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Significant Ocean Storm March 6-8 2013 Discussion Part III


earthlight

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It is hard not to take them seriously but I think they are being bullish. Although it is a "total" which includes tomorrow night which I am super pessimistic about. I'm going and running with 2-4 of slop for the South Shore. (including bk and queens.)

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TWC has 18-24 inches west of Boston 5-8 for us

 

Overdone yes, but having spent some good times in the hills west of Boston (including the Jan 05 blizzard) it really truly earns its title of snow capital of the region. (outside of high mountains) Up-slope, some decent elevations, Eastern location and latitude mean its game on. Over 70 inches this season and climbing.

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A solution near the rgem may be the way to go - less than half of the nam and more than double the qpf of the gfs. With that said the rgem still only gts a period of 2 or 3 or 4 hours of mod to heavier precip later this evening (between 4 and 10pm) where it may be coming down heavy enough to stick.  I dont see any other support for the nam brining heavier precip past Ocean county with from the coastal.  I hope im wrong...

 

 

id say tose forecasts closer to 2 - 4 by thu pm look better.

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This will prob look like crap until 4 pm ,  Most of the day will revolve around some confluence and then a  cold rain , but once to 21z  I think you will start to see a CCB signal begin to take shape  then we will change over from West to East .

So I think its after 4 pm that we snow IMO  

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the euro is perforimg the best out of the nam and gfs down here in philly in terms of qpf

Not in DCA. So far, the nam, gfs and euro were way too wet for them through 7am. More then double what they got. The gfs had .72" of precip so far for them, which is the most out of any model.

NAM had the least through 7am with the euro right down the middle.

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Not in DCA. So far, the nam, gfs and euro were way too wet for them through 7am. More then double what they got. The gfs had .72" of precip so far for them, which is the most out of any model.

NAM had the least through 7am with the euro right down the middle.

That's actually good news then
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