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March 4th-6th Winter Storm Part 3


Powerball

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I have been keeping an eye on the potential for moisture enhancement and the models do seem to be hinting at it as well. Any personal guesses as to how much we might receive here in the Dayton area? I'm going with 6-8 around here but I think someone may receive close to a foot if all the condtions come together just right...

The fact that the snow will happen after dark is a big plus. I would not be surprised if we get at least 8" if not more.

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I thought you were in Racine today. Racine south should do really well with accumulations.

 

Pouring snow here right now. Should hit 4" by 2pm. Temp down to -2°C.

 

At UWM right now but it looks like Racine is getting nailed right now.

 

1.4" at MKE as of noon.

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At UWM right now but it looks like Racine is getting nailed right now.

 

1.4" at MKE as of noon.

 

Some of the best returns are on the RAC/KEN county line near the lake.

 

Really wintry looking several miles to your south.

 

cam194.jpg?1362512803591

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0244

   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

   0136 PM CST TUE MAR 05 2013

  

   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IL THROUGH NRN IND

  

   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

  

   VALID 051936Z - 052330Z

  

   SUMMARY...AREAS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST

   ACROSS NERN IL THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH HEAVIER SNOWS

   GRADUALLY DEVELOPING EWD THROUGH NCTNRL AND NRN IND LATER THIS

   AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES COULD LOCALLY EXCEED 1

   INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.

  

   DISCUSSION...INVERTED SFC TROUGH AXIS PERSISTS FROM NRN IL SEWD

   THROUGH CNTRL IND. SFC LOW OVER KY SHOULD DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NEWD

   THROUGH THE OH VALLEY WITHIN ZONE OF UPPER DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED

   WITH EJECTING NEGATIVE TILT SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AS SFC LOW DEVELOPS

   EWD...AXIS OF DEFORMATION WILL SLOWLY PIVOT COUNTERCLOCKWISE AND

   BECOME MORE E-W ORIENTED ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY. THE

   CORRIDOR OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH

   DEFORMATION AXIS RESULTING IN EWD EXPANSION OF ZONE OF FRONTOGENETIC

   FORCING AND DEEPER ASCENT THROUGH CNTRL AND NRN IND THIS AFTERNOON

   INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THIS PROCESS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN

   OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES PERSISTING FROM NERN IL THIS

   AFTERNOON...EXPANDING THROUGH NCNTRL AND NRN IND THIS AFTERNOON INTO

   THE EARLY EVENING.

 

 

post-4544-0-08652600-1362513298_thumb.gi

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Still holding at 31

 

Snow has been coming down at a good clip now for awhile.  It looks like about 4" down about now.  (I will measure on my break)

 

Visibility is less than 1 mile, easily.  +SN coming down right now.

 

Snow seems to be fluffier than the last storm....

 

Measured on my break: 5.25"

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000

NWUS53 KMKX 052011

LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI

211 PM CST TUE MAR 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0156 PM SNOW FRANKSVILLE 42.76N 87.91W

03/05/2013 M4.5 INCH RACINE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MEB

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this storm is still deveolping and quite impressive on satellite....wait til the ULL catches the storm tonight.  Someone is gonna get a surprise THUMPING....  my bet is western OH.

Couldn't say it better myself... that's been my thinking all along

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this storm is still deveolping and quite impressive on satellite....wait til the ULL catches the storm tonight.  Someone is gonna get a surprise THUMPING....  my bet is western OH.

Getting very light snow maybe mixed with a bit of rain. Really like that its at the very least mixed at the onset.

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