Mr Torchey Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The euro nailed it here last night while the MESO models absolutely FAILED in every way shape and form. I would not trust these meso models as far as I could throw them for tonight. I ride the KING King King King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The euro nailed it here last night while the MESO models absolutely FAILED in every way shape and form. I would not trust these meso models as far as I could throw them for tonight. I ride the KING King King King If you're riding the EURO we are getting 3-5" tonight, it had over .5" of QPF in the area. Where did it have the trough compared to the 12z RGEM? The GFS was not horrible, ticked east, but had about .4" here or so, still 2-4". Not sure the RGEM moving east is worth freaking out over, even at 18z last night it had 2-4" for here for last night, it's been all over the place. I'm worried, but not giving up until the EURO, if it holds, it's my model of choice. What's the EURO's track record with troughs? Is it ususally accurate? -skisheep -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ryan Geeking out on air now as he called it. Talking about Fujiwara and lows dancing lol . Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Lol and then says we could tickle 50 on Sunday . Can't stop laughing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Garth, the reason why it doesn't happen is because it's a tricky interaction. Many times these upper level lows come in and act as a kicker with the flow ahead of it pushing the short wave trough or upper level low along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 radar expanding west and nw a bit ....perhaps the added lift is enhancing some upslope in the hills now as precip backs a bit and expands up thur SE nh ...ext sw maine looks like a decent little band going thru portland, maine! light snow breaking out near and w/nw of concord, NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ryan Geeking out on air now as he called it. Talking about Fujiwara and lows dancing lol . Awesome Fuji dance...fuji dance...everyone upper low in their pants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ryan Geeking out on air now as he called it. Talking about Fujiwara and lows dancing lol . Awesome They still calling for 3-6 across most of the center of the state? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Fuji dance...fuji dance...everyone upper low in their pants.Still laughing . He also said the low gets amped up tonight. Our terminology on the board is now going viral. Tickle 50 on Sunday on air. Priceless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Light to sometimes moderate snow...not gonna stick here until after dark. 3-5" final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 They still calling for 3-6 across most of the center of the state?Yeah. 6+ NW and NE hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yeah. 6+ NW and NE hills 3-6" down here still? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 radar expanding west and nw a bit ....perhaps the added lift is enhancing some upslope in the hills now as precip backs a bit and expands up thur SE nh ...ext sw maine looks like a decent little band going thru portland, maine! You are correct. Snow started a little bit ago and looks like it's picking up slowly. -SN really. Still pretty good visibility. Looking at the radar, it does look like it's filling in around Portland, ME and to the south. As it's been stated many times in the previous threads, this isn't a storm for Maine however with my newbie non-met eyes, it looks as though the heavy precipitation is lifting north a bit more. I'm wondering if this could actually become a 3-6" event for Southern Maine up to Portland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Light to sometimes moderate snow...not gonna stick here until after dark. 3-5" final call. I would think higher based on the models now showing a better hit in SNH... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 3-6" down here still? -skisheep Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yeah. 6+ NW and NE hills Does Mt. Tolland qualify as NE hills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Well 1.7 before compaction it appears. Staying status quo for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 radar expanding west and nw a bit ....perhaps the added lift is enhancing some upslope in the hills now as precip backs a bit and expands up thur SE nh ...ext sw maine looks like a decent little band going thru portland, maine! light snow breaking out near and w/nw of concord, NH not snowing yet here 12 miles nnw of CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I would think higher based on the models now showing a better hit in SNH... Meh. Gonna waste QPF all day today...Euro was like .5ish"...10:1 at best...maybe like 6" at best spread out over a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Does Mt. Tolland qualify as NE hills?Umm yeah lol. The highest hills in Ne CT are from here up to Stafford and Union down to Ashford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Meh. Gonna waste QPF all day today...Euro was like .5ish"...10:1 at best...maybe like 6" at best spread out over a day. What? Most QPF comes tonight into tomorrow morning...we will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I'm not sure if the RGEM is overcorrecting, onto something, or lost. Not tossing it, but leery of it until the EURO supports it. If the EURO dosen't back down, riding it all the way. I think it will backdown though to the RGEM, maybe 2-4"? Dissapointing start to 12z so far. -skisheep If we're talking about SW CT, I think the Euro is basically showing 2-4" too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Yup Nice, given that he's still confident, and I know he's not one to wishcast, that increases my confidence a bit. Upton's map looks like they are riding the EURO, guessing if it moves east, they will drop numbers. EURO had about .6" here, I'm expecting to loose about 25% of that at 1, probably around .45" on EURO, 3-6", I'll take it. Worried that the RGEM is right, but comforted by the fact that mesos have been clueless with this storm. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 JB says all you need to do is get under one of the bands and you're going to get smacked...has good stuff all the way back to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 STATUS OF THE STATE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER - MONITORING Good Morning, At 9:00 AM radar showed bands of light to occasionally moderate wet snow falling across the state with temperatures ranging from 30 – 35 F and North winds gusting to 45 MPH at the coast and 37 MPH Inland. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for today for the entire state and Wind Advisories are in effect for the coast. Overnight snowfall generally ranged from 1 – 3 inches across the state. The overnight runs of the GFS and NAM models are now forecasting a moderate to heavy wet snowfall tonight for most of Southern New England as a large area of precipitation wraps around the ocean storm that is currently located well southeast of New England this morning. This wrap around precipitation is forecast to re-enter Connecticut around 6:00 PM this evening and continue overnight and into the mid-morning on Friday. The models are actually in good agreement and temperatures are expected to be colder overnight therefore this is a higher confidence forecast then the snowfall forecast for last night. Today…Light to occasionally moderate snow at times with highs in the 30’s. Northeast winds gusting to 50 MPH at times along the coast and to 40 MPH at times inland. Most of the falling snow today should melt on contact with treated roads and little or no accumulation is expected. This Evening and Overnight…Wet snow becoming steadier this evening with temperatures falling into the low 30s. For the overnight, the wet snow is forecast to become moderate to heavy at times by midnight and continue through daybreak on Friday. Lows near 30 F with North winds gusting to 40 MPH along the coast and 30 MPH inland. The impact on overnight travel is expected to be moderate with snow and slush cover on most roads. Friday Morning…Wet snow falling moderate to occasionally heavy at times through mid-morning. A significant impact is possible for the morning rush hour with snow and slush covered roads causing very slick driving conditions. The snow is forecast to slowly taper off to lighter snow by noon with temperatures slowly rising into the mid 30’s. Friday Afternoon…Any light snow is forecast to change to a light mix and end by late afternoon. Highs near 40 F with steadily improving road conditions. The impact on the afternoon rush hour is expected to be minor with mainly wet roads. Total accumulations from this evening to noon on Friday are currently forecast to range from 6 – 10” statewide with lower amounts on roadways in valley locations and higher amounts (perhaps up to a foot) on grassy surfaces in the higher elevations of the Northwest and Northeast Hills. The amount of snow that accumulates will be dependent on temperatures. If temperatures drop below 32 F this evening then a plowable snowfall will be likely. The Department of Emergency Services and Public Protection Division of Emergency Management and Homeland Security will continue to monitor the latest forecasts and will issue another update on this storm event at 2:00 PM this afternoon or sooner if any warnings are issued by the National Weather Service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Lol and then says we could tickle 50 on Sunday . Can't stop laughing TORCH! Kiss it is all goodbye...sun angle will enhance the melting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 TORCH! Kiss it is all goodbye...sun angle will enhance the melting Regardless of temperature, it goes fast this time of year which is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Why is BOX not extending WSW into CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Regardless of temperature, it goes fast this time of year which is fine. Agree. I'm ready for some warmth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If we're talking about SW CT, I think the Euro is basically showing 2-4" too... EURO had .5"+ to NYC, 4-6", expecting it to cut back to 3-5", loosing around 25% of the QPF. Glad that Ryan is holding at 3-6", he dosen't usually bite unless it's legit, so the fact that he's on board is comforting. JB is riding the GFS and has 3-6" back to NYC... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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