Jebman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 You forgot to your meds today jeb... lol enjoy it brotha I'm hard-core. To the max. No apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bouchot Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Now I can see the snow starting to stick to roads in Dulles. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 I can see the snow now without turning on any lights outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 i love how people are freaking out over radar. This was well modeled guys... get a grip. That band will enhance and more will rotate north very soon. The latest NAM and hires pretty much park the band in the traditional areas. Nothing to sweat at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm pretty sure the NAM printed out an obscene amount of QPF by 12z..... yea I wish I could say everything is going according to schedule but your right. NAM and GFS had DCA well over .5 qpf by 12z. That burst of .6 in 6 hours was what I was counting on to cool the boundary layer and get a nice 3-5" of snow into DC. From 12z on it was dicey as the banding was more hit or miss. Not sure why people keep saying wait for the coastal to get going. The heaviest precip was supposed to be from 1am to 9am with some additional heavy bands but more sporadic swinging through after that. FOr some reason the precip is just not cranking like it was supposed too. Most of the obs indicate light to moderate, that is not enough to overcome the warm surface temps. I am way too tired to try to analyze what went wrong overnight, maybe one of the mets can post on that but this was definitely not what I had in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I can see the snow now without turning on any lights outside How we looking ji....I finished with about 4" here in Columbus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This is what the NAM said should have fallen by 7am, the actual qpf has been nothing close. I know the NAM is overdone but the GFS was not far off overnight and other high res models all were well over .5 qpf by 12z. Curious to see what DCA actual QPF is at 7am, but I am guessing closer to .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 yea I wish I could say everything is going according to schedule but your right. NAM and GFS had DCA well over .5 qpf by 12z. That burst of .6 in 6 hours was what I was counting on to cool the boundary layer and get a nice 3-5" of snow into DC. From 12z on it was dicey as the banding was more hit or miss. Not sure why people keep saying wait for the coastal to get going. The heaviest precip was supposed to be from 1am to 9am with some additional heavy bands but more sporadic swinging through after that. FOr some reason the precip is just not cranking like it was supposed too. Most of the obs indicate light to moderate, that is not enough to overcome the warm surface temps. I am way too tired to try to analyze what went wrong overnight, maybe one of the mets can post on that but this was definitely not what I had in mind. 6z and hires models have come in indicating the main show will be later. This right now is just a part of the storm in transition. You can clearly see on radar where the shield is setting up. Remember, those same models had the deformation axis rotating up toward PA at this time too, and that is not hapenning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not sure, but think it may be just a cold, cold rain in Capitol Hill atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 It's gonna have to snow harder and get more intense if we want any accumulations like we've thought. I guess it's supposed to later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 4.5 " in Remington with moderate snow and small flakes, 31.5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Radar is weak. Storm bust, quit lying to ourselves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyHolt Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I woke up at 4am to what sounded like squirrels pelting my roof with snowballs from the trees above. I think this is the first time snow was loud enough to wake me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm in hawaii (75 degrees and pcloudy) watching this thread go from almost unprecedented enthusiasm earlier to horrible pessimism in a matter of a couple of hours. Someone please reassure me that it is going to snow at least 6". And also someone tell me what is happening in Centreville. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bouchot Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Lots of meltdowns going on here, on Twitter and on CWG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I suppose I'm one of the lucky ones outside of western VA at this point in that I have full snow cover. But after seeing the 0z suite, I'm pretty surprised that there hasn't been more widespread reasonable snow so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Given what you say psuhoffman and also the reports out of DC - we should probably see what transpires in the next 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 6z GFS also has us in a ton of precip. What have all the models seen that we aren't seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 First clearing - 3.0". Absolute paste. Everything is caked. Some sidewalk and road areas are more like an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 First clearing - 3.0". Absolute paste. Everything is caked. Some sidewalk and road areas are more like an inch. Where are you at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 6z GFS also has us in a ton of precip. What have all the models seen that we aren't seeing? Precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Precip? <rimshot> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hokierulz98 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 ground white with a dusting now in Short Pump. Went from moderate rain/sleet and 37 to moderate snow and 34 in the last 30 minutes and temps still dropping like a rock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 First clearing - 3.0". Absolute paste. Everything is caked. Some sidewalk and road areas are more like an inch. A little over 2.5" here. Perhaps a little elevation and earlier heavy rates have helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Perhaps things do not appear to be unfolding exactly as we expected, but there IS a lot of precip on that radar. Steady snow in Woodbridge too as it gets light outside. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Area of enhancement popping up around Upper Marlboro toward the bay - heading towards DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Where are you at? Just SE of Tyson's, just west of Falls Church city. Closest to WFC metro. 468' elevation. Crappy iPhone shots incoming. My snowboard is in the front yard, the table is a check on that in the back. They were identical. My Davis VP2 and Stratus gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm in a mini dry slot between "bands." Boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
inretire Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 5 miles west of Fredericksburg, VA. Guessing 2 maybe 3 inches on the ground, streets are covered and snowing moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tara1013471 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Just woke up here in Waynesboro, VA. 8" on the ground now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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