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March 6th-8th Ocean Storm Obs


free_man

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You must be double what places like Webster just to the S have. 

 

 

Yeah probably...Webster is a relative snow hole...they are the Springfield of ORH county. They also got into that nasty dryslot earlier that really only briefy scraped ORH.

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Substinance seems to have gone for now.  Hopefully now we can catch up.  We'll have to see now if this plume of moisture can hold now for most of the night and early morning.  This is where the brunt of the accumulation are going to happen. I'm in extreme southern Wilmington, MA.  We might get at least the northern fringe of the heaviest plume this storm has to offer.  We'll C.

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yeah I would think Blackstone gets the least amount of snow in the country.  Northern Worcester might as well be central New England.

 

 

You can probably slice the city of ORH itself in half from ENE to WSW and the northenr half of the city is CNE (and all the hills to the north of it like Princeton, Westminster, Ashburnham, Gardner, etc) and the south side down to Webster and then SE to Milford is another climate zone. Its crazy the differences sometimes. Even just in the city on each of that line I described.

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On weathertap tilt 2/3 radar looks like the firehose is unloadin east of boston harbor now

 

 

Firehose going pretty far out into the Atlantic...the H5 flow is becoming more easterly now as the lakes S/W phases...this is going to be a fun 15-20 hours

 

 

314419t.jpg

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BOS down to 29F...the cold drained very well....biggest difference between what's going on right now in coastal MA and the bust down in the M.A. is the boundary layer temps above the sfc are so much colder and there is a good feed of them from Maine. One of the reasons there was a bust further south was the 925mb temps were quite marginal so it left nearly zero room for error (and errors happened).

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TV  mets seem to think it won't stick after 10-11am though.

 

 

They are prob right...but the most intense stuff is over by lunchtime anyway...snow will always stick if its heavy...but I doubt its heavy after 9am...maybe for parts of SE MA still.

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The blizzard really satiated a lot of folks here...I feel like if we didn't have that, there would be 100 people in this thread right now...instead its like 10 :lol:

 

IKR!?  What time do you think the snow wraps up in Boston tmw. Spring break has started but I have to work at 5 so I'm hoping they tell me I don't have to come.

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Snow globe here. Piling up very quickly now that temps are safe....

Ditto, probably an inch per hour in the good banding? Just had the first plow go by, probably have close to 1" on the roads, maybe 2.25" on the grass? steady SN continues.

 

Can't imagine that schools will be open tomorrow here, with the worst of it being right during the morning rush, I think they would be silly to open, a delay dosen't accomplish much.

Upton just raised totals pretty substantially NE of the city, looks like around 20% higher here, much more in westchester and north. Map below

 

Going to bed for a few hours, should see the nice stuff in the morning. Good night and good luck to all! think snow!!! :snowing: -

-skisheep

StormTotalSnowFcst.png

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The blizzard really satiated a lot of folks here...I feel like if we didn't have that, there would be 100 people in this thread right now...instead its like 10 :lol:

Loving this snowstorm......(down here).......Could be a contender for a top spot if it lives through tomorrow afternoon. 

 

Best March Ever

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Despite the snowfall totals depicted by RAP/HRRR beginning 11z-16z, Box agrees about warming temps moderating accums on CP:

 

 

1 am update... While the synoptic overview still applies in the discussion below...will now focus on preferences concerning the near-term forecast. The 07.12z WRF-arw and 08.0z NAM are doing quite well in handling the present precipitation fields...though with a wet-bias. Coupling the two together and dividing by half yields a fairly decent quantitative precipitation forecast output. The forecast may not agree with the precipitation that has been observed...blame this on the poorness of automated rain gages in regards to fetch of wind blown slow /underestimation/. Looking at highest quantitative precipitation forecast across the east facing Berkshires...and especially across southeast New England. May see a lull in the vicinity of the CT/Rhode Island border. With 0z-6z snow amounts reported...have found a 1:10 snow to liquid ratio has done best. Looking at an addtional 4 to 6 inches from now into Friday midday. Accumulation potential will drop during the morning period for those areas across the shorelines and coastal plains as temperatures warm a degree or two above freezing. See no need to modify winter weather headlines at present. 
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This science can be so humbling...even being bullish in ORH county and interior SE MA...I will be wrong. I would have never predicted Foxboro to do this or the hills here. Deep layer easterly fetch is almost always prolific for southern New England sticking out in the Atlantic like we do, but even still, this one is going to be pretty amazing in some areas....when compared to what many were frecasting lessthan 24 hours ago.

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Loving this snowstorm......(down here).......Could be a contender for a top spot if it lives through tomorrow afternoon. 

 

Best March Ever

agreed, it's a great storm, fun weenie light snow all day, and now tonight the heavy stuff, and the best is still to come...

-skisheep

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This science can be so humbling...even being bullish in ORH county and interior SE MA...I will be wrong. I would have never predicted Foxboro to do this or the hills here. Deep layer easterly fetch is almost always prolific for southern New England sticking out in the Atlantic like we do, but even still, this one is going to be pretty amazing in some areas....when compared to what many were frecasting lessthan 24 hours ago.

Did you think Nashua would have 1"?

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