Chris L Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 We'll be tracking our "thunderstorms" by then, dude. Haha. Anyway, nice to see the NAM hold. But I would have a little bit of a concern being that the NAM does run too cold sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 00z 4km NAM is a huge run Precip shield looks beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 NAM's not done out to 48 --- in fact, picking up w/ inverted trough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Haha. Anyway, nice to see the NAM hold. But I would have a little bit of a concern being that the NAM does run too cold sometimes. On a strong NNE wind, most of us outside of maybe the twin forks are good. The coast wastes maybe the first couple of hours, then it's good from there this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 We'll be tracking our "thunderstorms" by then, dude. Date in foreign format. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Yeah, pretty big inverted trough signal now at hour 48 on the NAM sim radar maps in NY state. Waiting to see if this drops south at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Are the early panel hours like 18 or 21 snow or rain? I know the 850s are off shore the whole time but is it really snowing midday or early evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Hour 54 gets the inverted trough into NYC and NE NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 At 51 all of Long Island is pink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Beautiful NAM run, just beautiful! Probably 8-10" verbatim from the coastal for here, and the trough looks like it's setting up for more! SREF's are also beautiful, RGEM looked nice as well. GFS is tossed due to feedback issues(SNE forum talks about why it's wrong), and now all we need is the EURO. I think EURO comes NW, the NAM went SE a tad, maybe something like 60-70% of the NAM is the final result, which would be awsome for us.. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Well this is just silly, would be one of the longest duration snows I can recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 100kt jet @ 500mb on the southern side of the SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Haha. Anyway, nice to see the NAM hold. But I would have a little bit of a concern being that the NAM does run too cold sometimes. It's thermal profiles were dead-on for the 2/7 event imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Remember the.models sometimes dont a true qpf with convection. You can get areas that explode w amounts. if the trough gets inverted its just gravy That mayb too aggressive and willb happy.w 1.25 but wouldnt surprise me if there were isolated tard amounts considering BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Inverted trough snows get all the way south to Central NJ on the NAM. Still precipitating at hour 60 moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I really find it hard to see snow for all of those hours.. most of the time this so called long duration events..end pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 At 51 all of Long Island is pink. What do you mean by pink? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Through hr 42 the QPF totals are already up to what 18z showed if not more on the high res. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I really find it hard to see snow for all of those hours.. most of the time this so called long duration events..end pretty quickly. You clearly haven't been around long enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Inverted troughs are very difficult to forecast but there's a very strong signal we could pick up 1-3" with it, if not more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Looks like the moisture is there for a big event. Question is what will the temps be like. Any new word on that? Will we get hammered with snow or will get a mix with a change over at some point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 FYI that's rain in the inverted trof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 What do you mean by pink? I can think of two things: Pink being sleet/zr on a radar, which is unlikely here due to the NAM being cold, or the purpleish color that is the symbol of 1.5"+ QPF on the NECP models. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 NYC looks to finish with 1.5" qpf as snow/mostly snowstorm hour 60, precip continues but turns to rain with trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Inverted trough snows get all the way south to Central NJ on the NAM. Still precipitating at hour 60 moderately. over to rain at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Most of NY State gets blasted on this run by the norlun. Parts of central Upstate showing up in excess of 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 100kt jet @ 500mb on the southern side of the SW grearth 2013-03-05 21-34-03-02.png Jesus...has a look similar to 12/5/03 Some SIM radars have precip on our doorstep after the AM rush...would not surprise at all if the initial WAA precip overperforms and we're close to thumping snow by the early afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 NYC looks to finish with 1.5" qpf as snow/mostly snowstorm hour 60, precip continues but turns to rain with trough I'd hesitate to call it all or mostly snow in NYC. There's a lot of easterly flow and the low-level temps aren't very good. I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of coastal areas stay rain for much longer than what we'd find comfortable. Keep in mind even though the last NAM printed out 1-1.25" QPF, NYC only had about 6-8" on the clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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