with the other troughs, did it often waffle around, or was it usually locked in like it often is on other systems? -skisheep I think you guys in NW CT do pretty well from the upper level low tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I'm not sure how the Euro has performed with similar setups. I think we'll see some bands come through and drop locally heavier amounts. The NW hills of CT are favored, but I think most of us get in on some good snow action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Radar starting to beef up over central and western CT.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 That's quite possible. So take 70% of the split between BDR and NYC(on other models, QPF is much closer to BDR level than NYC level), that gives us .36, 2.5-5." Not great, but still reasonable... Should be intresting to see what happens at 1 if it ticks east. How did it do with the other troughs, did it often waffle around, or was it usually locked in like it often is on other systems? -skisheep IMO the Euro gave you 2-3" if you're lucky. Surface temps are very marginal until overnight and the Euro does not produce heavy rates. But the good side of midlevel inverted trofs is the low likelihood high ceiling. The larger than normal uncertainty is the wild card. QPF could double or triple model forecasts or locally fizzle. So far I like the way the radar/satellite are evolving and I think it will produce tonight. But that's somewhere between a gut feeling and an educated guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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