The March 5-7 White Lion Obs/Nowcasting Thread

[lsukev]

I know lots of people are in negative mode, but look at the radar.  You can just see the banding starting to take shape.  I'll bet good money that by 9AM there is going to be one solid a$$ band parked right where it is modeled to be, and that band will contain the "megabands" as we call them. 

 

The SLP to the SE is just getting cranking.

[Kmlwx]

I know lots of people are in negative mode, but look at the radar.  You can just see the banding starting to take shape.  I'll bet good money that by 9AM there is going to be one solid a$$ band parked right where it is modeled to be, and that band will contain the "megabands" as we call them. 

 

The SLP to the SE is just getting cranking.

 

Good luck talking some of the folks on here down from the ledge. 

[Mainland]

Rain and snow, mostly rain at the moment, in North Bethesda. Barely half an inch on the grass. 

[MN Transplant]

Liquid equivalent of my 3" was 0.48"

 

So, a 6.25:1 ratio.  Ugly.

 

Given some of the initial and ongoing melting, we are probably 0.5"-0.6" on the event.  Not that far off from the models IMBY. 

[BlizzardNole]

Little more than an inch here, and just starting to stick on streets despite light intensity.  Temp is 32 which is better than I expected.  Waiting for the bands to get going

[Jebman]

I know lots of people are in negative mode, but look at the radar.  You can just see the banding starting to take shape.  I'll bet good money that by 9AM there is going to be one solid a$$ band parked right where it is modeled to be, and that band will contain the "megabands" as we call them. 

 

The SLP to the SE is just getting cranking.

I am beside myself with joy!!!!!!!! WOW I can see the snow real good now!! It is daytime! I dont need streetlights now to see the snow driven by that relentless north wind!!!

 

WOOOOOOOO------HOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!

 

 

 

I LOVE THIS STORM WITH ALL MY HEART!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[nw baltimore wx]

Winds are picking up considerably here and maybe I am misreading the radar, but it looks to me like this is going to play out like the LWX discussion reads.  We've got a lot to overcome, but we all knew marginal temps and March sun angle were going to be a problem, but in the heavier bands, most of us should be snow. 

 

And not to rush things, but I still think this evening holds promise once the temps crash and the sun sets.  I'm feeling pretty good about things.

[ravensrule]

10 mins ago ImageUploadedByTapatalk1362568744.689454.jpg

Nice shot, I cannot lie I am very jealous.

[Fozz]

Snowing nicely now with a wonderful scene outside. Not sure about exact amounts yet but everything is snow covered and looks like an inch and a half at minimum.

[dsnowman]

Nearly 2 inches in Clifton, VA (in a low elevation area). Though it is already melting with the slow down in rates.

[Jebman]

Some of those flakes are an INCH in diameter!!!!!

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Surprised at how little snow I'm waking up to here, lwx discussion looks nice though! Hopefully the ground is white by midday.

[NattyBo]

Some of those flakes are an INCH in diameter!!!!!

A couple of those flakes would quadruple what's on the ground here.

[ohleary]

2-3 wet inches on my car at 5am in Reston, moderate snow, roads covered.  Drove in to College Park for work and it's less than an inch on grass here, roads wet, rain/snow mix.

[nw baltimore wx]

The sun is up enough now to see what's going on and although the snow on the ground is sloppy and wet, the stuff falling looks drier and is coming down in gusty waves.  Should be awesome once the bands to the southeast that are developing rotate in.

[North Balti Zen]

I will not litter the board with panic, but there is always a part of me that does in situations like this. Its hard to trust the modeling on something like this until the energy actually transfers and we see the bands set up.  Until that point, bust is always in the front of my mind. It doesn't help my state of mind that my part of Balt City was always on the edge of rain and we have been fighting that on and off for hours. 

[RevWarReenactor]

This is essentially a rainstorm along I-95 from the Mason Dixon Line down to Aberdeen Maryland (30 miles north of Baltimore). Can't say I am surprised. Hopefully it will turn to snow later.

[J.Mike]

From the corner of Little River Tpk and Braddock Rd near Annandale:

Temp: 33

Snow amt: 1.5"

Current radar shows I'm in a dry slot. Street is wet. I'm just glad to see snow on the grass. We've got along way to even get 3". Notice on radar that the winds are shifting from the east now. A few flakes starting to fall. I'm ready for phase two of the storm. It better not disappoint!

[Kmlwx]

Radar (using the color table Ian sent me for GR Analyst) is still a bit messy. No massive bands except for enhanced ares of precip around Leesburg and another one near and SE of Manassas. There are some other enhanced patches scattered about but no huge deathband at least locally. 

[NattyBo]

Nice dry area over MoCo on the radar right now, sigh, lol.

32 on the nose here, super light flurries, wind still from the east.

[Kmlwx]

I think we should probably run with the original forecasts from before the big bump last night. Remember before the whole overnight stuff came into view yesterday (wrongly) we were expecting best during the day. As others have said we've probably just gone back to the original idea minus a little bit of wasted precip. 

[WxUSAF]

Light snow, maybe 0.7-0.8" or so on the ground.  Nothing on roads, driveways.  Temp 33.8F.  I didn't buy the 6-8" by this time the short range models were showing last night, but I did think I'd have broken the streak by this point...glad folks in VA have. 

[real]

Really doesn't seem to be doing anything outside on U Street in DC. Perhaps some drizzle, but can't tell. Traffic is obviously light cause everything  is closed, allowing for an easy commute into town at above average speed. 

[Jebman]

radar is so shweet! this is easily the best storm we've seen in the dc/nva region in the past two years.

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php

[Symblized]

34 and windy rain. Gross.

[mitchnick]

boy, surprised to see this mess

when I went to bed 3 hrs ago I thought it was in the bag

but it has turned back to all decent snow now so we'll see

[WxMan1]

Maybe a quarter inch in Crofton MD. It is snowing, but in clumps of very wet flakes. Indicative of surface temps probably 34-35. This will do nothing but make it look like winter outside until we get into the CCB banding and get better column cooling.

Now I know what it's like for the lower elevations in Washington and Oregon like Seattle or Portland when they get their snow showers at 35-36F. What I would give to be 2-3F colder, or about 1000 ft higher (same result).

[Bodhi Cove]

Snow mixing in with the rain on the Bay in Eastern Balt. Co.

[I-83 BLIZZARD]

3 inches on the ground here and steady light snow with wind.

[WhiteoutWX]

So guys... Was just awoken to thunsersnow in the west end of Richmond. Coming down pretty good and sticking to everything.

This was completely unforecasted.