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March 6-8 2013 Significant Coastal Storm Observations


earthlight

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Just so u know it says interstate 195 not i 95..There forecast has exactly 2" in freehold..

That's going to be though to get down here without good rates. Need good rates to maintain any accumulative cold. We had three hours under 30-35dbz last night and barely coated the grass. It's a few degrees colder tonight but still not enough to get it done unless we get the rates.

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Regarding the snowfall map out of PHI, as far as I know those maps are at least partially automated. The are NOT the basis for the zone forecasts. The are merely a tool that uses model output that is perhaps updated with some human input but they should not be used as an end all.

To me it's immaterial how it's generated - the point is it's inconsistent with the other products and they should strive to not have major inconsistencies like that.  If the map had us in 2-4" swath and the AFD said 1-3", I wouldn't care much, but the map says 2-4" and the AFD says up to 2" in Sussex/Morris, implying those areas get the most, meaning Middlesex is <2".  Sorry, but I think they can do better or if they can't do better, don't post a misleading map. 

 

And to the other guy who corrected me on I-195, thanks - although even that doesn't change the discussion, either. 

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To me it's immaterial how it's generated - the point is it's inconsistent with the other products and they should strive to not have major inconsistencies like that.  If the map had us in 2-4" swath and the AFD said 1-3", I wouldn't care much, but the map says 2-4" and the AFD says up to 2" in Sussex/Morris, implying those areas get the most, meaning Middlesex is <2".  Sorry, but I think they can do better or if they can't do better, don't post a misleading map. 

 

And to the other guy who corrected me on I-195, thanks - although even that doesn't change the discussion, either. 

But the zone forecast for Middlesex county says 1 to 3"

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It's probably not the last snow of the year...all of the models show a huge trough in the east between March 14-18, which is more typical for a last snowfall in this area. The Euro has -16C 850s into NYC at Day 8. I doubt we've seen the last of winter. 

All I'm seeing is upper 40s and 50s for the next couple weeks. Winter = over

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SN

32.7/27

Winds: ENE

1" total snowfall

 

Coming down at a nice pace here in Southern Westchester and now sticking to all surfaces, including paved roads. Would like to see the heavier precipitation over CT make a run for NYC metro, but this should produce at least 4-5" overnight, if not more. 

That's good that it's sticking to roads down there, should start the same up here shortly. Probably have about .3" or so right now, although it is steadily accumulating on the grass.

33 degrees here, .8 mile visibility, is that SN or SN-?

-skisheep

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SN

32.7/27

Winds: ENE

1" total snowfall

Coming down at a nice pace here in Southern Westchester and now sticking to all surfaces, including paved roads. Would like to see the heavier precipitation over CT make a run for NYC metro, but this should produce at least 4-5" overnight, if not more.

4-5" in NYC ?! I would think more like 1-2" there. I'm in NE NJ expecting around an inch

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