NEG NAO Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I think the NAM needs to enter rehab - been hittin the bottle too much - just like it did with todays event http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znam850mbTSLPp06036.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 what was bxengine saying? LOL...what is obvious to some the other get fooled time and again... and next week when the NAM shows a storm but the euro doesnt, rinse wash repeat (the euro will be dismissed)... Excuse me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 fool me once shame on you...fool me twice shame on.... did we not get kicked in the nuts by this model not 15 mins ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Ya sacrus NYC was about 12mm snow for 18z part 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Funny....the hi res NAM radar does not look nearly as good at the same time frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 18z rgem Looks line between 7 and 10mm for NE-NJ, perhaps 12 MM for nyc. (0.25 - 0.60) in the lower Hudson valley looks to be 15mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Meanwhile, moderate to heavy precipitation reaching LI on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Meanwhile, moderate to heavy precipitation reaching LI on radar. Yeap and moving west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I knew this would happen. I didn't want to admit it, but this event is busting worse than the March 2001 event. Whoa, slow down there: http://www.northshorewx.com/HPC20010302.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Its insane how much snow it wants to give us up here... Through 36hrs 1.50"+ and still going strong smh..I'd love it, but it just won't happen (obviously). With elevation, dynamics and orograohic lift, we are in the game for some fun tomorrow night possibly, but this is embarrassing for the US. The NAM is officially sequestered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 18z rgem Looks line between 7 and 10mm for NE-NJ, perhaps 12 MM for nyc. (0.25 - 0.60) The .20 plus MM runs thru Long Island here , closer to . 8 ish for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Total qpf @hr42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Not bad at all - HRRR, 4k, and Rap show that band getting into the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Meanwhile, moderate to heavy precipitation reaching LI on radar. Yeah, snowing lightly here in Port Jeff Station...radar blossomed over us the past couple of frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 On the hi res NAM hunter mountain gets RIPPING snow for hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If the NAM verifies tomorrow night I will eat my snowman. I think a more prudent forecast would be three to six inches for NYC tomorrow night, not 17.5". To me I think the NAM is overdoing the WAA at the 850MB level, it will not be +3C at 15Z Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The only thing I will give the NAM credit for is finally pulling the totals for tonight (even though it might work out in some spots)....I've always thought the system tomorrow looked better for real, accumulating snow for the majority in the area, based on the upper air charts and thermal profiles. So, we shall see how things evolve tomorrow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If the NAM verifies tomorrow night I will eat my snowman. I think a more prudent forecast would be three to six inches for NYC tomorrow night, not 17.5". To me I think the NAM is overdoing the WAA at the 850MB level, it will not be +3C at 15Z Friday. Is it computing power? Bad inputs? Sh*tty math? Why is it so off so much of the time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If the NAM verifies tomorrow night I will eat my snowman. I think a more prudent forecast would be three to six inches for NYC tomorrow night, not 17.5". To me I think the NAM is overdoing the WAA at the 850MB level, it will not be +3C at 15Z Friday. agreed 3-6 inches seem very reasonable considering every other model is 1/3 of the NAM.. it would be something if it did verify but very very highly unlikely.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I guess they sequester the NAM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 My call for this will be 2-3":) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Maybe sit out the next few plays. Value add. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Its insane how much snow it wants to give us up here... Through 36hrs 1.50"+ and still going strong smh.. So then we have a chance of flurries up here. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 My call for this will be 2-3":) what the hell I'll go with the NAM 17.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Let it just snow from now through Noon Friday with a grand total of six inches and Ill be happy, any more than that is gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 what the hell I'll go with the NAM 17.5 inches I think the nam just feels bad with us. Also they should change the nams name to the scam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I think the nam just feels bad with us. Also they should change the nams name to the scam. I prefer NAM = Not A Model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Nice echos offshore from AC NE all the way south of Montauk, if that can make its way on shore we will pick up a few inches tonight and add to that tomm and tomm night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I think the nam just feels bad with us. Also they should change the nams name to the scam. Curious how the old ETA performed vs the NAM. I used to see it occasionally posted on here. Hopefully the name can lead the way with the inverted trough.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 If the NAM verifies, I'll let a group of kids clobber me with snowballs (just incase if it's a dream). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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