North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Well... had drizzle for a couple.. that had me worried. Back over to snow almost immediately. Five miles to your east, where I am, still drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 more precip filling in. steady light snow. there is a band from dca back SW that has been more or less not moving much. i am south of that quasi-stationary band yet I have seen steady light snow even in the 90 minute lull roughly 2.7 inches of very wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 5.5 inches. 29F heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 looks like rain here south of BWI. Had more snow on the ground at 330 than now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Before late y-day no one was really expecting that initial WAA thump to be a huge deal around here. So perhaps we'll just end up with the initial forecasts verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Nine inches so far in western fred co va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Nine inches so far in western fred co va You guys are doing great! Looks like you'll easily reach a foot. congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Cars and grass covered in Columbia, roads still just mostly wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeedaSnowday Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 light snow falling again.... roads wet, but cars & grass covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Yeah, back over to light snow now after about 1/2 of rain/drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This from LWX sounds good for you guys. THE TRANSITION BETWEEN PHASES OF THIS INTENSE AND IMPACTFUL INCOMING SNOWSTORM IS FULLY UNDERWAY. THE INITIAL SFC LOW THAT DROPPED DOWN FROM THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST IS ABOUT TO BE PHASED-OUT. THE NEWER AND STRONGER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE RALEIGH NC AREA WILL CREATE A SNOWY AND HAZARDOUS WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF THE MID-ATLC. THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WILL BE THE CRITICAL TRANSITION PERIOD AS THIS LOW INTENSIFIES AND ROTATES DUE NE TOWARD THE LOWER TIP OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA AND DEVELOPS HEAVY SNOW BAND ACROSS THE NWRN QUADRANT OF THE LOW DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. THROUGH DAYBREAK... A REGIONAL VIEW OF THE RADAR RETURNS SHOWS THAT SNOW STILL AFFECTING MUCH OF THE UPPER MIDWEST...FROM CNTRL IN TO THE APLCNS...BUT THIS AREA OF PRECIP REGION WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT FEW HRS. ONLY POCKETS OF HIGHER ELEVATION UPSLOPE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE APLCN CHAIN. THE FIRST PHASE OF THE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW OVER THE ENTIRE REGION IN JUST THE PAST FEW HOURS IS JUST THE START. ABOUT A HALF-FOOT OF SNOW HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CNTRL APLCNS...TOWARD THE BLUE RIDGE. A FEW INCHES HAVE BEEN COMMON OVER THE SWRN QUADRANT OF THE CWA THRU 2-3AM. THE HEAVIER BANDS THAT BROUGHT THIS ACTIVITY ARE NOW SPREADING ACROSS THE DC/BALT AND THE PIEDMONT AREAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CREATE THE FIRST LAYER OF SNOW AND ALLOW FOR THE INITIAL BASE FOR ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE SECOND PHASE OF THE STORM. WINDS HAVE BEEN INTERMITTENTLY INCREASED...NORMALLY W/ SOME OF THE HEAVIER BANDS BUT THEN DROP BACK DOWN TO 5-10MPH. THESE LOWER WIND SPEEDS ARE ALLOWING FOR THE RELATIVELY HIGHER VISIBILITIES IN THE 1-2SM RANGE. THIS WILL CHANGE AS WINDS INCREASE AND SNOW INTENSITIES INCREASE. DETERMINISTIC NAM AND GFS RUNS STILL BULLISH ON QPF...SO THE CURRENT FORECAST IS A GOOD MIX OF NEAR TERM HI-RES GUIDANCE...INCLUDING LOCAL VERSION OF THE VARIOUS WRF MEMBERS AND ESPC THE HRRR WHICH HAS DONE WELL W/ INITIALIZING OVER THE FIRST PART OF THIS EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Cars and grass covered in Columbia, roads still just mostly wetplease keep it that way for at least 2 more hours so I can take off for bwi!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 radar is pretty weak for central MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScot Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Steady snow in Gaithersburg, Roads are clear and just wet. Temp 31 deg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 plow on my street theres only one request I have for a plow please shove all of the snow off of the street, into my driveway. i really really LOVE to shovel 976 billion metric tons of wet snow. please add 32 degree water to it. snow is never EVER too heavy to shovel and I NEVER EVER get enough of shoveling it into ginormous piles that embarrass Woodbridge residents to tears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 Pasting in Leesburg now...visibility crashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 plow on my street theres only one request I have for a plow please shove all of the snow off of the street, into my driveway. i really really LOVE to shovel 976 billion metric tons of wet snow. please add 32 degree water to it. snow is never EVER too heavy to shovel and I NEVER EVER get enough of shoveling it into ginormous piles that embarrass Woodbridge residents to tears. You forgot to your meds today jeb... lol enjoy it brotha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 You forgot to your meds today jeb... lol enjoy it brotha I'm hard-core. To the max. No apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bouchot Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Now I can see the snow starting to stick to roads in Dulles. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 I can see the snow now without turning on any lights outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 i love how people are freaking out over radar. This was well modeled guys... get a grip. That band will enhance and more will rotate north very soon. The latest NAM and hires pretty much park the band in the traditional areas. Nothing to sweat at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm pretty sure the NAM printed out an obscene amount of QPF by 12z..... yea I wish I could say everything is going according to schedule but your right. NAM and GFS had DCA well over .5 qpf by 12z. That burst of .6 in 6 hours was what I was counting on to cool the boundary layer and get a nice 3-5" of snow into DC. From 12z on it was dicey as the banding was more hit or miss. Not sure why people keep saying wait for the coastal to get going. The heaviest precip was supposed to be from 1am to 9am with some additional heavy bands but more sporadic swinging through after that. FOr some reason the precip is just not cranking like it was supposed too. Most of the obs indicate light to moderate, that is not enough to overcome the warm surface temps. I am way too tired to try to analyze what went wrong overnight, maybe one of the mets can post on that but this was definitely not what I had in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I can see the snow now without turning on any lights outside How we looking ji....I finished with about 4" here in Columbus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This is what the NAM said should have fallen by 7am, the actual qpf has been nothing close. I know the NAM is overdone but the GFS was not far off overnight and other high res models all were well over .5 qpf by 12z. Curious to see what DCA actual QPF is at 7am, but I am guessing closer to .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 yea I wish I could say everything is going according to schedule but your right. NAM and GFS had DCA well over .5 qpf by 12z. That burst of .6 in 6 hours was what I was counting on to cool the boundary layer and get a nice 3-5" of snow into DC. From 12z on it was dicey as the banding was more hit or miss. Not sure why people keep saying wait for the coastal to get going. The heaviest precip was supposed to be from 1am to 9am with some additional heavy bands but more sporadic swinging through after that. FOr some reason the precip is just not cranking like it was supposed too. Most of the obs indicate light to moderate, that is not enough to overcome the warm surface temps. I am way too tired to try to analyze what went wrong overnight, maybe one of the mets can post on that but this was definitely not what I had in mind. 6z and hires models have come in indicating the main show will be later. This right now is just a part of the storm in transition. You can clearly see on radar where the shield is setting up. Remember, those same models had the deformation axis rotating up toward PA at this time too, and that is not hapenning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not sure, but think it may be just a cold, cold rain in Capitol Hill atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 It's gonna have to snow harder and get more intense if we want any accumulations like we've thought. I guess it's supposed to later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 4.5 " in Remington with moderate snow and small flakes, 31.5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Radar is weak. Storm bust, quit lying to ourselves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyHolt Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I woke up at 4am to what sounded like squirrels pelting my roof with snowballs from the trees above. I think this is the first time snow was loud enough to wake me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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