JSantanaNYC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 So im going to get 4.7 inches in 60 hours. Thats awesome. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Radar for the trough on the ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 What a joke, what model are they basing this off of? That's through tomorrow morning. Stop bashing the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The fact that they are 200 miles further South then us doesn't help either. For us it is alllllll about the wind direction NO NORTH NO SNOW (Nyc and LI) I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I honestly wouldn't be surprised for a total bust up here with little or no snowfall even with the inverted trough. March is a screwy month. Can we keep the bust calls before the storm even begins in the banter thread please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 What a joke, what model are they basing this off of? You post way too much. You and skisheep should be banned for your constant NWS bashing. Get a life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Upton raised the snowtotals. 5-10 inches areawide http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Lies. I'm 4.7 But quite honestly that map is downright silly and wrong. NYC will get double what NW NJ gets ? More like 1/4 of what they will get ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingwill42 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 As usual alot of Complaining in here day of storm since people don't see Ripping Snow right out of the gate. Crazy as Storm approaches still not even sure what to expect as far as Pcip type and Amount. Also looking at Radar does not look like a Huge storm amazing that models are predicting this to stick around in one form or another for 48 hours ? Just looking at it you would think it would be a 12 hour storm but obviously between Block, Development of storm and inverted Trough later on this think sticks around alot longer according to the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Lies. I'm 4.7 But quite honestly that map is downright silly and wrong. NYC will get DIY or what NW NJ gets ? More like 1/4 of what they will get ! Not bashing the NWS but Upton is gonna end up changing that map big time come tonight.. 4-5" for Orange County through Fri morning? Pretty much every model has the trough dumping good snows up here not to mention the the roided NAM which could actually be right for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 These maps are becoming almost useless it seems....it can show 2" apt over an area and end up with only an inch of snow and 0.5" over another area and they'll get 7" snow. This storm seems to rely very heavily on elevation/temp. I'm at 42 but NW NJ still around freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 JMA has over 1.00 QPF http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_SFC_ACCUM-PRECIP_72HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Mesoanalysis puts the 500mb center in more agreement with the NAM than GFS it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Mesoanalysis puts the 500mb center in more agreement with the NAM than GFS it seems. What about the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Here is to hope that the EURO brings the goods for tomorrow night!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 FROM JB , NYC 3-6 max on ground, 12 tops within 25 miles . Covers both events . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Funny how we have a strengthening coastal system yet out chance comes way after it passes lol. Not saying that's wrong it's just rare. I would think some areas may meet blizzard conditions ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 If the trough performs as currently modeled places NW of the city could pick up 6 or more from that alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Short term models vs the GFS and Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 What about the EURO? A tad south of the euro but also more inland. It may just be evolving slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 The SPC WRF is usually very accurate in this range and it has a ton of QPF http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 euro pretty similar probably drier on the western side than 00z. I will say it seems odd for the dc area. Only gives them another 0.1-0.25 from 1pm to 7pm. I think that'll be closer to 0.5 or 0.75 with the firehose coming in off the delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The GFS did pretty well the precip amounts in the short range with last week's storm. We may only be able to accumulate around half the actual snow that falls with the warmer temperatures to start and the best UVV's to our East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 inverted trough looks primed at 36...will likely move in for 42 and 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 at 42 light precip from the inverted trough. Not gonnna be nam like but still probably an additional several inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Upton has had that map out since this morning!!!! Wrong, that map was issued at 11:43am. Second one issued since early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 euro is meh overall. If its right no more than 3 inches at best for nyc for both events. The inverted trough is like 0.25 at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingwill42 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Funny how we have a strengthening coastal system yet out chance comes way after it passes lol. Not saying that's wrong it's just rare. I would think some areas may meet blizzard conditions ? All U do is complain and always point out worst case Scenario as far what storm can and cant do.For example I always notice from you minutes after a model shows 6 inches lets say you will post so it should be 2 inches if things work out. That type of posting seems like Trolling. If it is raining 12 hours from now than yeah than start complaining. This storm obviously is not for those without patience as there is a chance 2nd half or Trough tomorrow night could be main event so it could be a day and a half of whining and complaining around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Short term models vs the GFS and Euro Who has had the better handle on the storm so far? Short term models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 euro is meh overall. If its right no more than 3 inches at best for nyc for both events. The inverted trough is like 0.25 at best What about the interior? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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