N. OF PIKE Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 there is really only so much confidence to be derived from a storm that is unmodelable lol. euro keeps me in game.....thur nite deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Eh, I don't completely buy it. Yea, uneasy to say the least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. It's a cool setup. TROWAL basically remains in place but there's not a whole lot of forcing until we get some better QG forcing once that shortwave dives south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 toss, go with GFS I don't think either model is stable with a final outcome. I would have a tough time putting my eggs in one basket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. I think it has to be ignored. The storm is too far away. It's too warm out. High sun angle, the ocean has salt in it, solar flares, sequestration in DC,,,, all these things say we should forget about the ggem euro and nam and go with a navgem, ngm combo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. This is the worst forecast that I can recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. Thanks for the emotionally detached analysis. Serious Ggem and euro sound like they absolutely crush our area. Now just need to worry about temps down here. How did the temp profiles look on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. I think it has to be ignored. The storm is too far away. It's too warm out. High sun angle, the ocean has salt in it, solar flares, sequestration in DC,,,, all these things say we should forget about the ggem euro and nam and go with a navgem, ngm combo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm remaining bullish...though its easier for me to say with 900 feet of elevation and on the east facing slopes...but I would remain bullish too for at least interior SE MA and perhaps further north than that on the CP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. Nice! Accumulating snow tonight thru Fri midday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I don't think either model is stable with a final outcome. I would have a tough time putting my eggs in one basket. Yeah, nowcast I guess.. on a good sign, when the precip picked up here in Burlington it started snowing.. just for a 5 minutes.. hopefully we can get some good echoes here by tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 When does the CCB get going not till Thursday night now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I don't think either model is stable with a final outcome. I would have a tough time putting my eggs in one basket. Toss them both drive down to VA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fujiwara that firehose northward...its a better version of the GGEM/Ukie. It really looks awesome. Can't wait to get a crack at the snow maps when wunderground has this posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The prospects of fun for many are certainly out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 It's a cool setup. TROWAL basically remains in place but there's not a whole lot of forcing until we get some better QG forcing once that shortwave dives south. Signal has been there, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" Just like the gfs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" wow.. impressive, how about KBED? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 Just like the gfs! Unreal though that, supposedly, less than 24h from a storm starting, we have such a disparity amongst guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Is there any impact on BDL for 8:00a.m. flights tomorrow? Not expecting anything but want to be sure. TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 the lack of confidence with this storm makes me thing I might as well break out the Ouija board. confidence is there will be clouds tomorrrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" I would assume its much much less at bdr Will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Signal has been there, imo. Yeah it's a cool setup. The TROWAL/LLJ just sort of sits in place but once the shortwave dives south and interacts we get enough lift to start taking advantage of the TROWAL in place and can lift it north. There appears to be an additional signal for some frictional convergence from BOS to EWB with NNE flow off the ocean helping lead to some additional lift. That, coupled with seeder-feeder, should produce a nice jackpot of snows inland from the coastal front in SE Mass. Will's area may have an additional jackpot area given a bit of upslope and colder temps with elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 That's wetter and moister than 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" Congrats, Bob!!! lol (and thanks for adding in KMPM--it really is helpful to get a perspective for the hinterlands). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 QPF through 60 hours: BOS: 2.00"+ ORH: 1.25" KGAY: 1.50" BDL: 0.80" PVD: 1.75" PYM/TAN: 2.50" ASH/PSM: 1.25" MPM: 0.80" TOL: 0.90" Wow...believe when see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Unreal though that, supposedly, less than 24h from a storm starting, we have such a disparity amongst guidance. If you had to have one model whispering sweet things in your ear, tho... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 That's wetter and moister than 00z All from Thursday night/Friday morning. Looks like we'll have to put all our eggs in that basket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 the lack of confidence with this storm makes me thing I might as well break out the Ouija board. confidence is there will be clouds tomorrrow Do you mean the Fujiwhara Board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.