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March 6-8th Ocean Storm Discussion Part III


Baroclinic Zone

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Can not stree enough how much it matters what the Euro does, even a nudge North is huge coastal wise.

WIND FIELD. AN ADDITIONAL CONCERN FOR MUCH OF THE MA EAST COAST IS

THE EXISTING VULNERABILITY FROM THE FEB 9 EVENT.

ALTHOUGH WE ARE RATHER HESITANT AT THIS POINT TO JUMP ON THE GFS AND

NAM SOLUTIONS AS THE MODELS OF CHOICE...A SOLUTION CLOSE TO THOSE

MODELS WOULD PRODUCE A DEVASTATING COASTAL FLOOD EVENT WITH MAJOR

TO EXTREME BEACH EROSION. THAT IS NOT WHAT WE CONSIDER TO BE THE

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO AT THIS POINT...BUT WE WILL BE WATCHING

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Not a ton...but still only out to 48h. It looks like what many of us predicted...that it would inch north but not clobber us.

With The GFS on the verge of still being too far NW and the NAM being lots of Rain We don't Want the EURO to be perfect at all right now. Want it as a light hit S of us at this point. Be the outside outlier. Especially since TV mets are LOVING the Rain word on this storm. Darn NAM huggers that never got the memo from the rest of the world stating to use the NAM as toilet paper.

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With The GFS on the verge of still being too far NW and the NAM being lots of Rain We don't Want the EURO to be perfect at all right now. Want it as a light hit S of us at this point. Be the outside outlier. Especially since TV mets are LOVING the Rain word on this storm. Darn NAM huggers that never got the memo from the rest of the world stating to use the NAM as toilet paper.

 

Yeah NAM is unusable outside 24 hours, lol.

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