hazwoper Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Hi Folks. I had initially put this up in the NYC Metro forum, but they're probably more suited to this forum. These are two short clips from the Jersey Shore at 7am... I'm trying to confirm the location, but I believe it's the Toms River area. https://www.facebook...345833808850346 https://www.facebook...345828525517541 fyi - you don't need a facebook profile to view the videos, they're public links. 7am too? Where is this from? Would seem to me that those were taken closer to low tide even? Is that correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShoreWXgal Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 41/37 in Mystic Island...not much rain to speak of so far, but the wind has been consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 39 in Reading with cloudy skies. Hoping for a surprise...expecting nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 There were some spotty accumulations this AM west of here. Farm fields with bare ground appeared to do best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 7am too? Where is this from? Would seem to me that those were taken closer to low tide even? Is that correct? He posted them at 7:41am & 7:14am respectively, not sure on the tides, I haven't look up that info. It's one of the beaches in the Toms River area, possibly Normandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Wind gusts now to 38 mph at TTN airport. Have a feeling this is the main story with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 He posted them at 7:41am & 7:14am respectively, not sure on the tides, I haven't look up that info. It's one of the beaches in the Toms River area, possibly Normandy. OK Toms River high tide was at 6:26 this morning. Next high tide at 7:00 tonight in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Wind gusts now to 38 mph at TTN airport. Have a feeling this is the main story with this storm Definitely the coastal flooding and wind are the main issues in our area. With a storm going vertically stacked to our south and then passing off to our east later, there won't be the usual inversion that we see (weaker than normal to non-existent). Some of the profiles I was looking at yesterday being predicted were pretty favorable for transporting wind down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Definitely the coastal flooding and wind are the main issues in our area. With a storm going vertically stacked to our south and then passing off to our east later, there won't be the usual inversion that we see (weaker than normal to non-existent). Some of the profiles I was looking at yesterday being predicted were pretty favorable for transporting wind down. So a good branch breaker or random tree falling type of wind issue with the we ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Lot of slow moving precip: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Lot of slow moving precip: It's not exactly racing off to the NE is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 KWAL 061531Z 09033G46KT 6SM -TSRA BKN010CB OVC016 09/04 A2930 RMK AO2 PK WND 08046/1526 RAB15 TSB25 PRESFR LTGICOHD TS OHD MOV NNE P0001 WAL is just north of the SLP. Best low-level winds this afternoon/evening through about 3-6z tonight for DE/S NJ. Will someone exceed 60 mph down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardlover Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Questions for experts here: 1) Storm pace does indeed to be quite slow; does this help accumulations? (my limited understanding would be the storm had more time to deepen AND there will be more precip delivered later when it's darker/colder) 2) Is the GFS, NAM, or Euro doing best right now on track of the storm? Or do they all equally suck? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Drizzle in Allentown. 40F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Questions for experts here: a) Storm pace does indeed to be quite slow; does this help accumulations? (my limited understanding would be the storm had more time to deepen AND there will be more precip delivered later when it's darker/colder) Is the GFS, NAM, or Euro doing best right now on track of the storm? Or do they all equally suck? Thanks! Excellent questions. Need a met to respond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Lot of slow moving precip: Also, anyone notice the precip being drawn in from southern ne? Of any importance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Anyone care to recommend (if possible ha ha) a particular short-range model for forecasting radar presentation? A co-worker is trying to drive down I-95 from Newark, DE to College Park, MD for a 7:00 BB game b/w University of Maryland and North Carolina. Given the nature of this storm, I would think that I-95 would be safe to drive, but a real slow slog, unless rates are predicted to spike upward. If rates spike upward, that would make everything stick to the pavement. I am thinking that radar presentation (if accurate again ha ha) would show what kinds of rates would be predicted at hourly intervals from 4-7 pm. It's a huge game and tickets were a birthday present, so he really doesn't want to miss it. At the same time, he wants to be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Also, anyone notice the precip being drawn in from southern ne? Of any importance? All very good notes. Something tells me we are in for a suprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 All very good notes. Something tells me we are in for a suprise this was all modeled to. If anything is going to happen it will be late afternoon and evening. The nam is the only one really bullish on this, so my confidence is low. The stuff thurs night might be better than this whole storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 You can measure as often as necessary; the 6-hour rule applies only to clearing the board. The actual snowfall is the maximum depth measured during that 6 hour period between clearings, even if it was an hour after you last cleared it. As far as my thoughts... the 0Z NAM was drier, some of the other guidance was a bit wetter. The east wind off the ocean seems to be doing its thing, so now its kinda wait and see. I'm nervous my coating-2" might be a bit low for TTN, but I'm not changing anything at this time. Edison could make out a bit better being further northeast. Ray - thanks - presumably, if someone only checks depth every 6 hours vs. at various points in the 6 hours, they could miss significant accumulations that were on the board in that timeframe, but then melted before the 6 hour measurement, correct? I could see that being a significant source of error in reporting, from station to station/observer. Hope we can eke out at least 3" here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 A little more snow mixing in now that precip has picked up.- a burst of flakes periodically. - 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Quick question...does the blob to the south ever move north or does it just slide off the coast? So far here in Berks county...NOTHING but some drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 Quick question...does the blob to the south ever move north or does it just slide off the coast? So far here in Berks county...NOTHING but some drizzle that hvy stuff should slide ene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott W Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Moderate-heavy windswept rain here in Wilmington, De. Interesting to see the different radar depictions on where the rain/snow line - i.e. between Intellicast (below) showing snow in northern Delaware and Quakertown's Weather tap showing the closest snow in York County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 that hvy stuff should slide ene Anything falling in Gville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I don't know of any good radar representations, but my recommendation would be for your co-worker to leave as early as possible to drive down to College Park. Right now the airport in DC is reporting a rain/snow mix but it's only going to get worse through the day. Getting there may not be that bad but driving back north after the game will be the big issue because there will already be heavy snow in College Park and it will be changing over to snow in Delaware. Anyone care to recommend (if possible ha ha) a particular short-range model for forecasting radar presentation? A co-worker is trying to drive down I-95 from Newark, DE to College Park, MD for a 7:00 BB game b/w University of Maryland and North Carolina. Given the nature of this storm, I would think that I-95 would be safe to drive, but a real slow slog, unless rates are predicted to spike upward. If rates spike upward, that would make everything stick to the pavement. I am thinking that radar presentation (if accurate again ha ha) would show what kinds of rates would be predicted at hourly intervals from 4-7 pm. It's a huge game and tickets were a birthday present, so he really doesn't want to miss it. At the same time, he wants to be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Anyone care to recommend (if possible ha ha) a particular short-range model for forecasting radar presentation? A co-worker is trying to drive down I-95 from Newark, DE to College Park, MD for a 7:00 BB game b/w University of Maryland and North Carolina. Given the nature of this storm, I would think that I-95 would be safe to drive, but a real slow slog, unless rates are predicted to spike upward. If rates spike upward, that would make everything stick to the pavement. I am thinking that radar presentation (if accurate again ha ha) would show what kinds of rates would be predicted at hourly intervals from 4-7 pm. It's a huge game and tickets were a birthday present, so he really doesn't want to miss it. At the same time, he wants to be safe. I would go but wouldn't wait to the last minute. They are getting a rain/snow mix which should transition to snow. Roads should be just wet through mid-afternoon with the March sun - not sure what he'd run into after that. Rush hour traffic is bad enough down there on a good day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I don't know of any good radar representations, but my recommendation would be for your co-worker to leave as early as possible to drive down to College Park. Right now the airport in DC is reporting a rain/snow mix but it's only going to get worse through the day. Getting there may not be that bad but driving back north after the game will be the big issue because there will already be heavy snow in College Park and it will be changing over to snow in Delaware. Thanks for the response! I had forgotten that once he exits 95 in Delaware later tonight, the roads might be in bad shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 Anything falling in Gville im at work in wayne...where its lgt rn/sn mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I think tonight may end up too warm for the most part..maybe a coating - locally 2" after midnight? ...I'm much more interested in round 2 Thu night..that could be a 1-3/2-4 deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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