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The March 5-7 White Lion Obs/Nowcasting Thread


Ji

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Who really cares what SNE gets.  It is climo, they get snow in March. Hell we got snow when i lived up there in Early April.   Im done with winter, bring on 55-65 degrees and sun

 

I normally don't.  At all.  But the whole situation is absolutely hilarious, so I can't help it.

 

There's a fairly small area getting f'ing blasted right now, but blasted they are.  :lol:

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I know DT tried to re-claim victory for his Euro after its crushing defeat, but isn't the on-going snows up in SNE proof that the GFS-led take on the evolution of this storm (that it would make the turn and impact SNE) was dead on and the Euro got overall schooled with regard the general track of  this system?

The Euro was locked in on a storm for VA for days while the GFS was driving the low down into GA and SC. It did that for days and days. It was awful in the medium range and then finally started catching on. I will give that it was the first to sniff out the snow for SNE, but hell its so erratic and sometimes downright hideous in the med-long range, it ought to get something right in the short range. The Euro is out of its wheelhouse inside about 75 hours...so yeah it shifted some and expanded the precip further north, but so what? It is a model and isnt perfect. Overall it sniffed out the threat first, and consistently showed a major snow event targeting the exact areas in the MA that ultimately got it. Kudos to the GFS for leading the way on the snow for the NE. 

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The Euro was locked in on a storm for VA for days while the GFS was driving the low down into GA and SC. It did that for days and days. It was awful in the medium range and then finally started caching on. I will give that it was the first to sniff out the snow for SNE, but hell its so erratic and sometimes downright hideous in the med-long range, it ought to get something right in the short range. The Euro is out of its wheelhouse inside about 75 hours...so yeah it shifted some and expanded the precip further north, but so what? It is a model and isnt perfect. Overall it sniffed out the threat first, and consistently showed a major snow event targeting the exact areas in the MA that ultimately got it. Kudos to the GFS for leading the way on the snow for the NE. 

 

You flipped those.  The euro had the ridiculous bowling ball moving SE off of SC solution while the GFS was at least realistic with the pattern.  The only thing the euro got right was that once it finally came around to the right 500 evolution, it put the precip max in a better position than the GFS and NAM which wanted to CCB the heck out of us in the DC area.

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Wife, baby, and I went to visit my in-laws who live out on 522S of Front Royal this evening.  I left my house in Stephens City where not a trace of snow still exists and discovered still a foot of snow on the ground at their house.  Incredible to see the difference, just remarkable.  Was able to play in snow with my daughter one final time this season (give it up, Ji).  Fun night.

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