nyblizz44 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 There is a nice wall of precp heading SW from MVY & BOS way towards Eastern LI. is this the beginning of tonight's precp? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=box&loop=yes Obviously, QPF wise, the NAM is way overdone. But the trend SW is not something to necessarily ignore. The models are picking up on the strength of the block, which helps push things to the southwest. Additionally, it forces the Great Lakes shortwave to go further southwest as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 From my limited experience with norlun troughs, the jackpot area usually end up being a location different from what the models would indicate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 From my limited experience with norlun troughs, the jackpot area usually end up being a location different from what the models would indicate How many times do we have to say it, it's not a NORLUN! It's a much larger inverted trough interacting with the main system, it's not going to be like a norlun where 10 mile zone gets a foot and everyone else gets nothing... There will be a sharp cutoff, and I wouldn't want to be in NJ for this, but it's not like a norlun. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Definitely not moderate, hasnt been since that little burst at 7am...I think we will do well tonight 3-5 Stamford is not NJ, we have had several 20-25 dbz bands rotating through that haven't made it that far west. There has been moderate snow here, other obs from the New England forum can confirm. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Radar looks great up this way and snow is definitely picking up in intensity, is this the beginning of the trough setting up, or does that happen later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 screwed us for the main event saves us for part 2? It would surely make meteorologic sense. We'll just have to nowcast see how everything works out. Someone is going to get 6 from this. My best guess would be out near upton into coastal CT. Basically same areas that jackpotted with the blizzard. Would be nice to get this precip into the HV.. Temps here are mostly in the 32-34 range now. If current trends are correct I can see someone in E NY receiving 5-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Would be nice to get this precip into the HV.. Temps here are mostly in the 32-34 range now. I current trends are correct I can see someone in E NY receiving 5-6" Oh ya. Radar up there looks excellent. Add in colder starting temps someone is gonna jackpot in that region too I'd presume Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Radar looks great up this way and snow is definitely picking up in intensity, is this the beginning of the trough setting up, or does that happen later? The inverted trough looks to really get cranking late tonight through early tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Stamford is not NJ, we have had several 20-25 dbz bands rotating through that haven't made it that far west. There has been moderate snow here, other obs from the New England forum can confirm. -skisheep Sorry I didnt clarify, I work in downtown Stamford, and have had absolutely clear visual down 95 the entire day, outside of that 7am band...Mod snow is 1/2 mile, I promise vis has not been below a mile all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Just for fun... Weenie Food! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Would be nice to get this precip into the HV.. Temps here are mostly in the 32-34 range now. If current trends are correct I can see someone in E NY receiving 5-6" If this banding stays over us until 10am tomorrow, it should be more than that I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Sorry I didnt clarify, I work in downtown Stamford, and have had absolutely clear visual down 95 the entire day, outside of that 7am band...Mod snow is 1/2 mile, I promise vis has not been below a mile all day OK fair enough, it's sometimes hard to tell the visibility from up high when you don't have a clear visual, I'm just a few blocks from you then. It felt moderate, but I guess what you see isn't what you get. That's quite the commute from NJ to stamford, do you have a place around here? I can't imagine doing that every day... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 OK fair enough, it's sometimes hard to tell the visibility from up high when you don't have a clear visual, I'm just a few blocks from you then. It felt moderate, but I guess what you see isn't what you get. That's quite the commute from NJ to stamford, do you have a place around here? I can't imagine doing that every day... -skisheep Fair enough...and yeah I do have a place up the road, just never changed the location under my name...I'm back and forth enough anyway... Well things should only be getting better from here on out as the sun sets and the precip fills in. Hopefully it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If this banding stays over us until 10am tomorrow, it should be more than that I would think. Im only seeing very lgt snow here in Middletown. Heavier echoes look to be hitting a brick wall just east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Looks like the banding it setting up a bit further sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Looks like the banding it setting up a bit further sw Agreed. This is not a bad look at all right now, especially if we can get the bands in the HV to pivot further southward. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Agreed. This is not a bad look at all right now, especially if we can get the bands in the HV to pivot further southward. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php It's digging southward now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Agreed. This is not a bad look at all right now, especially if we can get the bands in the HV to pivot further southward. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Lift really starts to increase after dark, and much of the activity we see now should fill in quite well, from here through New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 18 RGEM looks a bit wetter for SW parts of the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Agreed. This is not a bad look at all right now, especially if we can get the bands in the HV to pivot further southward. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php That radar does look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 18 RGEM looks a bit wetter for SW parts of the region Doyouhave a map? More than 2-3" for here ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Upton begs to differ with you and says IT IS a Norlun. see below http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off How many times do we have to say it, it's not a NORLUN! It's a much larger inverted trough interacting with the main system, it's not going to be like a norlun where 10 mile zone gets a foot and everyone else gets nothing... There will be a sharp cutoff, and I wouldn't want to be in NJ for this, but it's not like a norlun. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Doyouhave a map? More than 2-3" for here ? Only BW maps now. But the qpf is extended further SW into NJ and EPA. The brunt of the heaviest is still NE of NYC. I count between 5 and 12 MM for NYC after 7Pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Doyouhave a map? More than 2-3" for here ? Only BW maps now. But the qpf is extended further SW into NJ and EPA. The brunt of the heaviest is still NE of NYC. I count between 5 and 12 MM for NYC after 7Pm tonight. Ok so Upton's call for 2 to 5 is a safe bet here near Newark NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Agreed. This is not a bad look at all right now, especially if we can get the bands in the HV to pivot further southward. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Snow has picked up in intensity up here. Precip has reached Scranton which I believe is way ahead of schedule as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ok so Upton's call for 2 to 5 is a safe bet here near Newark NJ Thats 0.10 - 0.40 - so based on the rgem closer to 2 because some of that will surely melt. Anyone have the weathertap raadr loop with r/sn line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Would be nice to get this precip into the HV.. Temps here are mostly in the 32-34 range now. If current trends are correct I can see someone in E NY receiving 5-6" It's been pretty moderate up here in monroe for a couple hours- finally sticking so we have a coating. Will see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Thats 0.10 - 0.40 - so based on the rgem closer to 2 because some of that will surely melt. Anyone have the weathertap raadr loop with r/sn line Here you go - http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=DIX&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&type=N0R&zoommode=pan&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&delay=15&scale=1&showlabels=1&smooth=0&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&rainsnow=1&lightning=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 GFS shifted east not much in NJ/NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 It's been pretty moderate up here in monroe for a couple hours- finally sticking so we have a coating. Will see what happens. Yeah its finally starting to stick now. Steady snow continues w/a temp of 32.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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