sferic Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Biggest problem with this board..happens every storm These storms make us manic, euphoria when we think we are going to get a 20 inch blizzard to depression when it looks like we're going to get screwed, then back to euphoria when it goes back to the original expectation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The RGEM puts a lot more stock in the second wave to deliver for us. With that it had up to 1.0" of liquid as snow in spots on LI. excuse my horrendous attention span, but it's my impression the canadian models spit out a new solution with every model run. not just in this case, but pretty much all the time, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 So if I opined 6 to 12 thats kool , I wouldnt have to wait ... But when I say nothing because I believe the dynamics will b off the playing field tonite and I dont believe the NAMs norlun tomrrw , not kool ? ok just checking I think Eastern Long Island has a chance at 4 inches of snow before it ends , but not the city thats all no.because most of the models give NYC more than one inch..It's a March storm..rain falls in most March snowstorms..let it play out first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 srefs are about an inch for NYC eastward. 0.75-1 nearby burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Sure it's 43 degrees now, but I'll strike an optimistic tone and say let us wait for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 no.because most of the models give NYC more than one inch..It's a March storm..rain falls in most March snowstorms..let it play out first ok , lets agree to disagree bro , all good .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 srefs are about an inch for NYC eastward. 0.75-1 nearby burbs For when? Just tonight or combined tonight and tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Euro/RGEM combo is not something to go against. They both show 12"+ for the City of Boston. it's comical.... a storm progged to miss us to the south, does indeed miss us to the south, and somehow boston still pulls a snowball from its arse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 SREF has about .50 for tonight and .50 for the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 it's comical.... a storm progged to miss us to the south, does indeed miss us to the south, and somehow boston still pulls a snowball from its arse. Climo..that's why there average snowfall is double than NYC..there are so many more ways it can snow in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 SREF has about .50 for tonight and .50 for the trough. How's the temperature profile? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 These storms make us manic, euphoria when we think we are going to get a 20 inch blizzard to depression when it looks like we're going to get screwed, then back to euphoria when it goes back to the original expectation. Someone should write a thesis on the mob mentality mental disorder prevalent in this sub-forum during these type events. Admittedly the models are awful with this storm. The problem is not enough people here realize the models are not end all be all and climo and analogs are part of good well rounded meteo. I agree Upton is bullish but trust me they are on to something and it is highly doubtful they will fail as bad as Sterling. THE EVENT HASNT HAPPENED YET STOP PRETENDING YOU HAVE A TIME MACHINE (not directed at anyone in particular) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The rgem is a great event for everyone for the 2nd event. But the problem is that the rgem is not good past hour 24. I would use caution using the rgem past hour 24. Through hour 24, it's the single best model in the world, IMO. Better then the euro. I guess we like to use short range models like the NAM and RGEM beyond their best range and it can often lead to disappointment. Within 24hrs is really their sweet spot anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 NYC gets 0.5 + from both the coastal and inverted trough. LI gets more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I guess we like to use short range models like the NAM and RGEM beyond their best range and it can often lead to disappointment. Within 24hrs is really their sweet spot anyway. Rgem is right in between the euro and NAM through 7am tomorrow. Euro has .32" NAM has .66" Rgem has .47" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This is the coastal. This is the inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I don't think Boston will win with this event either...:Maybe the hills to their west Euro/RGEM combo is not something to go against. They both show 12"+ for the City of Boston. I know but they showed that for DC too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Ugh all those reports from this forum. Guys, keep this thread about the storm. Not mod talk or talking about anything else unrelated. That's what banter threads are for. If people continue to violate this I'm going to have to whip the paddle out 1950s style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Austinwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 WSWs cancelled for DC/Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Euro's snowmap has 3-6 for NYC and 6+ for eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Euro's snowmap has 3-6 for NYC and 6+ for eastern LI. More Im assuming from the inverted trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 WSWs cancelled for DC/Baltimore I feel bad for those guys-yesterday's models looked pretty solid for them. I think the daytime worst of the storm hurt quite a bit. The east flow brought quite a bit of warmth in below 850 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 More Im assuming from the inverted trough? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingwill42 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Euro's snowmap has 3-6 for NYC and 6+ for eastern LI. Not horrible since the Euro is on the lower end of the snow spectrum with the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 WSWs cancelled for DC/Baltimore I feel bad for those guys-yesterday's models looked pretty solid for them. I think the daytime worst of the storm hurt quite a bit. The east flow brought quite a bit of warmth in below 850 as well. It also wasn't purely a CCB...there are gaps between their banding, so they couldn't stay consistently cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Nam at 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Ugh all those reports from this forum. Guys, keep this thread about the storm. Not mod talk or talking about anything else unrelated. That's what banter threads are for. If people continue to violate this I'm going to have to whip the paddle out 1950s style. Lol 1970s paddles would be more friendly though I'm sure :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not horrible since the Euro is on the lower end of the snow spectrum with the models. Actually if you look at it across the board all the models other than the meso's which are higher agree with that pretty much if you include the inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I feel bad for those guys-yesterday's models looked pretty solid for them. I think the daytime worst of the storm hurt quite a bit. The east flow brought quite a bit of warmth in below 850 as well. Yea I feel bad as well. My parents got absolutely blasted (we are about 150mi SW of DC) with 18-24", power out everywhere there. Seems like the I-64 corridor between WV and Richmond and the I-81 corridor between Winchester and Lexington did well. Everyone else got majorly screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Nam at 6 hours forget that - at 9hr the RH and VV's at 700 are way east...barely get into the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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