PWMan Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" Any love at all for folks beyond PSM?? I assume that it's still a brutal cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 All from Thursday night/Friday morning. Looks like we'll have to put all our eggs in that basket. totals at hvn, bdr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Do you mean the Fujiwhara Board? haha yes, perhaps firehose and ladders as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Unreal though that, supposedly, less than 24h from a storm starting, we have such a disparity amongst guidance. But it's not surprising. I said to Will privately i thought the euro would amp up. The love affair with the gfs is puzzling. It's been atrocious at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I think it has to be ignored. The storm is too far away. It's too warm out. High sun angle, the ocean has salt in it, solar flares, sequestration in DC,,,, all these things say we should forget about the ggem euro and nam and go with a navgem, ngm combo There's the messenger we know and love. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 totals at hvn, bdr? BDR about 0.65...HVN maybe 0.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 BDR about 0.65...HVN maybe 0.75 Thanks Will I appreciate that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 Yeah it's a cool setup. The TROWAL/LLJ just sort of sits in place but once the shortwave dives south and interacts we get enough lift to start taking advantage of the TROWAL in place and can lift it north. There appears to be an additional signal for some frictional convergence from BOS to EWB with NNE flow off the ocean helping lead to some additional lift. That, coupled with seeder-feeder, should produce a nice jackpot of snows inland from the coastal front in SE Mass. Will's area may have an additional jackpot area given a bit of upslope and colder temps with elevation. Thanks for putting it in met terms. I'm with Will on this one. I'm bullish on the setup. I honestly think the Euro and to a lesser extent Ukie/GGEM will have a better handle on the UL's with this over the GFS. Not bashing the GFS but it's relegated to 4th in my book on the Globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 If you had to have one model whispering sweet things in your ear, tho... Can't hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 All from Thursday night/Friday morning. Looks like we'll have to put all our eggs in that basket.I think we still see1-3 tonight as other modeling shows. I don't see SNE not getting any snow until tomorrow nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Really eager to see the Euro on Wunderground! I bet it's relatively cold too. Still gotta watch surface temps. 34F 2mi vis r/s if it's not dumping. The low levels are spoiled warm throughout this whole event. 8:1 ratios... gonna need 2" liquid to get the really big totals. But I'm starting to buy a few 12" totals... I want to see the Euro details first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 BDR about 0.65...HVN maybe 0.75 wonder if we can get anything out of that now that tonight is pretty much a non starter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I think we still see1-3 tonight as other modeling shows. I don't see SNE not getting any snow until tomorrow nite Yeah I could see 1-2 tonight especially east of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Sitting in hospital at Vail CO, dislocated shoulder skiing yesterday, but glued to analysis here. You guys rock. Flight back to Logan tnite so will take part in this rare Fujiwara trowal firehouse bizzaro setup for better or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 So basically we went from serious snow late night tonight onward to have it delayed by 18 hours. Pretty much all the modeling is in that camp. Tough storm for the numericals! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 There's the messenger we know and love. LOL don't forget global warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 if i had to guess I would say 2 to 4 total seems like a good bet around here for both parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 BDR about 0.65...HVN maybe 0.75 bed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Sitting in hospital at Vail CO, dislocated shoulder skiing yesterday, but glued to analysis here. You guys rock. Flight back to Logan tnite so will take part in this rare Fujiwara trowal firehouse bizzaro setup for better or worse. Painful! Shoulder pain is underrated until you experience it. Hope you are feeling better. We'll do a snow walk hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 So basically we went from serious snow late night tonight onward to have it delayed by 18 hours. Pretty much all the modeling is in that camp. Tough storm for the numericals! And there were people shaking their pitchforks at the NWS offices for not hoisting watches or warnings at noon yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 BDR about 0.65...HVN maybe 0.75 Similar to 0z, maybe a tad weaker. How much of that is the coastal and how much the trough for here? everything else, even the GFS, has close to .5" here tonight, guessing the EURO does not have that much? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Jerry it's really not delayed much, just does the fujiwhara. Even the GFS now agrees on this. If this fails it fails, but not forecasting a major snowstorm in Boston, ORH, PVD, Taunton and interior south shore along Rte 24 is irresponsible. NOAA has been fine, that was plenty earlier. The models are here to guide us, and they're all guiding us essentially to a really big hit. If they're not going to issue forecasts now they might as run Al Roker from the Today show reruns until Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The euro offers great hope, what else can we ask for really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Similar to 0z, maybe a tad weaker. How much of that is the coastal and how much the trough for here? everything else, even the GFS, has close to .5" here tonight, guessing the EURO does not have that much? -skisheep I just saw a couple maps from sv, tonight is basically a no show, its 90% tomorrow night, easy to believe, reports now of sun i nnj and the south shore breaking out and the radar out of okx is as bad as its looked all day, the coastal is a miss for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" Could you be so kind to give QPF for C/NNE? Concord, Plymouth Thanks!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 That's a noticable shift SE with the SLP track on the Euro... and with the initial precip shield as well. The snow (or rain) keeps getting delayed for most people. Hopefully delayed but not denied. I don't know how anyone could be confident seeing the Euro shifting further and further offshore like this. The mid-level low interaction makes me nervous. But the end result is not too different than 0z last night. GFS/Euro/GGEM blend has a small area of heavy snow and widespread light to mod snow. I'm not convinced lower elevations away from the main action can effectively accumulate... but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The euro offers great hope, what else can we ask for really? 75-100 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Guys EURO is up on Wunder. BTW, anyone know which model statistically verifies handling fujiwhara's better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I just saw a couple maps from sv, tonight is basically a no show, its 90% tomorrow night, easy to believe, reports now of sun i nnj and the south shore breaking out and the radar out of okx is as bad as its looked all day, the coastal is a miss for us. That might actually be better, if we can get .7" tomorrow night we should get advisory criteria at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 75-100 miles? Lol fair enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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