NorEastermass128 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 So...will the 4-5-6PM newscasts still go for a few sloppy inches for the hills? I wouldn't go crazy bullish, but 6-12" west of 128 and 3-6/4-8 inside (less far SE SNE/CC) would be a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The NAM is like -7C at 900mb here at 45 hours, lol. Meanwhile its -1C at 850mb. At has 2m temps around 25-26F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Did Dick Tolleris make that map from the insane asylum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Eastern areas have to like the trend, still lots of precip and colder temps. Just a giant mind**** over here though, can't recall the last time I've been so confused >2 days from a storm 2/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The NAM is like -7C at 900mb here at 45 hours, lol. Meanwhile its -1C at 850mb. At has 2m temps around 25-26F Yeah I've noticed this with the NAM though Will. Seems to have some type of memory for bad things, like a PTSD but model version. I expect it corrects at 0z. You and probably Boston are going to get absolutely destroyed unless the ULL sneaks out. All out blizzard conditions on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 straight to a blizzard watch? Doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro ensembles are quite similar to the OP...just take whatever the OP run gave you and multiply it by about 80-90% (0.80-0.90) and that is what it gives most of the region. The areas around and outside of the 0.50" contour on the OP run didn't change at all...in fact the 0.25" line looks a bit more liberal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Man, this run makes me happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol, No complaints i am content, Reminds me of you in the blizzard............lol We've (NW NE) missed pretty much every large storm up here...and yet somehow are over 80" with solid snowpack since Dec 16th. I can only imagine what this winter could've been with a couple of these big hits. Probably similar to 10-11's 150" in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Man, this run makes me happy. That's well and good, but the NAM seems to be just coming into the fold of a greater consensus after several runs of what could only be called total folly. I wouldn't put too much stock in this particular solution but rather consider it the first run of the NAM in a while that may be worthwhile to add to the guidance suite worth looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is probably close to the best case scenario for me on this run, plenty from the coastal, and the trough is setting up for another round here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Imagine trying to forecast the rain snow line if all you had was the 57 hour 18z NAM at 8h? Just based on the water vapor, RAP, and now the 18z NAM I'd expect the RGEM at least to get more entertaining this run as well. It was handling the border s/w more like the NAM than the Euro...and that seems to have been an egregious error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not sure I've ever seen a 1-county watch from gyx before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not sure I've ever seen a 1-county watch from gyx before. gyx.png It does look rather odd, doesn't it? But I guess it's a really good indicator of their current thinking of the 6-10 inch amounts vs. lower at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 While I certainly like the looks of this map, I don't see how we pull those numbers up here. LOL yeah no way. That's almost as funny as the several GFS runs that had 6-12 inch warning snows to the Canadian border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still has surface and 925s cold and warms the 850 but less agreesviely and later now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 BOX going with watches for a good chunk of E MA/RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 TWC seems lost, they are going 5-8” for NYC, and at the same time only 5-8” for BOS. don’t know what supports that? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still has surface and 925s cold and warms the 850 but less agreesviely and later now. We're looking at potentially a top 3 snowstorm here, if we can stay cold enough and providing we don't use the ULL. I don't really ever honk like this, just think the potential exists. JMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Just listening to Box Cox on WTIC and pretty much said most snow in CT will melt on contact with maybe slushy accumulations in the hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Watches are up. As far west as Windham Cty in CT. Didn't want to include Hfd or Tolland though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM going to do the Fujiwhara Shake off the coast this run. Finally joining the party. Its got that energy, strongly, that you posted on earlier relative to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I wonder if Upton will put northern Middlesex and/or New London Counties in their watches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 At 66 hours, the NAM 2m temps are like 27-28F here, lol...despite the mid-levels torching. That would be an interesting finish to the storm. 20" of snow followed by a few pellets and then glazing everything with a quarter inch of ice. The NAM never fails to entertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Watches are up. As far west as Windham Cty in CT. Didn't want to include Hfd or Tolland though lol Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol, I see that the headline obsessives are out in force. I'll enjoy my high overcast and flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not much really, 2" if we are lucky, More if the GFS is right................. Can't win them all. Accuweather put up 3-6; 4-8 on the PAC. OT - funny to see the clouds coming from up north going down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 At 66 hours, the NAM 2m temps are like 27-28F here, lol...despite the mid-levels torching. That would be an interesting finish to the storm. 20" of snow followed by a few pellets and then glazing everything with a quarter inch of ice. The NAM never fails to entertain. Yeah it goes off the range after 45 or so outside of its range. Long way out, but if we can get the fujiwhara to happen in the right spot which would keep Boston to PVD cold we'd see epic totals coming out of that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Good call.Like Theres not going to be 6+ inches from the river east lol. Ok. Be interesting to see who is on the desk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 LOL yeah no way. That's almost as funny as the several GFS runs that had 6-12 inch warning snows to the Canadian border. I still think we'll see something--the trough will be our friend. Let's hope anyway, lol. I'd be more than happy with a fresh few, unlike many who want all or lawns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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