dan11295 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 When is onset of precip in SNE per Euro? earlier GFS runs were Wed. Eve for anything meaningful but 12z GFS (FWIW) doesnt show much until daydreak Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 BOX better throw up some WSW's fast. Snow doesn't start until tomorrow night, warning criteria wouldn't be reached until well after that. Still plenty of time without hurriedly cranking products out. Cruel. This one could be painful. The Euro barely gets the 0.05" QPF line to GYX over 48 hours of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 2.28" for BOS 2.48" HYA I assume we have rain mixing in on the Cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 UK QPF for six hour intervals Snap 2013-03-05 at 13.07.01.jpg Snap 2013-03-05 at 13.08.11.jpg Snap 2013-03-05 at 13.09.50.jpg Andy thanks for posting. I know you really like the UK. It's been lousy in these marginal situations down here all winter, I've pretty much stopped looking at it, as it missed just about every scraper right up to the end. That said, it could be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Who cares. Dance naked with her Stop being an idiot. You were all upset when forky called you an ice *****. You have daughters and a wife who deserve more respect. Maybe this snow produces? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Knew it was a good run when after a 15 min shower there were 70 new posts... Big changes a'coming in the evening forecasts? That's a tremendous showing on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I assume we have rain mixing in on the Cape? euro's awfully cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 12z euro is even colder than the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Andy thanks for posting. I know you really like the UK. It's been lousy in these marginal situations down here all winter, I've pretty much stopped looking at it, as it missed just about every scraper right up to the end. That said, it could be right. You think this thing is as nw as its going to get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Stop being an idiot. You were all upset when forky called you an ice *****. You have daughters and a wife who deserve more respect. Maybe this snow produces? please tell me you're not serious. You've posted far worse innuendos on here. Wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow that's an impressive run for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Andy thanks for posting. I know you really like the UK. It's been lousy in these marginal situations down here all winter, I've pretty much stopped looking at it, as it missed just about every scraper right up to the end. That said, it could be right. It has its moments. LOL Just posted it for craps and laughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 not bad...hopefully we can get it all at once and get some snow out of it... If the EURO is correct, and I'm inclined to think it is because of the disaster that NECP has been recently, we see .68 at BDR thursday night into friday from the NORLUN. and it probably would accumulate too. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Andy thanks for posting. I know you really like the UK. It's been lousy in these marginal situations down here all winter, I've pretty much stopped looking at it, as it missed just about every scraper right up to the end. That said, it could be right. I believe Uncle verifies second behind the King! Does seem strange though doesnt it?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro a tick colder at 925mb too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You think this thing is as nw as its going to get? I'm pretty much all out of ideas. What saves us is this monster s/w coming down. The NAM says no dice and sends it towards Quebec. Statistically speaking no model scores as well as the Euro at this range, not all that close even. I think we have to go with the full out solution like this, but with the understanding that it's going to shift some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro a tick colder at 925mb too. it was cold at 00z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro a tick colder at 925mb too.Yeah there's our drier snow signal which may mean good snow growth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 How drawn out is the Euro? When dishing out snowfall amounts in March, if it's a drawn out event, 1" QPF maybe yield 6-10" snow, especially for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If the EURO is correct, and I'm inclined to think it is because of the disaster that NECP has been recently, we see .68 at BDR thursday night into friday from the NORLUN. and it probably would accumulate too. -skisheep So what does BDR get Wed night into Thursday? Will had said .80 and I assumed that was for Wed/Thurs...is the .68 in addition to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 So to review where we are right now: 12z GFS: Big snow 12z NAM: Some snow then rain to California 12z Euro: Huge snow 12z GGEM: Big snow for some, nice hit and worse than last run 12z GEFS: Big hit SREFS: Huge hit Forecasts...no watches, most TV outlets calling for a few slushy inches in the hills, nothing really in Boston. its getting to the point of must watch tv. They have such post traumatic stress from 23-24 feb flop and social media backlash. The mets will go all in at some point if models stay the course. They have to b careful how they segway into the hvy wet snow scenario.if models keep us barely on the big hit side w large bust potential things will get interesting. Very Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 fyp So what are you thinking for us Mainers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Looks like the EURO is only .25" or so for BDR with round one, but .68 with the trough on round 2. How do temps looks for the thursday night trough? 2-4" lollies to 5" with it seems possible. Congrats to most everyone on this fourm, you are going to get a nice snowfall! The rich get richer this winter... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 So what does BDR get Wed night into Thursday? Will had said .80 and I assumed that was for Wed/Thurs...is the .68 in addition to that? I'm not sure, if that .8" is only for wed/thurs, than this got a lot more intresting, that's proably enough to get some accumulations down here... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Looks like the EURO is only .25" or so for BDR with round one, but .68 with the trough on round 2. How do temps looks for the thursday night trough? 2-4" lollies to 5" with it seems possible. Congrats to most everyone on this fourm, you are going to get a nice snowfall! The rich get richer this winter... -skisheep .25 ain't gonna do it...have to hope for one more shift NW....and that Norlun trough--who knows...those are almost always nowcast situations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Absolutely epic, have only seen this a few times in my life. Full fledge fuhiwhara. Yeah I know high bust, but we've got one going on now just to our ENE as this block developed, so not out of the realm at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm pretty much all out of ideas. What saves us is this monster s/w coming down. The NAM says no dice and sends it towards Quebec. Statistically speaking no model scores as well as the Euro at this range, not all that close even. I think we have to go with the full out solution like this, but with the understanding that it's going to shift some. Believe it or not, 12z GFS has it at 48 hrs.. Doesnt seem to have quite the same effect on that model though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 .25 ain't gonna do it...have to hope for one more shift NW....and that Norlun trough--who knows...those are almost always nowcast situations I'm not sure if the .8 is only for round one, or for storm total. I'm getting my info from accu forums, NYC fourm, and here. I don't have EURO access, can someone with access clarify if the .8 for here is only round one or the storm total, as well as temps(I'm assuming it's cold enough for all snow, but not sure) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The fact that peak rates occur at night will help a lot I think. I'm still edgy for CT, specifically the coast west of HVN. I think NE CT has a shot of 10-14" though. 6-10" for many others. 4-8" shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm not sure, if that .8" is only for wed/thurs, than this got a lot more intresting, that's proably enough to get some accumulations down here... -skisheep maybe someone with Euro access can help us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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