Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sticking with about 12" here...maybe I'm insane. I think the upslope and firehose will come through even if we're on the northern edge of it. It may take 30 hours to get there, but I think we do.What do you have for your guy in Union? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Nam cuts back to about .3-.5" for fire batch for southern ct except .75 far SE we might end up with zero accumlation from the 1st batch if that's correct... .3 aint going to get it done...what a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sticking with about 12" here...maybe I'm insane. I think the upslope and firehose will come through even if we're on the northern edge of it. It may take 30 hours to get there, but I think we do. 2-5" here, drawn out over all of eternity, and primarily confined to grassy surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sticking with about 12" here...maybe I'm insane. I think the upslope and firehose will come through even if we're on the northern edge of it. It may take 30 hours to get there, but I think we do. I hope you are right, but I think it will be a bit too SE My Sutton jackpot, maybe Foster, RI is where I am feeling it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 we might end up with zero accumlation from the 1st batch if that's correct... .3 aint going to get it done...what a joke. Lol someone will get shut out I think. Nam is warm upstairs too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 What do you have for your guy in Union? 6-10"..but that is precarious for sure. The further west you are of the upslope spine, it gets ugly fast. The firehose isn't that strong for areas of SNE north of about GHG-PVD...so it runs into a brick wall as it pushes inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sticking with about 12" here...maybe I'm insane. I think the upslope and firehose will come through even if we're on the northern edge of it. It may take 30 hours to get there, but I think we do. I think you'd call this a wobble. The NW trim job we kind of expected and that was evident from the QPF verification maps I posted. The intense band won't make it a huge amount inland (not the NY border). This is very, very close to the 6z run on the NAM for the main band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 6-10"..but that is precarious for sure. The further west you are of the upslope spine, it gets ugly fast. The firehose isn't that strong for areas of SNE north of about GHG-PVD...so it runs into a brick wall as it pushes inland. April '97 was a firehose...this is more like a squirt gun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 6-10"..but that is precarious for sure. The further west you are of the upslope spine, it gets ugly fast. The firehose isn't that strong for areas of SNE north of about GHG-PVD...so it runs into a brick wall as it pushes inland.Shoukd I be thinking 3-6 then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 April '97 was a firehose...this is more like a squirt gun lol If it were colder OSU I'd be much more excited for MBY. I don't want to see this band down here I don' think it's cold enough. Carver NW or bust. That's where it can really go to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 April '97 was a firehose...this is more like a squirt gun Its def a firehose...its all about how far north it gets...it your latitude its more like a squite gun, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Someone needs to tell the weather guy on 7 that we call them Route's here, not Highway 24. It's ROUTE 24. NAM unleashes later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 Once again, outside of the bonk 850s(jmho), the NAM looks similar to the Euro/SREFs as far as QPF totals go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 At least the nam is getting rid of those ridiculous thermal profiles for round two, looks decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Its def a firehose...its all about how far north it gets...it your latitude its more like a squite gun, lol. I'm going to manage one of the lower seasonal totals in the region lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 that vort lobe from the lakes really does help a great deal...especially in western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Man, that sucks...se MA special. I doubt you are surprised by this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sticking with about 12" here...maybe I'm insane. I think the upslope and firehose will come through even if we're on the northern edge of it. It may take 30 hours to get there, but I think we do. 18" for Foster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 that vort lobe from the lakes really does help a great deal...especially in western areas. Thing is, I'm not sure we can just eliminate the fruity 8h layer and keep everything else. NAM is tossed still in my book. Fun to look at, but I'll take the old GFS/Euro compromise with the RGEM tossed in too when it comes out and whatever the two big globals show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Are there any chances this over performs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm not buying this at all unless it's supported by the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 whats to love? The 5 years I've been out here I come to realize the models often are too ambitious with the effects of the shadowing. Although Boxing Day was a nightmare. You are in much tougher location than me but are still looking at .5" to .75" qpf and maybe things work out due to the effects of that N energy giving us a boost. Luckily this is hitting at night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sticking with about 12" here...maybe I'm insane. I think the upslope and firehose will come through even if we're on the northern edge of it. It may take 30 hours to get there, but I think we do.I think i'm just to far NNW to accum 12" sticking with 4-8" for MBY with totals on the lower end of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 18" for Foster? Its plenty cold out our way and with modeled 2 inch qpf on the Nam that would be possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Are there any chances this over performs? For George's Bank? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 40/35 here. Starting as rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm not buying this at all unless it's supported by the others. Looks pretty similar to the 0z EURO. No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 40/35 here. Starting as rain. Ryan what cha thinK? I loled just now when Bob's cut in after Roker said 2 feet plus for burbs and Worcester and said listen to me now its not going to be like that here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Looks pretty similar to the 0z EURO. No? The nellies aren't here right now so I'm trying to provide balance to the forum. HA, kidding aside, it's the NAM. Let's see what the Euro/GFS does. JR on Channel 7 says just rain in Boston, no snow at all for me, Boston, Bob, etc. Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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